DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis December 1, 2014
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu preferred Maj. Gen. Yair Golan for the top IDF post to Maj. Gen. Gady Eizenkott, whose appointment was announced Nov. 29. He was dissatisfied with the performance of retiring Chief of Staff Benny Gantz and his deputy Eizenkott in the Gaza campaign, as wanting in assertiveness and the operational and tactical capabilities required for countering Hizballah’s plans to take the coming war forecast for the spring onto Israel’s home ground. Netanyahu hopes Gen. Golan as Deputy C-of-S will make up for those deficiencies.
Iranian specialists failed to capture a sophisticated anti-Hizballah spying device which self-destructed
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 7, 2014
Hizballah's sophisticated hi-tech optical fiber communications network links its command centers, units, rocket launchers, senior officials’ homes and intelligence branches. Those communications are also ciphered and hard to intercept and decode. Planting an eavesdropping device sophisticated enough to interface with this network is risky and calls for high technological resources and expertise. Iranian experts, determined to hunt down and dissect one such spying device were thwarted Friday, Sept. 5, when their prize self-destructed and killed a Hizballah operative.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 29, 2014
Iran claimed to have droned an Israeli made Hermes 450 drone over a nuclear facility, and despite denials by experts the plane was likely collecting intelligence for a preemptive strike or future military action.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis August 22, 2014
Hamas executed 18 Palestinians as Israel informers Friday, Aug. 22 – shooting eleven at a police station in Gaza City and seven publicly outside the city’s central mosque. This method was seemingly counseled by Iranian and Hizballah advisers to deter Israel from further targeted liquidations of Hamas’ military chiefs. The gruesome images from Gaza ought to have dispelled Egyptian and Israeli illusions that Hamas, any more than the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, seeks a political solution of the Gaza conflict. What these Palestinian extremists want is a bloodbath.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 14, 2014
Obama’s plan to use Iran to push IS out of Iraq is hitting a rough patch as the Islamists are undeterred and continue their onslaught in Kurdistan, which the US has all but abandoned.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 8, 2014
Iran looks to get back into the Palestinian terror game by rearming Hamas and Islamic Jihad, attempting to use its Jordanian sleeper cells to smuggle weapons into the West Bank and Gaza.
Iran, Al Qaeda took note of curbs on IDF vanquishing Hamas, which now has core of a Palestinian army
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis August 6, 2014
As Israeli envoys arrived in Cairo Tuesday, Aug. 6, on the first day of a 72-hour Gaza ceasefire, government spokesmen went to great lengths to convince the public that the fighting was over and the enemy seriously degraded. debkafile: But Hamas though badly hit was not vanquished, its command level survived and the core of a Palestinian army has emerged. Al Qaeda, from its new battle arena in Lebanon, and Iran, too, drew their own conclusions from the way the IDF was held back from bringing its successful operation to victory.
Netanyahu’s dilemma: Back Obama’s save Hamas policy, or fight for its downfall with Egypt and Saudis
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis July 28, 2014
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu was wavering Sunday, July 27, between sticking with his understsanding with Saudi Arabia and Egypt to crush Hamas, at the cost of a deep rift with Washington, or going along with Kerry, at the cost of Israel’s security against dangerous terrorists. This dilemma was mirrored in the stop-go ceasefire orders to Israel’s forces fighting in the Gaza Strip, an uncertainty of purpose that put them in great danger. It also left Hamas free to shoot rockets any time, with the US, Europe, Iran, Qatar and Turkey at its back.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 24, 2014
Hamas has shown itself to be a well-trained and disciplined army in the past few weeks, but despite its rockets, snipers and infiltrators it has not yet managed any major successes.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 17, 2014
If Israel is to destroy Hamas’ Gaza-based control centers, weapons, and top commanders, it will need superior intelligence and control of the electronic front.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 17, 2014
As Hamas and Israel battle it out, Iran is buying new rockets from Libya and smuggling them in to Gaza through the porous Sinai Peninsula.
Unilateral Gaza ceasefire collapses. Israeli air strikes resume after dozens of Palestinian rockets in hours
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 15, 2014
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon ordered the Israeli Air Force to resume strikes over Gaza Tuesday afternoon, six hours after a ceasefire proposed by Egypt, accepted by Israel and rejected by Hamas, was due to go into effect. During those hours, dozens of Hamas rockets raked town after town and village after village. debkafile: The White House called off US Secretary of State John Kerry’s Cairo visit upon finding Tehran’s hand behind the rockets. Netanyahu goes on the air at 8 p.m. to explain what went wrong.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 11, 2014
Israel’s reliance on air strikes and intelligence mean Hamas’ underground bunkers and infrastructure remain untouched, and ground troops are the only way to take them out.
Al Qaeda-Iraq forces advance on Baghdad military air base. US ponders air strike ahead of Iran and Russia
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 4, 2014
Al Qaeda Iraq (IS) and its Sunni allies were advancing Friday, July 4 on the al-Muthanna military air base at Baghdad international airport, debkafile reports. Three columns, of 1,000-1,500 fighters each, were driving forward in US-made armored Humvees and APCs taken booty. They were also after the assault planes Iran and Russia delivered to the base. The Obama administration must decide quickly whether to launch its first air strike to head off the Iraqi Islamists before they grab the strategic air base and, just as importantly, before Tehran or Moscow moves in.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 27, 2014
The Saudis first intervened in the Iraq war to support local Sunnis allied with ISIS and this week found ISIS heading for their own border.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 27, 2014
Iran’s dream of a Shiite Crescent ranging from Bahrain to Beirut was shattered by ISIS in Iraq.
King Abdullah calls up Saudi armed forces on high preparedness. Egyptian troops ready to fly to kingdom
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 26, 2014
Thursday, June 26, the day before US Secretary of State John Kerry was due in Riyadh, King Abdullah summoned a National Security Council meeting “upon the current security events in the region, especially in Iraq,” and ordered “all necessary measures to protect the kingdom against terrorist threats.” The Saudi military has been mobilized and placed on high preparedness, after royal reconnaissance flights discovered Iraqi Al Qaeda-linked Sunni fighters (ISIS) heading for the Saudi border to seize the Ar Ar crossing. debkafile: Egyptian commandos are about to fly out to bolster Saudi border defenses.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis June 16, 2014
An approaching IDF military operation against Hamas appeared to be building up this week in the wake of the massive IDF effort to rescue the three Israeli boys Hamas kidnapped outside Hebron on June 10. debkafile: It already has a name: “Our Brothers Come Home.” Egypt has reinforced its borders with Israel and Gaza, offering the chance of President Abdule-Fattah El-Sisi’s backing. Israel’s strategic decisions are influenced by the thousands of Iranian Shiite troops battling Sunni Islamists in Iraq. Tehran's success would consolidate Hamas and Jihad Islami domination of Ramallah.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 13, 2014
US, Iran caught off guard by rapid ISIS advances in Iraq, with Israel the only army that has restructured for unconventional warfare.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 5, 2014
The new Palestinian unity government leaves Hamas with major sources of power, including militia, weaponry, Gaza port, and civilian posts. Some worry Hamas is attempting to do what Hizballah has done in Lebanon and overtake Fatah and the PA.