DEBKAfile Special Report April 8, 2014
Iran and the six world powers Tuesday, April 8, kicked off negotiations in Vienna for a final and comprehensive nuclear accord. debkafile reports that in its haste to start drafting the document by mid-May, the Obama administration is ignoring the military aspects of Iran’s nuclear program. A senior Israeli security official remarked: “The Americans are ready to take Tehran’s assurance that its program is purely peaceful at face value.” The initial US-Iranian argument over the quantity of low-grade enriched uranium permissible is irrelevant given the fissile material concealed in Tehran’s weapons program.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 4, 2014
Top US soldier Gen. Martin Dempsey was given the task of deterring Israel from reverting to its plans for a unilateral strike on Iran’s nuclear program. After camvassing Israeli leaders and generals, he left without clear answers.
Dempsey claims Israel satisfied the US will use military option against Iran. DEBKAfile: Israel doesn’t say this
DEBKAfile Special Report April 2, 2014
Top US soldier Gen. Martin Dempsey left Israel on April 2 saying its leaders were now satisfied the US was capable of using a military option against Iran. debkafile: The Israeli officials he met did not confirm this, or the “broad Israel-US agreement” on how to deal with the Iranian threat. Dempsey’s remark that the US “will use a military option if the Iranians choose to stray off the diplomatic path,” confirmed that nothing had changed. More about this in the coming issue of DEBKA Weekly out Friday. To subscribe, click here.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 27, 2014
Israel has set up new IDF formations for combating potential terrorist incursions from three al Qaeda-ruled areas adjoining its borders, while also planning to use drones.
DEBKAfile Special Report March 13, 2014
The Israeli Air force struck 7 terrorist targets in southern Gaza Thursday, March 13, after a second round of rockets were fired at Ashkelon and Ashdod. The Jihad Islami reported a ceasefire was negotiated through Egypt. This was not confirmed by Israel. Earlier, Israel’s security cabinet met to determine how the IDF should handle Jihad Islami’s massive assault against Israel Wednesday, executed on orders from its boss, Al Qods Brigades chief Gen. Qassem Soleimani, as payback for Israel's seizure of an Iranian missile ship last week.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 7, 2014
The US delivers assault helicopters in special airlift to Israel and places its Middle East forces on high alert, especially in the Mediterranean. Russian armed forces also remain on combat readiness.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 28, 2014
Israel’s intelligence minister has bitten off more than he can chew, by demanding more oversight on the operations of Israel’s three intelligence branches.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 20, 2014
Iraqi al Qaeda has arrived in Sinai to upgrade the performance of local jihadis. Terrorist strength has jumped close to the numbers of Egyptian troops in counter-terror operations in the peninsula.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis February 16, 2014
Israel’s strategists have found a new cause for disquiet. On top of concern over the concentration of al Qaeda fighting strength around its borders, they are beginning to worry about Russian President Vladimir Putin capitalizing on America’s withdrawal from the Middle East, by means of military pacts with Syrian President Bashar Assad and Egypt's Gen. Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi. Since Egypt’s economic woes are incurable, El-Sisi plans to build a strong regime with Russian and Saudi support and lead a pan-Arab nationalist movement – potentially versus Israel.
Iran spreads its war wings: Hizballah deepens role in Syria. Israel, Syria, Lebanon “regions of conflict”
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 10, 2014
In a policy makeover, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has decided to seal off in a separate policy compartment Iran’s nuclear diplomatic tactics for obtaining sanctions relief - and for dominating the Syrian war negotiations resuming in Geneva, Monday, Feb. 10 - and place Iran’s regional goals in another box. Alongside diplomacy, Al Qods Brigades chief Qassem Soleimani will execute Iran’s expanded regional interventions. Hizballah is already deepening its role in the Syrian civil war, while Lebanon, Syria and Israel are targeted by Tehran as “areas of conflict.”
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis February 2, 2014
Secretary of State John Kerry freely used scare tactics such as a fresh Palestinian “intifada,’ and international boycotts and isolation, to cow Israel into signing on the dotted line of the framework accord he proposes to submit to Israel and the Palestinians. debkafile: Such tactics tend to backfire as self-fulfilling prophecies - witness proliferating Palestinian terror attacks and the latest Scandinavian boycott of Israel's three largest banks for the “crime” of business on the West Bank. A small spark may easily ignite a major bonfire in this overheated climate.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 24, 2014
The delegation to Geneva 2 representing Bashar Assad holds most of the levers and will make sure that there is no resolution suggesting his removal. Iran denies accepting any dismantling of its nuclear infrastructure, and Kerry misses a visit to Israel and the Palestinians.
DEBKAfile Special Report January 22, 2014
The Shin Bet disclosed Wednesday, Jan. 22, that three Palestinians in custody were recruited by al Qaeda for suicide operations planned by Ayman Zuwahiri for execution with five North Caucasian terrorists arriving on fake Russian passports. The targets were the US Embassy in Tel Aviv, the Jerusalem Convention Center and Jerusalem-Maaleh Adummim buses. debkafile: It was the first time Zuwahiri took a personal hand in setting up attacks inside Israel with mixed teams from the Caucasus, the Gaza Strip, Syria and local Palestinians.
DEBKAfile Special Report January 13, 2014
The US and Iran agree to treat Tehran’s regional policies as separate from nuclear diplomacy to forestall obstacles which such opponents as Saudi Arabia and Israel may raise. Monday, Jan. 14, senior US sources admitted: “The US and Iran have sought to insulate the nuclear negotiations from the tensions over Iran’s regional policies.” On the Syrian issue, governments near and far will attend Geneva 2, but Israel is not invited, although events in next-door Syria and Lebanon directly impinge on its security. Sharon would not have taken this snub lying down.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 9, 2014
Tehran is openly installing fast IR-2m centrifuges designed to speed uranium enrichment, and preparing even faster machines, claiming they were covered by the US-led five power recognition of Iran’s right to nuclear enrichment under the November, 2013 Geneva pact. debkafile: A follow-up meeting takes place Thursday, Nov. 9, in the face of the Iranian lawmaker Muhammad Nabavian’s revelation that Tehran can produce a bomb within two weeks - and a complete nuclear arsenal with the help of the new centrifuges. He named Israel as its target.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 26, 2013
The newest Palestinian terrorist weapon is an Iranian copy of the Austrian single-shot Steyr 50 caliber assassin’s rifle. It was used by a trained sniper to murder Saleh Abu-Tayyel Tuesday on Dec. 24. The marksman belonged to the Hamas-commanded Popular Resistance Committees. He was assisted by a Jihad Islami scout who helped him position the 12.5 kilo, 1.37 m long rifle. IDF Master Sgt. Gal Koby, who was killed on Sept. 22 by a single shot in Hebron, may too have been the victim of a Palestinian sniper using a Steyr 50.
DEBKAfile Special Report December 22, 2013
A medium-sized bomb exploded on a Dan No. 240 bus in Bat Yam on the outskirts of Tel Aviv Monday, Dec. 22, in what the police believe is a fresh outbreak of Palestinian terrorist attacks on Israeli civilian transport. A passenger spotted an unattended bag and alerted the driver who pulled over, cleared the bus and called the police in time. A police sapper who tried to defuse the bomb slightly hurt his hand when it blew up. Police judge the incident to be terror-related for a multiple-casualty attack.
Obama threatens to cut off US support to South Sudan if violence continues, sends special envoy to Juba
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 22, 2013
From his holiday in Hawaii Saturday, Dec. 21, President Barack Obama threatened to withdraw the support of the US and other nations from South Sudan if the violence continued, after three US military planes were hit by ground fire on an evacuation mission over rebel-held Bor. Four Americans were injured, one critically. Obama held South Sudanese leaders responsible for protecting Americans. debkafile: The US warning applied also to the Israelis aiding South Sudan and trying to resolve the differences between the feuding President Saval Kiira and his ousted deputy Riek Machar.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 13, 2013
Al Qaeda pens its first operational blueprint for Israel’s destruction, planning to use its lack of strategic depth to attack the Jewish state from Syria and Iraq.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 11, 2013
The suspension of US-UK non-lethal military aid to the Syrian opposition in the north – ostensibly to keep it out of Islamist hands – is only part of the story. The aid will be put in the hands of the pro-American rebel forces deployed to man a new security zone the two powers are carving out in the south, as a barrier against al Qaeda’s encroachments on the Jordanian, Israeli, and Lebanese borders, as well as Damascus. Two war rooms in Irbid, Jordan will run the operation under a US general.