DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 28, 2013
It is hard to see why Israel is going through with the release of 26 Palestinian terrorists convicted for murder when the Palestinians have slapped down on the negotiating table 16 harsh terms - first revealed here by debkafile - that will defy even US Secretary of State John Kerry’s bridging skills. Each of those demands, such as Israel’s withdrawal to the 1949 armistice lines, forgo E. Jerusalem and accept 1948 refugees, is calculated to finally stall any diplomatic solution of the Middle East dispute.
The Big Fraud: Tehran’s ScanEagle gift to Russia covered handover of secret US RQ-170 drone technology
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 25, 2013
Iranian video cameras homed in on the presentation of a replica of the US-made ScanEagle drone by Iran’s air force chief Farzad Esmayeeli to Lt. Gen. Viktor Bondarev, visiting Russian air force chief, on Tuesday, Oct. 22. debkafile: This incident, an affront to the US, will also go down as a major military intelligence fraud, because it provided cover for the discreet handover to the Russian general of a replica complete with technology of America’s most secret drone, the sophisticated RQ-170 Sentinel, a prize long coveted by Moscow.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 24, 2013
Obama, while pretending to be dissatisfied with Iran’s nuclear concessions, accelerates the wording of a draft nuclear deal with Iran via Russia and prepares to spring it on the world as a big surprise.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 8, 2013
Large Syrian forces through Tuesday night, Oct. 8, tightened the siege on the rebel-held town of Khan Arnabeh which is the key to controlling the main highway from the capital, Damascus, to the Syrian Golan. The town is expected to fall quite soon. Its capture also provides the key to the central crossroads around the Golan town of Quneitra and will enable the Syria army to return to the UN-policed disengagement zone dividing the enclave between Syria and Israel. debkafile: The rebels are putting up no more than token resistance.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 7, 2013
Hizballah is surreptitiously withdrawing thousands of fighting men from Syria after an intervention for saving the Assad regime. debkafile: This withdrawal closes Tehran’s first successful experiment in fielding a surrogate force for determining the outcome of a war in an important strategic arena. Despite heavy losses, Hizballah comes out toughened by combat experience and seasoned in running regular military units in battle under combined Iranian-Syrian command. The Lebanese Shiites have won a tactical advantage over the IDF which has not faced real combat since 2006.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 27, 2013
Thursday, Sept.26, was the day Israeli lost its freedom to use force either against the Iranian nuclear threat hanging over its head or Syria’s chemical capacity – at least, so long as Barack Obama is US president. The Iranian-Syrian-Hizballah axis is safe. The US also promises to start lifting sanctions in December if Iran admits inspectors to the Fordo enrichment plant. At the Security Council, the US finally buried the use of force against Syria’s use of chemical weapons by acceding to Russia’s demand to drop the penalty clause.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 10, 2013
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon have patted themselves on the back for a balanced and cautious stance that kept Israel secure during the Syrian conflict. However, President Barack Obama’s decision Tuesday, Sept. 10 to put US military action on hold leaves Israel exposed to a second major WMD threat: Bashar Assad keeps his chemical capability intact. An international control mechanism would take a year or more to put in place and meanwhile, Assad is off the hook for a crushing assault on Aleppo.
Syrian, Hizballah rockets for Palestinian anti-Israel proxy-reprisals. Syrian Sukhoi bombers over Cyprus
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 9, 2013
Syria and Hizballah Sunday, Sept. 8, finished supplying rockets to dozens of Palestinian groups, some ad hoc inventions, and deploying them on the Syrian and Lebanese borders facing Israel, debkafile discloses. An array of Katyushas, Grads and Fajr-5s, with ranges of up to 70 kilometers, is now in place. That night, an Israeli anti-missile Iron Dome battery was deployed in the Jerusalem region for the first time. Also Sunday, two Sukhoi (Su-24) bombers flew over the British Cypriot air base of Akrotiri, the second Syrian over-flight in a week.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 1, 2013
President Barack Obama’s about-turn Saturday night, Aug. 31 on the planned US military operation against Syria’s chemical weapons has shaken up the volatile Middle East balance of strength, giving Israel, Jordan and Turkey “a military nightmare.” By suspending the US military threat, Obama has given Iran, Syria and Hizballah the time and freedom to stage a pre-emptive strike against America and its regional allies. Israel’s authorities are taking no chances and keeping in place the military and security preparedness on the country’s Syrian and Lebanese borders.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 30, 2013
Israelis and Saudis are concerned Obama will treat nuclear Iran as leniently as chemical Syria.
Assad may hit back at Israel for US strike, trusting Obama to tie Israel’s hands against major reprisal
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 27, 2013
There is little logic in the Netanyahu government’s public assurances that the Syrian ruler Bashar Assad would not risk a major showdown with Israel for fear of an IDF response powerful enough to overthrow his regime. debkafile: President Barack Obama would not countenance an Israeli military strike against Syria disproportionate to a US operation, or capable of endangering Assad’s rule. Assad's Russian advisers have undoubtedly briefed him on Israel’s tied hands. However, even a limited US strike is likely to spread since Syria’s allies will not stand by idly.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 26, 2013
Five days late, UN team of experts Monday, Aug. 26, start scouring a site in eastern Damascus for shrapnel from the poison gas shells or rockets fired by the Syrian army’s 155th Brigade last Wednesday. debkafile: This was decided between the UN Secretariat and the White House Sunday night. They agreed that the only chance of finding evidence was to examine a targeted site or injured victims. Since, the latter are unavailable, the experts hope that even after a Syrian cleanup they may turn up shell fragments however microscopic.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 25, 2013
The US has little doubt the Syrian government used chemical weapons against civilians, a senior US official said Sunday, Aug. 25. "At this juncture, any belated regime decision to grant access to the UN team would be considered too late to be credible, including because the evidence available has been significantly corrupted.,” he said. This reaction indicated the White House had not backed away from military intervention, even after Tehran warned the US not to “cross red lines” in Syria and Moscow advised Washington to “avoid tragic mistakes.”
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 23, 2013
Egyptian intelligence has asked for Israel help in tracking down Mahmoud Izzat Ibrahim, newly-anointed Brotherhood Supreme Guide, last seen holed up in Gaza.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 22, 2013
The four rockets striking Israel from South Lebanon Thursday, Aug. 22, were Grad 120mm rockets launched by the Jihad Islami from the Palestinian Burj Al-Shamali refugee camp near Tyre. This emerged after a stream of muddled and conflicting communiqués came from the IDF spokesman. The Jihad Islami takes its orders from Tehran and the Lebanese Hizballah. One of the rockets was intercepted by Iron Dome. None inflicted casualties, except for three shock victims, but they did cause damage to buildings and vehicles in two locations.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 20, 2013
In one revealing sentence, Turkish prime minister Tayyip Erdogan undid US and Israeli hard work for glossing over his radical anti-Semitic views and the bankruptcy of his Middle East policies. This time, Erdogan went so far as to accuse Israel of orchestrating Egypt’s July 3 military coup Monday, Aug. 20, in the hope of diverting attention away from his failures. debkafile: In the same breath as he stigmatized “Jewish intellectuals,” he also revealed the ruination of his Middle East ambitions and overturned Obama’s efforts for a reconciliation between Jerusalem and Ankara.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 20, 2013
The Muslim Brotherhood’s Supreme Guide Mohammed Badie was detained early Tuesday, Aug. 20, in a Cairo apartment. Most of the Brotherhood’s leadership are now in custody or have fled the country, some to the Gaza Strip. The Badie arrest marks the collapse of his movement’s resistance to the military takeover. Rallies scheduled for Monday in Cairo and other Egyptian towns were cancelled as life began to return to normal. The Saudis are lobbying intensely in the West on behalf of Egypt's military rulers.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 11, 2013
On July 22, debkafile revealed the escape to Gaza of six Muslim Brotherhood officials after Morsi’s ouster. Headed by Mahmud Izzat Ibrahim, they set up a command center at the Gaza Beach Hotel for an uprising against the military. It now transpires that after their election, the Brothers never dismantled their paramilitary underground and Ibrahim was the “Mr. X” who manipulated their front politicians and Supreme Guide. The Egyptian army and Israel can help each other destroy this center of resistance and beat off jihadi terror from Sinai and Gaza.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 25, 2013
The Obama letters to Netanyahu and Abbas are key to the opening of peace talks between Israel and the Palestinians as per Kerry’s initiative. He has set up four mechanisms for controlling every aspect of the talks.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 25, 2013
For lack of a credible US military presence in the Middle East, Moscow and Tehran feel free to impede the progress of Kerry’s plan to revive Israel-Palestinian peace talks.