No army in Mid East is challenging ISIS. Iran regroups to defend S. Iraqi Shiites, Assad to save Damascus
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis May 25, 2015
Not a single competent army capable of launching all-out war on ISIS in Syria or Iraq is to be found between the Jordan and the Euphrates and Tigris to the east, or Ramadi and Riyadh to the south. Assad and Hizballah are regrouping to defend Syrian cities; Tehran to save the Shiite towns and oil of S. Iraq. Sunday, May 24, US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter said the Iraqi army had shown no will to fight. UK ex-army chief Lord Dannatt called for 5,000 British ground troops to fight the Islamists in Syria and Iraq.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 14, 2015
Obama sought out Putin to approve a no-fly zone in Syria to meet the Gulf’s demands for Assad’s head as proof that he his promise to defend GCC members security was on the level.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis May 9, 2015
The battle for Qalamoun has suddenly become a critical regional contest for the Iran-Syrian-Hizballah alliance at large and its three prime movers, Syrian President Bashar Assad, Hizballah leader Hassan Nastrallah, and Iran’s Gen. Qassem Soleimani, head of the Al Qods Brigades. The Obama administration has launched a new plan to drive a wedge in the Revolutionary Guards leadership by elevating its leader Gen. Jaafari to the regime’s “good guy” and denouncing Gen. Soleimani as the “bad guy" - hoping that degrading him causes Iran to pull in its horns in Syria, Iraq and Yemen.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 30, 2015
Heavy influx of US arms and Saudi cash is bringing the Syrian opposition, including the Islamist Nusra front, victories against Assad’s army. Assad has asked Tehran for new guarantees for his presidency.
DEBKA reveals: Hizballah officers land in Tehran with Syrian defense chief. Iran OKs anti-Israel strategy
DEBKAfile Special Report April 29, 2015
A high-level Hizballah delegation arrived secretly in Tehran Tuesday, April 28, with the military group led by Syrian Defense Minister Fahad Jassim al-Freij, debkafile discloses exclusively. Both are taking part in the military and intelligence consultations with Iranian officials on the war situation in Syria and steps against Israel. A Gulf intelligence source said those steps were quickly finalized. The IDF on the Golan can expect a far more active and intense front than ever before, he warned - a small foretaste of which was the failed bomb attack Sunday.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 8, 2015
Obama’s detente with Iran and recognition of Bashar Assad’s key role in Syria has produced an incredibly sinister new twist in the Syrian war. debkafile reveals: The Yarmouk refugee camp and its 16,000 occupants face not one enemy, but two: the Islamic State and Assad’s army, which opened the way for the ISIS attack. Assad first agreed to split energy revenues with ISIS and went on to outsource the terrorists for a demonstration in Yarmouk to allies and foes alike that he holds the whip hand in the Syrian war and the fate of the Palestinians.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 19, 2015
The Saudis and Gulf are pulling the financial rug from under Amman for playing ball with Tehran at US instigation. Israel may also withdraw its shield from the royal family.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 19, 2015
The Obama administration has embarked on a bid to come to terms with Bashar Assad to lure Tehran into signing a nuclear accord. An end to the Syrian war would disburden Iran of its colossal ongoing investment in keeping Assad in power.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 26, 2015
Obama and Salman have little in common except for their shared affinity for the Muslim Brotherhood. The new king appears to prefer Turkey to Egypt as a close ally.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 10, 2014
Shortly before President Barack Obama was to unveil his strategy for tackling ISIS in Iraq and Syria Wednesday, Sept. 10, US and Syrian officers held secret talks for coordinating their military efforts in Syria against the common foe, debkafile reveals exclusively. The Syrian officers, on the authority of President Bashar Assad, met on the quiet several times with American officers in the capital of one of the Gulf emirates – probably Muscat in Oman. The Syrian side of the US campaign is judged to be more complicated than the operation in Iraq.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 29, 2014
While Obama works with Iran to fight Islamists, he faces a rival bloc doing the same in Egypt, Saudi Arabia in Israel. But will he be willing to take Hizballah and Iran as partners and part of the deal?
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 14, 2014
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El Sisi tries to convince Putin to join the Israel-Saudi-Egypt alliance against US policy in the Mid East and bolster Assad as an anti Al Qaeda force.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 11, 2014
Syrian and Hizballah troops – commanded by Iranians – are close to taking the city of Aleppo and the whole of Idlib Province, a major strategic gain against anti-regime rebels.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 27, 2014
Iran’s dream of a Shiite Crescent ranging from Bahrain to Beirut was shattered by ISIS in Iraq.
Homs falls to Assad: UN, Iranian officers secure Syrian rebels’ exit after Iranian hostages freed in Aleppo
DEBKAfile Special Report May 7, 2014
A joint UN observer-Iranian military team began evacuating 2,000 Syrian rebels and their families from the Old City of Homs Wednesday, May 7 ending the Syrian army’s brutal two-year siege. It was another major victory for President Bashar Assad. As a rebel on his way out put it to Western reporters, “The rest of the world failed us.” That the UN needed Iranian aid to accomplish this rescue attested to Tehran’s dominant role in Damascus – even greater than that of Russia - and the Revolutionary Guards’ control over Syrian and Hizballah military forces.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis April 26, 2014
In his three years as AMAN chief, Maj. Gen. Aviv Kochavi, just appointed OC Northern Command, was credited with enhancing the corps’ operational capabilities. But, on the debit side, he made three major miscalculations: He overrated the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood’s life expectancy, underrated Bashar Assad’s chances of survival; and did not recommend that Israel halt Hizballah’s military intervention in the Syrian War. Kochavi shared his second mistake with Prince Bandar, who paid for it by his replacement as Director of Saudi Intelligence on April 15.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 25, 2014
Hizballlah leader Hassan Nasrallah seeks the role of key to resolving the Syrian civil conflict and the Obama administration in deference to that role has launched a secret dialogue with the Lebanese group.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 22, 2014
Syrian rebels have been sighted wielding anti-aircraft weapons in various combat sectors in the last few days. Just as on April 6 debkafile was the first publication to disclose the supply of US weapons - BGM-71 TOW anti-tank missiles – to certain Syrian rebel militias, our military sources now reveal the delivery of Russian-made 9K310 Igla-1 aka SA-16 anti-aircraft rockets, whose operational range is 5.2 km. While the rebels can now hit Syrian assault aircraft for the first time, the new systems comes too late to turn the tide of war.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 10, 2014
Assad moves fast to extend his military dominance over the south after discovering rebels backed by the US, Israel and Jordan taking over borderlands including the Golan.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 21, 2014
When he visits Riyadh this month, Obama has little hope of Saudi forgiveness for the Arab spring and its repercussions, but may reach limited understanding on Syria.