DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis April 26, 2014
In his three years as AMAN chief, Maj. Gen. Aviv Kochavi, just appointed OC Northern Command, was credited with enhancing the corps’ operational capabilities. But, on the debit side, he made three major miscalculations: He overrated the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood’s life expectancy, underrated Bashar Assad’s chances of survival; and did not recommend that Israel halt Hizballah’s military intervention in the Syrian War. Kochavi shared his second mistake with Prince Bandar, who paid for it by his replacement as Director of Saudi Intelligence on April 15.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 25, 2014
Russian cyber war superiority and capacity to retaliate for sanctions against its banks may deter the Europeans at least from joining US sanctions over Ukraine.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 25, 2014
Netanyahu hopes that in consideration of Israel’s neutrality on Ukraine, Putin will be receptive to its concerns on Iran and Syria.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly April 23, 2014
The Obama-Putin contest over Ukraine no longer fits the definition of a cold war revival. It is a new kind of world war, fought by stealth between two financial and intelligence colossi aiming for each other’s economic jugulars amid skirmishes over Ukraine. In its latest issue out Friday, DEBKA Weekly reveals how this novel war is orchestrated from a secret US headquarters in Kiev and the SVR center at Yasenevo near Moscow – and looks ahead at its global wings.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 4, 2014
Egyptian intelligence circulates a thick file compiled of interrogations of Brotherhood activists which reveal Muslim Brotherhood conspiracies to topple Arab regimes with Qatari connivance. The file was sent to Washington and European capitals.
DEBKAfile Special Report March 28, 2014
The fourth week of the hunt for MH370 begins with a shift to a new “credible area.” World intelligence agencies, racing to discover the missing Malaysian airliner, could achieve more by openly sharing their data. However they are using the search additionally to try out their own innovative intelligence and military technology; check out fellow-agencies’ satellite and electronic cyber resources; determine their outer limits; and study their rivals’ strengths and weaknesses in the event of potential sea, air or cyber conflicts in one of the most forbidding areas on earth.
DEBKAfile Special Report March 18, 2014
The CIA's chief of Iran operations, Jonathan Bank, 46, was sent home on paid leave over an “open rebellion” in his department, US, Russian and Iranian media reported Tuesday, March 18. debkafile: This places in doubt the credibility of US President Barack Obama’s assurances to Israel and the Arabian Gulf leaders that they have nothing to fear from US-Iranian rapprochement. Washington, they were told, was fully abreast of Iran’s nuclear activities and would know in good time if Khamenei gave the order to build a nuclear weapon.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 13, 2014
The dominant theory among western intelligence agencies to account for the Malaysian aircraft’s disappearance is a Uighur terrorist attack, using lax security at Kuala Lumpur airport.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 7, 2014
Netanyahu persuaded Obama to back Israel’s raid on an Iranian missile ship to improve his soft image and possibly deter Putin from further military action in Ukraine.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 28, 2014
Israel’s intelligence minister has bitten off more than he can chew, by demanding more oversight on the operations of Israel’s three intelligence branches.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 20, 2014
Iraqi al Qaeda has arrived in Sinai to upgrade the performance of local jihadis. Terrorist strength has jumped close to the numbers of Egyptian troops in counter-terror operations in the peninsula.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 19, 2014
Israel’s top leaders marked the second round of nuclear talks between the Six Powers and Iran with a visit Tuesday, Feb. 18, to injured Syrians at the IDF field hospital in central Golan. Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu said: “I would like to tell the world today that Iran has changed neither its aggressive policy nor its brutal character…” debkafile: The IDF has thrown up a new dual bulwark on both sides of the Syrian border, including the new Bashan territorial division complete with a high-tech combat intelligence collection battalion.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 26, 2014
debkafile Exclusive: Iran is to urgently rebuild Hizballah’s intelligence and security mechanisms after the ravages caused by suicide attacks on its Beirut and Beqaa strongholds since joining the Syrian war. A secret Iranian Al Qods-Ministry of Intelligence team assigned to the task arrived secretly in Beirut last week, after a top-level Iranian-Hizballah conference concluded that the Lebanese group’s security and intelligence can’t take much more battering without folding. The Iranians will also build Hizballah’s fighting units in Syria a new field intelligence arm.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 4, 2013
The gunning down of Hajj Hassan Hollo al-Laqqis, a high-ranking Hizballah commander and close crony of Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah raised the stakes of the clandestine war between Saudi Arabia and Iran - or rather between Saudi intelligence chief Prince Bandar bin Sultan and Iran’s Al Qods Brigades commander Qassem al-Soleimani. Hizballah blamed Israel for the assassination because it is easier to reach for revenge than Saudi Arabia. Al-Laqqis was killed in the underground parking lot of his home by five shots to the head and throat.
DEBKAfile Special Report December 2, 2013
In New York and Tel Aviv, former CIA director Gen. Michael Haden and ex-chief of AMAN, Gen. (ret) Amos Yadlin, offered the same opinion. Both said Sunday, Dec. 1, that Iran has attained the status of a nuclear threshold state, able to build several nuclear bombs in a matter of weeks. By this diagnosis, they indicted their respective governments for failing to stop this happening. Hayden on the Geneva accord: “We need to negotiate hitting the delete button.” Yadlin: "Iran is a step before breakout to a bomb. This is unfortunate but true.”
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 14, 2013
Prince Bandar bin Sultan has a war chest of $500 million for clandestine operations in Iran, including assassinations and fomenting violent unrest among its national minorities in four corners of the country.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 8, 2013
Turkish-Iranian intelligence cooperation has produced an operation against Syria rebel supplies through Turkey. Tehran wants to redirect Turkish exports from its Israeli route back to Syria, and use the Turkish route to promote Iranian products in Europe.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 3, 2013
Turkish and Iranian Foreign Ministers Ahmet Davutoglu and Javad Zarif signed a secret pact in Ankara covering intelligence cooperation between their two countries Friday, Nov. 1, debkafile reveals exclusively. Although a member of NATO, Turkey undertook under this accord to stop cooperating with third countries in spying on Iran and to roll up anti-Iranian spy rings operating from its soil. From late October, the Erdogan government began enforcing a prohibition on the activities of agents collecting information on Iran from the Turkish side of the Iranian border.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 31, 2013
A major upheaval is believed in progress - not just in US intelligence networks but across the espionage industry around the world in a mad race to shut down, recover and replace the blown networks, for fear of Snowden’s revelations.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 17, 2013
The US Seals team assigned with capturing al Shabaab’s Nairobi mastermind missed out by failing to learn the lessons of the US Mogadishu raid of 1993.