DEBKAfile Special Report October 22, 2013
Palestinian Authority chairman Mahmoud Abbas plans to derail talks with Israel straight after the second batch of jailed Palestinians are freed next week. He is also unraveling longstanding counter-terrorism security cooperation with Israel by reviving the “revolving door” for detainees. Secretary of State John Kerry hopes to head off the crisis by cajoling Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, when they meet in Rome Wednesday, Oct. 23, to make Abbas an offer he can’t refuse of sovereign Israel land, namely one-third of Dead Sea territory. .
Obama’s potential release of $12bn of frozen Iranian assets would be followed by $35 billion from Europe
DEBKAfile Special Report October 18, 2013
Tehran stands to gain access to nearly $50 billion if the Obama administration decides to free up $12 billion of frozen Iranian assets in the US, inevitably followed by Europe’s release of another $35 billion. The White House was reported Friday, Oct. 18 to be weighing this plan as a means, debkafile reports, to ease sanctions, without asking Congress to repeal or amend sanctions laws. This plan would fly in the face of calls by Congress and Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu for harsher measures against Iran after failed diplomacy in Geneva.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 17, 2013
The US and Iran are weighing a partial nuclear accord having given up on a comprehensive deal – especially after the impasse at this week’s Geneva conference.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 17, 2013
Early last year, the Erdogan government blew the cover of up to 10 Israel agents in Iran. This story was published in The Washington Post, Thursday, Oct. 17 – the day after the Geneva conference on Iran’s nuclear program was hailed by Western powers led by the US as “substantive” and “forward-looking.” debkafile: The WP story was a broad hint to Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu that his refusal to get behind the New Middle East, and accept Barack Obama’s take on Iran’s position, would expose Israel to more intelligence debacles.
Iran dictates Khamenei’s “fatwa” as basis for nuclear negotiations. US fails to update Israel on Geneva talks
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 15, 2013
The Iranian negotiators arrived in Geneva Tuesday, Oct. 15, armed with inflexible positions for the talks with the six powers in Geneva on their country’s nuclear program. Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi insisted on the (P5+1) powers accepting the Supreme Leader’s 2006 fatwa banning the development of nuclear weapons – an edict devoid of religious value. debkafile: This ploy was meant to make the powers accept Khamenei’s standing as a world leader. The Obama administration had not yet relayed a word to Binyamin Netanyahu from Geneva.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 14, 2013
Iranian hardliners urge pushing Barack Obama harder after he agreed to let Iran’s nuclear program continue, including uranium enrichment up to 20 percent purity, and is only holding out for a cap on the high-speed IR2 centrifuges. This ace, say the hardliners, could make Washington drop demands to remove enriched uranium stocks from the country. debkafile: Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s four stipulations for a nuclear accord with Iran vanished on the road to Geneva, except for Secretary John Kerry’s vague comment “…we are mindful of Israel’s security needs.”
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 13, 2013
President Barack Obama has notified Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu that the partial and gradual lifting of sanctions against Iran will soon begin. Israel is the only American ally to receive prior warning of this decision - and the only one to be briefed in detail of the US-Iranian understandings, including Iran’s concessions on its nuclear program. In its latest issue, out last Friday, DEBKA Weekly divulged in detail the content of these understandings and their strategic, political and military ramifications.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis October 11, 2013
Israeli Air Force F-15 and F-16 fighter squadrons this week carried out exercises testing their capability to conduct missions at long ranges, as a message to Tehran that Israel’s military option against its nuclear program is alive. However, it is by now an open secret that the battle against a nuclear Iran is lost. The secret understandings President Barack Obama negotiated with Tehran are ready for endorsement at the P5+1 negotiations opening in Geneva on Oct. 15. And they leave Iran with much of its nuclear capacity in place.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 11, 2013
Vladimir Putin has begun pressing the case for divesting the Middle East of WMD and co-opting Barack Obama to the cause. He says Israel is so technologically advanced that it doesn’t need nuclear arms
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 11, 2013
Obama and Putin are trying to convince Netanyahu to drop his drive against their nuclear deal by convincing him that it will open the door to a reconciliation between Iran and Israel. He is not convinced.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 4, 2013
Putin has devised a complex game of diplomatic ping pong for pushing through understandings with Obama first to resolve the Syrian chemical crisis and currently to settle the nuclear controversy with Iran. DEBKA Weekly reveals how it works.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 4, 2013
Israel and Saudi Arabia are nursing their own separate options after rejecting Obama’s decision to embark on détente with Iran. They have found some common ground on diplomacy ad hoc.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 2, 2013
Associates of Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu Wednesday, Oct. 2, leaked word to the media that Israel was in contact with Saudi and Gulf representatives to align their policies for offsetting President Barack Obama’s advancing rapprochement with Iran and any US easing-up on the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program. These exchanges include recent visits to Israel of high-ranking Gulf officials and will extend to joint lobbying efforts in the US Congress to overrule Obama administration’s outreach to Tehran. This leak signals a widening of the breach between Israel and the US president.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 30, 2013
President Barack Obama and Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s get-together at the White House Monday, Sept. 30 turned into an amicable joust over their differences on how to handle Iran’s nuclear program. Obama did not endorse Netanyahu’s demands that Iran completely dismantle its military nuclear program, halt uranium enrichment and face tougher sanctions if its nuclear development continues while international negotiations are afoot. As a friendly gesture, Obama did agree not to remove any options from the table, including the military one, for preventing a nuclear Iran.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 29, 2013
Western military sources predict an upsurge of tension this week along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon, timed for Binyamin Netanyahu’s White House meeting with President Barack Obama Monday, Sept. 30, and his address to the UN General Assembly the next day, Oct. 1. Moscow, Tehran and Damascus may exploit Israel’s weak moment after being pushed out in the cold by the Obama administration’s pursuit of new relations with Tehran, by provoking Israel into a military response and presenting it as the neighborhood warmonger and disrupter of US-Russian diplomacy.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 24, 2013
President Obama is running eagerly toward rapprochement with a nuclear Iran notwithstanding its declared ambition to destroy Israel. Sources close to Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu say he is determined when addressing the UN this month to tear the false veil off Iran’s face – even if he is a lone voice. When he exposed as fraudulent Rouhani’s claims that Iran’s nuclear program was peaceful, no one in the West was listening. And at home, people ask what happened to Netanyahu’s solemn pledge to stop Iran getting a nuclear bomb.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 23, 2013
Secretary of State John Kerry has kept a tight lid on the bubbling Palestinian stew by forbidding Israeli and Palestinian negotiators to publicly give the game away about the true state of their talks, which are stuck. This has let Kerry pretend the talks are gong well; Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu avoid giving up settlements to keep his coalition intact; and Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas to quietly let terrorists partly off the leash for attacks on the Israeli military. Saturday and Sunday, two soldiers were murdered by Palestinians.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 19, 2013
Netanyahu has reduced Israel to a non-player in US Mid East policies and considerations by sticking to a policy of non-intervention in regional conflicts and shunning military initiatives.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 18, 2013
President Barack Obama has only one demand of Tehran: “Iran would have to demonstrate its own seriousness by agreement not to weaponise nuclear power,” he said Wednesday, Sept. 18. He thus took at his word Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who declared the day before: “We are against nuclear weapons. And when we say no one should have nuclear weapons, we definitely do not pursue it ourselves either.” debkafile: This exchange was choreographed in advance, leaving Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu behind US steps and in the dark.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 15, 2013
US President Barack Obama did not wait for the Kerry-Lavrov agreement of Saturday, Sept. 14, to demonstrate its feasibility for the eradication of Syria’s chemical weapons. He jumped in the next day to tell Tehran over ABC that “there’s the potential for diplomatic solutions to arms standoffs.” In Jerusalem, Secretary Kerry tried to defend the agreement against critics. Prime Minister Netanyahu insisted that diplomacy “must be coupled with a credible military threat." debkafile: The Obama administration won’t let Israel’s concerns slow its diplomatic momentum either on Syria or Iran.