The Syrian peace conference in Geneva has only one real task: to rubberstamp the quiet deals Barack Obama and Vladimir Putin have struck for ending the Syrian war. Their pact was first revealed in last week’s DEBKA Weekly. The current issue out Friday has the sequel, which exclusively covers Putin’s next steps. He is already studying a short list of candidates as Bashar Assad's successor. This issue also reveals US-Russian plans for eradicating ISIS by the targeted date of July 1.
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Ali Akbar Velayati, Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s foreign affairs advisor, spent three days in Moscow Feb. 1-4 haranguing Russian leaders - not just on their handling of the Syrian war, but also the fate of President Bashar Assad. In his two conversations with President Vladimir Putin, Velayati demanded more inclusive Russian attacks on Syrian rebels. Putin shot back that Iran should send its own troops into the fray – not just generals.More>
Russia is determined to bomb Syrian rebels into submission by a massive aerial campaign, comparable to the American 2003 “shock and awe” offensive over Baghdad. President Vladimir is not deterred by the hundreds of civilian casualties caused in these raids, nor by rebel groups’ threat to walk out of the Geneva conference because he knows Barack Obama is behind him.More>
Israel’s leaders are clinging to lame locutions – “good judgment and responsibility” - to avoid military action for dealing with the crisis situations fast coming to a head on three extremely dangerous fronts: armed Palestinian terror; southern Syria is slide into the control of Hizballah; 100,000 missiles amassed in S. Lebanon; and, fresh Hamas terror tunnels from the Gaza Strip.
In a pivotal step reflecting the changeability of military and political deals in Israel’s neighborhood, Jordan has agreed to establish a shared war room with Russia for the concerted conduct of their operations in southern Syria. This represents an extreme reversal of Amman’s policy. Until now, Jordan fought against Russia’s protégée Bashar Assad from a joint war room north of Amman called the US Central Command Forward-Jordan, as part of a lineup with the US, Saudi Arabia and Israel.More...
The Russians and Americans are pouring air and ground troops into Syria to underpin their strategy for ending the Syrian war. Russian heavy bombers are flying direct from home base to strengthen the Syrian army in its drive against rebels and jihadis.More...
The mystery of how Hizballah managed to plant the bomb which blew up against an IDF patrol, without causing casualties, Tuesday, Jan. 5, in the Shebaa Farms district of Mt Hermon is perplexing Israel’s military chiefs. It brought Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon, Deputy Chief of Staff Maj. Gen. Yair Golan (former OC Northern Command) and his successor Maj. Gen. Aviv Kochavi to the Golan the next day, to find out how Hizballah outsmarted careful IDF preparations and a hi-tech “electronically sterile area” abutting an electronic border fence.More...
US President Barack Obama is finally willing to scrap his longstanding principle of “no US boots on the ground” for a major new campaign with allies to cut down Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi’s Islamic State’s grip on a strategic arena outside Iraq and Syria. The latest DEBKA Weekly out Friday divulges its location, the makeup of the new US-led coalition, the war plan’s timeline and other details, as well as its geographic targets. It is still available.
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On Wednesday, Jan. 27 a large Hizballah force entered the southern Syrian town of Daraa, a critically dangerous event for Israel’s security. The way to the town, which lies near the Jordanian border and across from the Israeli Golan, was opened before Hizballah by none other than Russian forces. This was a blatant violation of President Vladimir Putin’s commitments to Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Jordanian King Abdullah, not to permit Iranian and Iran-backed forces reach their borders in consequence of Russia’s military intervention in the Syria war.
The US and Russia are in the process of a military buildup in the Kurdish areas of northern Syria. It is ranged along a narrow strip of land 85 km long, stretching from Hassakeh in the east up to the Kurdish town of Qamishli on the Syrian-Turkish border. Facing them from across that border is a parallel buildup of Turkish strength. This highly-charged convergence of three foreign armies along a tense borderland is reported here by debkafile’s military sources. It is too soon to determine whether the three are operating in sync or at odds.
Israeli and Palestinian security officers are discussing the formation of a new Palestinian militia to take charge of enforcing law and order in the Arab districts of Jerusalem and halting the terrorist campaign emanating from there. debkafile: The dialogue is led by senior Shin Bet and police officials and the Palestinian General Intelligence (Mukhabarat) chief Maj. Gen. Majid Faraj. Concern about the fast-spreading ISIS influence in Palestinian communities has given the project an extra spurt. There is no confirmation that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is in the picture.
Russian, Syrian, Iranian and Hizballah troops were taking up positions Monday, Jan. 18, for a massive offensive to retake Aleppo, Syria’s second city, hoping to break the backs of rebel resistance. A victory in Aleppo (prewar population: 1 million) is expected in Moscow, Tehran and Damascus to reverse the tide of the war and force the Syrian rebels to accept that their insurgency is at an end and their only remaining option is to join the Russian peace process. Two novel Russian robot systems will take part in the offensive.