DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 19, 2013
There are five good reasons why the Muslim Brotherhoood’s single term in power in Cairo – and only for one year – will not be repeated.
Violent Ramadan ahead: Egypt’s army chief says no to dialogue with Brotherhood. Assad nixes ceasefire
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 9, 2013
The Muslim Ramadan beginning in the Middle East Tuesday, July 9, heralds more, rather than less, bloodshed. After at least 51 deaths in a Cairo shootout Monday, Egypt’s military chief Gen. Abdel Fattah El-Sisi rebuffed US efforts for national dialogue and is preparing rapid action to meet the Muslim Brotherhood’s “intifada” in Egyptian towns and Sinai. Iran and Russia are rushing military supplies to Bashar Assad, who is pressing ahead with his projected Syrian-Hizballah battle for Aleppo after rejecting a Ramadan ceasefire.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 27, 2013
Rebel factions in Aleppo are deeply fractured and disorganized. They say promised US weapons never arrived. Assad plans to stage a terrorist campaign against Israel from the Golan to steal attention from expected atrocities for conquering Aleppo.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 13, 2013
Barack Obama has left it too late to change the course of the Syrian war by saving the rebels from defeat at the hands of the Syrian army. The Russians are already lined up counter-measures for stalling US aid to the rebels and step into its shoes.
DEBKAfile Special Report June 9, 2013
Syrian rebel forces attacked two Iraqi military positions at the southern tip of their common border Sunday, June 9. They failed to beat the Iraqi troops back although a number of Iraqi officers and soldiers were killed. This was the Syrian rebels' first engagement with the Iraqi army, although it is unlikely to be the last. debkafile: Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has even outdone Hassan Nasrallah in the generosity of his assistance for propping Assad up – advancing Damascus unlimited credit and a dip into Iraq’s multibillion-dollar oil revenues for his war chest.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 7, 2013
Bashar Assad could hardly lose the war with the hefty backing of Russia, Iran, Iraq and Hizballah. Hizballah tilted the fighting against the rebels, while Iraq is feeding his war chest with billions of petrodollars.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 30, 2013
Moscow is challenging Israel to make good on its threats to knock out the S-300 or lose credibility. But Israel needs a US guarantee of military backup in case its action spirals into a major conflict with Syria and its allies.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 30, 2013
Moscow’s strong military momentum on Bashar Assad’s behalf includes the positioning of Russian troops within easy reach of Syria. But are Russian missiles a match for the Israeli Air Force? Only real combat can provide the answer.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 30, 2013
Senior Israeli intelligence sources insisted to debkafile Thursday May 30 that Syria had still not received any Russian S-300 anti-missile batteries – contrary to Syrian President Bashar Assad’s claim that the first batch had arrived. Israel says it will destroy them before they are operational.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 27, 2013
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 24, 2013
The Obama administration has maneuvered itself out of a major role in reaching a political solution to the Syrian conflict. Bashar is building on his battlefield successes to demand a key role in any settlement.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 22, 2013
Some Israeli defense strategists still refuse to admit that Bashar Assad, Hassan Nasrallah and Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei are pulling ahead in the Syrian war - contrary to their hopes that defeat would snap their bonds.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 16, 2013
Binyamin Netanyahu left his meeting with Vladimir Putin Tuesday certain that Moscow had given Assad the go-ahead for his threat to make the Syrian Golan the platform for a war of attrition against Israel with the help of Hizballah armed with advanced weapons and other proxies.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 3, 2013
As Obama ponders his options on Syria and is increasingly abandoned by allies, Putin pushes supplies of heavy weapons to the Syrian army, along with high-class intelligence for Assad and his high command and a cooperation deal with Hizballah.
DEBKAfile Special Report April 26, 2013
President Barack Obama faced a tough decision Friday, April 26, after warning that Bashar Assad’s use of chemical weapons would be “game changer.” His failure to take firm action would render the US president’s red lines meaningless. Israel is concerned by the application of this loss of credibility to a nuclear Iran.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 25, 2013
The Free Syrian Army commander informed Secretary of State John Kerry this week that the rebels have not chance of standing up to the superior firepower of the Syrian army and Hizballah.
White House to Congress: Assad has used chemical weapons. Israeli jets down Hizballah drone opposite Haifa
DEBKAfile Special Report April 25, 2013
In a striking reversal, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel said in Abdu Dhabi Thursday, April 25, that US intelligence now believes the Syrian government has used chemical weapons against its own people.
DEBKAfile Special Report April 23, 2013
Red lines have been flattened by Iran’s rapid progress toward a nuclear weapon and by Bashar Assad’s mockery, backed by Tehran, of US President Barack Obama’s warning that “proof of chemical weapons use would be a game changer.” Two Israeli ex-intelligence chiefs Tuesday, April 23 underlined Israel-US differences.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 18, 2013
Although Obama has approved the deployment of 200 US troops to Jordan, no one knows whether he will order enough military strength to save King Abdullah if his kingdom comes under Syrian attack.
DEBKAfile Special Report April 17, 2013
US Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel announced Wednesday, April 17, that 200 troops of the US 1st Armored Division had been sent to Jordan to give the United States the ability to "potentially form a joint task force [with Jordan] for military operations, if ordered" by the President. debkafile’s military sources report that they are ranged on the Jordanian-Syrian border to counter a potential Syrian attack. In a potential war between Syria and Jordan backed by US troops, Israel would almost certainly become involved.