DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis May 24, 2014
The optimism disseminated this week by all parties to the nuclear talks with Iran masked the truth, that diplomacy is stalled with no way to meet its July deadline. debkafile: US President Barack Obama has quietly decided to shift the deadline to Jan. 2015. But this leaves Iran off the hook of its November commitment for a six-month suspension of its extra-fast centrifuges - and free to raise its enriched uranium stockpile. Barack Obama hopes congress will empower him to use military force if Iran cheats – and that this will hold Israel’s hand.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 22, 2014
The US, UAE and Egypt are backing Gen. Khalifa Haftar’s battle against militant Islamists in Libya, hoping to secure oilfields and target Ansar al-Sharia.
Revived US military intervention in Mid East flashpoints is heralded by active steps in Syria and Libya
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly May 20, 2014
The latest DEBKA Weekly out Friday homes in on the Obama administration’s seminal Middle East policy turnabout, performed unannounced almost overnight: The quiet switch from military withdrawal to proactive military intervention – based mainly on the CIA – is already impacting the Libyan and Syrian crises. Exclusive insights and fresh data will reveal how this extraordinary change is manifested in US-UAE backing for Gen. Khalifa Haftar’s nascent operation in Libya, compared with reliance on the strong Israeli and Jordanian armies to achieve US goals in Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 15, 2014
Obama attempts to reverse the political tide by signing directive to assassinate Libyan commander of attack on Benghazi complex and prevent smart bomb attack.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 15, 2014
Obama pushes back deadline for nuclear talks, and seeks congressional approval for military action against Iran despite doubts he will follow through.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly May 14, 2014
President Barack Obama is planning the targeted assassination of a prominent Islamist terrorist, a repeat of al Qaeda’s Osama bin Laden’s liquidation. He has already secretly signed a Presidential Directive for the operation, hoping to reverse the predicted Democratic losses to a Republican majority in mid-term elections.
The coming DEBKA Weekly out Friday reveals the details of Obama’s plan – including the identity of its elusive target.
Find out too where Washington is taking the latest round of nuclear diplomacy with Iran.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis May 10, 2014
US Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel arrives in Jeddah next Monday, May 12, for a meeting of the Gulf Cooperation Council defense ministers, the first to be attended by an American defense chief in six years. This prolonged absence reflected the Obama administration’s military disengagement from Middle East affairs and their ensuing political estrangement. Hagel will find Gulf states bent on self-defense and ready to contend with Iran without recourse to the US. Jordan and Israel are also withdrawing from commitments to play ball with Washington.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 8, 2014
In Jerusalem, US National Security Advisor Susan Rice takes over from Kerry on Iran and Mid East talks.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 8, 2014
The deep divide between the Obama administration and Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu on the Iranian nuclear issue resurfaced during this week’s (May 7-8) Jerusalem talks with the US National Security Advisor Susan Rice. Netanyahu rejected Rice’s advice to acept Iran as a nuclear threshold state, able to enrich uranium and build new reactors - all within strict limits and close surveillance of its facilities to prevent militarization. The Israeli Prime Minister reiterated that the only way to ensure a non-nuclear Iran is to disallow its enrichment of any uranium at all.
Ukraine slides into civil war amid Merkel’s bid to bridge US-Russian differences. Putin resigns responsibility
DEBKAfile Special Report May 3, 2014
German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s bid during her visit to Washington Friday, April 2, to bridge the differences between Presidents Barack Obama and Vladimir Putin over Ukraine was overtaken by the onset of civil war. After the Kiev government launched its first serious offensive Friday to take E. Ukrainian towns from pro-Russian militias, Moscow repudiated responsibility for events in that region. Putin’s spokesman called it a punitive action which broke the Geneva accords: “Neither Russia, nor any other country,” he said, “can any longer influence the citizens of Ukraine’s southeast…"
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 1, 2014
Washington is pushing a “good deal” for a nuclear Iran which does not substantially change its weapons program.
DEBKAfile Special Report April 27, 2014
Russia and Ukraine were heading Sunday, April 27, for their first military clash over the rebel-held town of Slavyansk, debkafile reports. The outcome will determine who controls the Donetsk region and possibly all of East of Ukraine – the separatists or the provisional government in Kiev. The engagement would potentially pit 11,000 special Russian forces based at Rostov on Don against 15,000 troops massed outside the flashpoint town of Slavyansk. President Barack Obama is finding it hard to enlist a US-European coalition for strong sanctions against Moscow.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 25, 2014
US sanctions against Russia have most remained in the field of rhetoric. But it is in Obama’s power to undermine Russia’s banking system for a time at least by wielding the “scarlet letter.”
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 25, 2014
Russian cyber war superiority and capacity to retaliate for sanctions against its banks may deter the Europeans at least from joining US sanctions over Ukraine.
DEBKAfile Special Report April 24, 2014
Defense Minister Gen. Sergey Shoigu Thursday, April 24, ordered the Russian army to start drills at Rostov on Don near the Ukraine border. debkafile: This order amounted to a state of alert, which required the troops to move up to the Ukraine border and take up prepared positions as bridgeheads if ordered to enter East Ukraine. In the past 48 hours, Russian officials have kept up an unprecedented stream of invective against the provisional government in Kiev – called “junta” - and the Obama administration for its intervention in Ukraine.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly April 23, 2014
The Obama-Putin contest over Ukraine no longer fits the definition of a cold war revival. It is a new kind of world war, fought by stealth between two financial and intelligence colossi aiming for each other’s economic jugulars amid skirmishes over Ukraine. In its latest issue out Friday, DEBKA Weekly reveals how this novel war is orchestrated from a secret US headquarters in Kiev and the SVR center at Yasenevo near Moscow – and looks ahead at its global wings.
DEBKAfile Special Report April 21, 2014
On April 11, Syrian planes dropped Chinese-manufactured chlorine gas canisters rigged with explosive detonators on Kafr Zita near Hama. Since then, British and French intelligence sources report at least four such attacks against the northern towns of Idlib and Homs and the Harasta and Jobar districts outside Damascus. Assad is dropping these crippling gas bombs at the rate of one every three days, mocking the 2013 Kerry-Lavrov chemical disarmament pact. debkafile: Iran is buying Chinese chlorine in industrial quantities off the Internet from a Hangzhou-based firm.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis April 18, 2014
The Kerry-Lavrov “de-escalation” recipe for Ukraine, concluded in Geneva Thursday, April 17, consists of the same ingredients as their previous deals: a slick-sounding compromise that the US and Russian can more or less live with; a gloss over the real elements at issue between them; and a deal that goes over the heads of the prime movers involved in the conflict. By Friday, the two rival camps in Ukraine were digging in their heels against it. Though threatened with sanctions, Vladimir Putin is waiting to see if the West makes the Kiev government moderate its positions.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 13, 2014
President Barack Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry have decided to distance themselves for the time being from Israeli-Palestinian talks until Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas find their own way back to the table, debkafile reports exclusively. Kerry says the US will now use “a light touch,” while counting on Netanyahu and chief negotiator Justice Minister Tzipi Livni to bring Abbas around. A new Israeli proposal is ready to put before the Palestinian team. Jonathan Pollard may yet be freed.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 10, 2014
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu decided not to delay the launch of Israel’s improved Ofek 10 spy satellite Wednesday night April 9, hours after the six powers and Iran wound up another round of talks in Vienna on a comprehensive nuclear accord. debkafile: Israel decided to show some muscle after the Obama administration agreed to raise Iran’s weapons program in future talks, but refused to go into any detail or promise a tough US response if Tehran continued to pretend that its weapons program is non-existent and therefore not up for negotiation.