DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 27, 2015
Washington prepares to pull its troops out of the MFO Sinai force to escape Islamist threats, but also Tiran island which will leave vital sea passages unguarded and open to being seized by ISIS.
Russia and US woo Saudis to help save Assad - albeit putting Israel and Jordan in danger from S. Syria
DEBKAfile Special Report August 9, 2015
Building on the nuclear accord, the Obama administration has been in close communion with Moscow and Tehran on moves to save the Assad regime as the key to ending the Syrian conflict and a united front against the Islamic State. This initiative was to have peaked at the Doha foreign ministers’ meeting on Aug. 3, except that it was blocked by Saudi refusal to acknowledge Assad. The US and Russia hope to change Riyadh’s mind when Foreign Minister Adel Al-Jubeir visits Moscow on Aug. 11. But then, Israel and Jordan would face great peril from southern Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis July 18, 2015
Mohammed Youssuf Abdulazeez, 24, who Thursday, July 16, murdered four US Marines in Chattanooga, Tennessee, and wounded three people, was the third Muslim of Jordanian-Palestinian descent to massacre US military or intelligence personnel in six years. debkafile: These acts of terror were the price US agencies paid for relying on Jordan’s General Intelligence Directorate for penetration agents against Al Qaeda, the Islamic State and other radical Islamist organizations. He must have been under Jordanian radar when he traveled to Yemen, and Jordan’s GID must have tipped off US intelligence.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 10, 2015
American experts are overseeing a lightning operation for setting up either mobile sensor towers or electronic fences in Tunisia, Egypt, Jordan and Israel in a desperate bid to seal their borders off against the fast-moving ISIS impetus. Its reign of terror is spreading out from Iraq and Syria and creeping into southern Jordan, the Israeli Negev and Egyptian Sinai, then on to Libya and over to Tunisia and Algeria, covering a distance of 4,000 km. Egypt’s El-Sisi asked for the towers when the ISIS offensive in N. Sinai went into its second week unchecked.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 9, 2015
Under a secret deal with Obama, Putin has cornered the Middle East nuclear market and signed contracts to supply reactors and other facilities to Saudi Arabia, Iran, Egypt, Jordan and the UAE. Fordo will become a research center.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 2, 2015
It has always been dangerous to predict Bashar Assad’s downfall, even now after his army and Hizballah have experienced grave military reverses. The US-backed rebels in the south are not doing too well either.
Turkey and Jordan said preparing buffer zones inside Syria. Israeli air support mooted. Putin issues warning
DEBKAfile Special Report June 30, 2015
Turkish and Jordanian armies were reported on June 30 to be getting ready to cross into Syria and set up security buffer zones – to fight ISIS, oppose the Assad regime and stem the never-ending flow of refugees. It is not clear if they are coordinated. Turkey has prepared 18,000 troops for the operation. Its air force is to impose a no-fly zone against Syrian flights. The Jordanian army is also on the ready to go in and said to be seeking Israel’s air force participation for air cover and a parallel no-fly zone in the south.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 20, 2015
Jabal Druze and southern Syrian Druze leaders have reached a mutual non-belligerence understanding with the Syrian rebel militias fighting in the region, including Al Qaeda’s arm, the Nusra Front. This is reported exclusively by debkafile. The US and the King of Jordan have guaranteed the deal concluded Friday June 10. On the spot, Jordan opened a corridor for military assistance and supplies to half million Druze in mountain villages. The southern Druze pledged not to allow the 8 Druze militias loyal to Bashar Assad to operate from their territory.
DEBKAfile Special Report June 11, 2015
Israel has a historic commitment to its Druze citizens and so the dangers besetting more than half a million of their distressed Syrian brethren on Jabal Druze, 88 km from its border, and 38 km from Jordan, confronts the Netanyahu government with a grave dilemma. Conceding to Israeli Druze leaders’ demand to send them arms would draw Israel out of its long abstention from direct involvement in the Syrian conflict. But refusing many thousands of Druze refugees admission, if put to flight by Islamists, is not an option, which may not be precluded anyway by sending weapons.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 24, 2015
Columns of ISIS tanks and armored cars (made in the US and taken booty in Iraq) were heading Sunday, May 24, from Palmyra for the Jordanian border, with no Syrian troops in sight to block their advance, debkafile reports exclusively. Their initial target is the eastern section of the border, including the meeting point between the Syrian, Jordanian and Iraqi frontiers. The US maintains 7,000 special operations troops and an air force unit in the Kingdom of Jordan. President Barack Obama must decide how they react to an ISIS invasion.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 14, 2015
The B-52H bomber which flew directly from the US to join a multilateral anti-terror exercise in Jordan was hardly the right weapon for swatting ISIS, but better suited for a strong message to Tehran and Damascus.
First ISIS Shooting Attack into Israeli Golan, First Ambush of US-Backed Syrian Rebels near Quneitra
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 30, 2015
ISIS has pushed down from eastern Syria into the South reaching to within a stone’s throw of Israel’s Golan border. The jihadis conducted their first ambush against US-backed Syrian rebels near Quneitra, killing six officers and men.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 26, 2015
The US can’t get its Mosul spring offensive against ISIS off the ground because Iraqi troops are not ready and the Kurds and Arab coalition members are holding back for taking part.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 12, 2015
The US promise of a large ground offensive against ISIS hinges entirely on training and arming Iraqi troops as the other Arab coalition members go AWOL.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 7, 2015
Jordan carried out a second straight day of air strikes Friday, Feb. 6 on Islamic State positions. But ISIS countered swiftly for “dozens of Jordanian air strikes” in Syria, by blaming those strikes for the purported death of their American hostage, 26-year old Kayla Mueller in their Syrian stronghold, Raqqa. debkafile: After burning the Jordanian pilot Lt. Mu’ath al Kassaesbeh alive, ISIS is capable of murdering its American hostage to deter US and Jordan from sending ground troops into the war, as President Obama plans to ask Congress to approve more military force.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 5, 2015
ISIS tacticians figured that the horrific murder of the Jordanian pilot would drum up anti-US sentiment and popular Arab calls to quit the US-led coalition.
DEBKAfile Special Report February 5, 2015
The UAE suspended its participation in the US-led coalition against ISIS in Iraq after the capture of Jordanian pilot Lt. Mu’ath al Kassasbeh by the Islamic State revealed the absence of personnel and facilities on hand for rescuing coalition air crews falling into enemy hands. The Jordanian pilot was subsequently burned alive. debkafile: The UAE contributed the largest and most modern air force in the Gulf region. But the entire coalition is fraying over the profound concern of all the Arab participants over America's expanding cooperation with Iran.
DEBKAfile Special Report February 4, 2015
At dawn Wednesday, Feb. 4, Jordan executed the Iraqi woman terrorist Sajida al-Rishawi, who was offered to ISIS to save the life of the pilot Lt. Mu’ath al Kassasbeh, along with another al Qaeda terrorist Ziad Karbouli. Since the Islamic State released the video showing the young pilot burned alive in a cage, the Jordanian army and security forces have been on full-scale alert in case ISIS hits back at the executions by activating its many sleeper cells for strikes in Jordanian cities. debkafile: This would bring the jihadist threat up to Israel’s eastern border.
ISIS capture of Jordanian pilot puts US and Jordan in conflicting dilemmas, may be pivotal to anti-terror war
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis December 25, 2014
The US military is going to great lengths to deny that ISIS shot down the Jordanian Air Force F-16 which came down Wednesday, Dec. 24 over the northern Syrian town of Raqaa. First Lieutenant Muath al-Kasaesbeh, aged 27, was the first Arab pilot captured by the Islamic State. Jordanian tribal leaders and the US military are making intense efforts to keep the pilot, a member of the Bararsha tribe oif South Jordan, safe. Washington regards his fate as potentially pivotal to the continued participation of four Arab air forces in the war on ISIS.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 17, 2014
The Syrian rebel Yarmouk Shuhada Brigades, backed and trained in Jordan for two years by US officers and supported by the Israeli army, has abruptly dumped them and switched to the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, debkafile’s exclusive sources reveal. This sudden defection leaves IDF defense formations on the Golan, US and Jordanian deployments in the northern part of the kingdom, and pro-Western rebel conquests in southern Syria in danger of collapse. ISIS gains direct access to a long section of Israel’s Golan border with Syria.