DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly November 8, 2012
The latest DEBKA-Net-Weekly out last Friday offers an expert forecast of how Barack Obama is approaching the region’s hot-button crises in his second term as US President. First, he will go for a “Grand Bargain” with Iran on its nuclear program – then, fast deals with Moscow and Beijing to cool the crises of a war-torn Syria, a burgeoning Muslim Brotherhood and a rampant al Qaeda. Will he keep US ties with Israel and other allies ambivalent? And will Obama diplomacy work better this time?
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis November 7, 2012
Some Middle East nations, including the Persian Gulf and Israel, view with trepidation four more years of Barack Obama. They envisage the continued hitching of US regional influence on the Muslim world – Sunni and Shiite alike – through the acceptance of a nuclear Iran and the sponsorship of Muslim Brotherhood rule of Sunni Arab nations. Israel is caught in a vise between Iran, whose leaders call openly for Israel’s extinction, which is achievable only by nuclear aggression, and the hostile Muslim Brotherhood.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 30, 2012
A plague on all your houses, says Vladimir Putin as he pulls Russia and its army away from escalating Middle East violence in consequence of the foreign intervention he anticipates in Syria and an attack on Iran. Russian arms deliveries are cut off to Iran and Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 21, 2012
Russian President Vladimir Putin started putting his plans for Russia to displace the US at key Middle East points at the Moscow nuclear talks and the G20 summit in Mexico where he enlisted China and Iran to defeat Washington’s plans. Starting out with a scheme of revenge for Libya, his horizon has since widened to blocking US President Barack Obama's Arab Revolt objectives and his policies for Syria and Iran.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly June 19, 2012
Russian President Vladimir Putin is in over-drive to recover Moscow’s overriding influence in the Arab world, which it lost to the United States in 1973. To roll the march of history back 39 years, Putin is enlisting China and Iran. The latest DEBKA-Net-Weekly issue out last Friday focuses on Russia’s comeback and Barack Obama’s prospects of pushing it back, given his reliance on the sympathy of the Muslim Brotherhood and the backing of an unpopular Turkey and a systematically disempowered Israel.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 5, 2012
A new US intelligence position paper addressed to the Oval Office makes Tayyip Erdogan the linchpin of Obama’s Middle East and Iran policies after he showed the flag by accepting a US radar station, part of NATO’s anti-Iran missile shield. This won him a harsh dressing-down by Khamenei.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 18, 2011
Extreme concern was quietly voiced Sunday, Dec. 18, by American and European official circles over the state of Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan's health – and especially its impact on present and impending events in Syria and other parts of the Middle East, including Iran, debkafile's Western intelligence sources report. Those sources say Erdogan is suffering from Rectosigmoid cancer. The prolonged treatment he needs is already affecting policy-making and has sparked the first signs of a power struggle within his ruling AKP party.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 1, 2011
After failing in Libya, Russia's Vladimir Putin and Dmitry Medvedev are determined not to let Syria, Moscow's only strategic partner in the Middle East, slip out of their hands. If Bashar Assad can't be saved, Moscow wants to be sure Damascus does not fall completely under Western sway.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 4, 2011
Regional leaders hope the US is ready for a fresh start to reestablish its influence after exiting Iraq. They count on an attack on Iran overturning the regimes in Tehran and Damascus although their rulers will fight to the death. NATO and Israel have embarked on joint maneuvers to study the lessons of the Libyan campaign and apply them to Iran.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 3, 2011
US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta warned Israel of increasing isolation in the Middle East and said "Israeli leaders must restart negotiations with the Palestinians and work to restore relations with Egypt and Turkey." Before landing in Israel Monday, Oct. 3, he also said:“Real security can only be achieved by both a strong diplomatic effort as well as a strong effort to project your military strength.”
DEBKAfile Special Report July 28, 2011
Russia has threatened to freeze the "reset" ties with the United States, which recently produced valuable cooperation and friendly understandings between the two powers in vital global arenas. debkafile's Moscow sources report the areas most affected are likely to be the Israel-Palestinian dispute, Moscow's effort to broker an end to the Libyan war and the Russian supply route for US forces fighting in Afghanistan.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly May 31, 2011
The rise of a new international Saudi Sunni Muslim army for combating Iranian expansion and the spread of the Arab Revolt is revealed in the latest issue of DEBKA-Net-Weekly, out Friday. Saudi scouts are seriously hunting for volunteers.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis May 20, 2011
By rejecting US President Barack Obama's proposal for Israel and its troops to pull back from the West Bank to behind the indefensible 1967 lines, Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu lands in the company of eleven Middle East and North African rulers who spurned Washington's Middle East policy in the six months of the unfolding Arab uprising.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly February 23, 2011
In its latest issue out Friday, DEBKA-Net-Weekly outlines Muammar Qaddafi's war plans for his opponents – at home and abroad. With a war chest stuffed with petrodollars, the Libyan ruler is capable of venting his fury by making a bonfire of oil and gas pipelines and facilities across the Middle East.
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DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 17, 2010
Moscow wants to get rid of the ME roadmap, Tony Blair and outdated peace tracks. Most of all, Russia seeks to unseat America as exclusive top dog in the region. A multilateral Middle East conference taking place in Moscow in February is designed to do just that.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 25, 2010
The hand Putin is reaching out to Lebanon for a stake in potential Mediterranean gas and oil reserves may put Lebanon in hock to Moscow for decades to come finds his partner, Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri on the edge of an abyss.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 21, 2010
Ahmadinejad, Nasrallah, Assad and Erdogan were all diminished by the Iranian president's bumbling performance in Lebanon - as were their hopes of a solidifying a radical bloc potent enough to rule the Middle East roost.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 7, 2010
In 1990, the Glaspie Effect, whereby the US declines to take a definite position on a conflict, led directly to the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and the first Gulf War in 1991. In 2010, the same effect generated by Hillary Clinton on the threat to Lebanon has brought the Middle East a big step closer to another war.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly September 16, 2010
Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair has carved out for himself a role at Barack Obama's right hand - uniquely for a non-American politician. In its latest issue out Friday, DEBKA-Net-Weekly looks behind Tony Blair's astonishing rise to the top of the White House team of policy-makers, especially on the Middle East and Iran. His popularity in Washington is matched inversely by his falling stakes at home and in Europe.
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DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 30, 2010
Willing to entrust the Saudi king on Afghanistan, Obama also gives him a free hand to cut Iran down, mainly by making Assad irresistible offers for control in Beirut and influence in Baghdad for dropping Tehran and Hizballah,