DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 4, 2016
The ISIS Caliph is preparing to run away from the US-Russian blitz awaiting Raqqa, and setting up shop either in Yemen (with AQAP) or in the North African desert (with AQIM).
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 28, 2016
America and Russia have shared out their military roles in two hotspots – the US leads a new coalition for defeating ISIS in Libya, Russia is taking charge of leading the Syrian army to victory and vanquishing the rebel movement.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 12, 2015
The well-choreographed Obama-Netanyahu summit went swimmingly. They agreed to go back to close intelligence ties and the president was receptive to Israel’s concerns regarding the threats emanating from Syria, and the complication of the Russian military presence.
DEBKAfile Special Report November 9, 2015
ISIS carried out a terrorist attack in Jordan on Monday, Nov. 9, just hours before Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Obama met for talks at the White House in Washington. Since the two leaders concur on the rising threat posed by ISIS, it can be assumed that a significant portion of their meeting centered on the news of the attack in Jordan, in which two American trainers, a South African and two Jordanians were killed - and its implications.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 17, 2015
Saudi Arabia and the UAE are funneling millions of dollars to Palestinian groups to buy their abstention from the current wave of terror against Israel, while Iran and Hizballah spend cash to convince Palestinian extremists to keep the flames high. The Saudi-Iranian contest terror poses a major threat to the security and stability of Israel and Jordan. The Obama administration is left behind and Mahmoud Abbas is out in the cold as the Saudis and UAE go directly to Israel and Jordan.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 3, 2015
Jordan’s Abdullah has built a new 70,000-strong Hashemite Army with US arms and Saudi funding. It is now poised for battle in eastern Syria to take on ISIS at Deir Ez-Zur.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 27, 2015
Washington prepares to pull its troops out of the MFO Sinai force to escape Islamist threats, but also Tiran island which will leave vital sea passages unguarded and open to being seized by ISIS.
Russia and US woo Saudis to help save Assad - albeit putting Israel and Jordan in danger from S. Syria
DEBKAfile Special Report August 9, 2015
Building on the nuclear accord, the Obama administration has been in close communion with Moscow and Tehran on moves to save the Assad regime as the key to ending the Syrian conflict and a united front against the Islamic State. This initiative was to have peaked at the Doha foreign ministers’ meeting on Aug. 3, except that it was blocked by Saudi refusal to acknowledge Assad. The US and Russia hope to change Riyadh’s mind when Foreign Minister Adel Al-Jubeir visits Moscow on Aug. 11. But then, Israel and Jordan would face great peril from southern Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis July 18, 2015
Mohammed Youssuf Abdulazeez, 24, who Thursday, July 16, murdered four US Marines in Chattanooga, Tennessee, and wounded three people, was the third Muslim of Jordanian-Palestinian descent to massacre US military or intelligence personnel in six years. debkafile: These acts of terror were the price US agencies paid for relying on Jordan’s General Intelligence Directorate for penetration agents against Al Qaeda, the Islamic State and other radical Islamist organizations. He must have been under Jordanian radar when he traveled to Yemen, and Jordan’s GID must have tipped off US intelligence.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 10, 2015
American experts are overseeing a lightning operation for setting up either mobile sensor towers or electronic fences in Tunisia, Egypt, Jordan and Israel in a desperate bid to seal their borders off against the fast-moving ISIS impetus. Its reign of terror is spreading out from Iraq and Syria and creeping into southern Jordan, the Israeli Negev and Egyptian Sinai, then on to Libya and over to Tunisia and Algeria, covering a distance of 4,000 km. Egypt’s El-Sisi asked for the towers when the ISIS offensive in N. Sinai went into its second week unchecked.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 9, 2015
Under a secret deal with Obama, Putin has cornered the Middle East nuclear market and signed contracts to supply reactors and other facilities to Saudi Arabia, Iran, Egypt, Jordan and the UAE. Fordo will become a research center.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 2, 2015
It has always been dangerous to predict Bashar Assad’s downfall, even now after his army and Hizballah have experienced grave military reverses. The US-backed rebels in the south are not doing too well either.
Turkey and Jordan said preparing buffer zones inside Syria. Israeli air support mooted. Putin issues warning
DEBKAfile Special Report June 30, 2015
Turkish and Jordanian armies were reported on June 30 to be getting ready to cross into Syria and set up security buffer zones – to fight ISIS, oppose the Assad regime and stem the never-ending flow of refugees. It is not clear if they are coordinated. Turkey has prepared 18,000 troops for the operation. Its air force is to impose a no-fly zone against Syrian flights. The Jordanian army is also on the ready to go in and said to be seeking Israel’s air force participation for air cover and a parallel no-fly zone in the south.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 20, 2015
Jabal Druze and southern Syrian Druze leaders have reached a mutual non-belligerence understanding with the Syrian rebel militias fighting in the region, including Al Qaeda’s arm, the Nusra Front. This is reported exclusively by debkafile. The US and the King of Jordan have guaranteed the deal concluded Friday June 10. On the spot, Jordan opened a corridor for military assistance and supplies to half million Druze in mountain villages. The southern Druze pledged not to allow the 8 Druze militias loyal to Bashar Assad to operate from their territory.
DEBKAfile Special Report June 11, 2015
Israel has a historic commitment to its Druze citizens and so the dangers besetting more than half a million of their distressed Syrian brethren on Jabal Druze, 88 km from its border, and 38 km from Jordan, confronts the Netanyahu government with a grave dilemma. Conceding to Israeli Druze leaders’ demand to send them arms would draw Israel out of its long abstention from direct involvement in the Syrian conflict. But refusing many thousands of Druze refugees admission, if put to flight by Islamists, is not an option, which may not be precluded anyway by sending weapons.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 24, 2015
Columns of ISIS tanks and armored cars (made in the US and taken booty in Iraq) were heading Sunday, May 24, from Palmyra for the Jordanian border, with no Syrian troops in sight to block their advance, debkafile reports exclusively. Their initial target is the eastern section of the border, including the meeting point between the Syrian, Jordanian and Iraqi frontiers. The US maintains 7,000 special operations troops and an air force unit in the Kingdom of Jordan. President Barack Obama must decide how they react to an ISIS invasion.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 14, 2015
The B-52H bomber which flew directly from the US to join a multilateral anti-terror exercise in Jordan was hardly the right weapon for swatting ISIS, but better suited for a strong message to Tehran and Damascus.
First ISIS Shooting Attack into Israeli Golan, First Ambush of US-Backed Syrian Rebels near Quneitra
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 30, 2015
ISIS has pushed down from eastern Syria into the South reaching to within a stone’s throw of Israel’s Golan border. The jihadis conducted their first ambush against US-backed Syrian rebels near Quneitra, killing six officers and men.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 26, 2015
The US can’t get its Mosul spring offensive against ISIS off the ground because Iraqi troops are not ready and the Kurds and Arab coalition members are holding back for taking part.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 12, 2015
The US promise of a large ground offensive against ISIS hinges entirely on training and arming Iraqi troops as the other Arab coalition members go AWOL.