DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 25, 2010
The hand Putin is reaching out to Lebanon for a stake in potential Mediterranean gas and oil reserves may put Lebanon in hock to Moscow for decades to come finds his partner, Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri on the edge of an abyss.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 21, 2010
Ahmadinejad, Nasrallah, Assad and Erdogan were all diminished by the Iranian president's bumbling performance in Lebanon - as were their hopes of a solidifying a radical bloc potent enough to rule the Middle East roost.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 7, 2010
In 1990, the Glaspie Effect, whereby the US declines to take a definite position on a conflict, led directly to the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and the first Gulf War in 1991. In 2010, the same effect generated by Hillary Clinton on the threat to Lebanon has brought the Middle East a big step closer to another war.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly September 16, 2010
Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair has carved out for himself a role at Barack Obama's right hand - uniquely for a non-American politician. In its latest issue out Friday, DEBKA-Net-Weekly looks behind Tony Blair's astonishing rise to the top of the White House team of policy-makers, especially on the Middle East and Iran. His popularity in Washington is matched inversely by his falling stakes at home and in Europe.
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DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 30, 2010
Willing to entrust the Saudi king on Afghanistan, Obama also gives him a free hand to cut Iran down, mainly by making Assad irresistible offers for control in Beirut and influence in Baghdad for dropping Tehran and Hizballah,
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 16, 2010
The Saudi and Jordanian monarchs were persuaded by Barack Obama to shelve their respective nuclear programs for now, while French president Nicolas Sarkozy is licking his wounds after losing nuclear contracts with both and a hoped-for boost to the French economy and his own sagging prestige.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 25, 2010
After losing its "only Middle East ally", Israel and Greece are heading for an advantageous strategic partnership. Prime Minister Papandreou hopes for help in overcoming Greece's economic crisis and upgrading his armed forces.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 18, 2010
Turkish prime minister Tayyip Erdogan is determined to lead an anti-Western, anti-Israel Muslim bloc of nations, but has still to choose his senior partner - Iran or Egypt.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 18, 2010
America's show of military force in the Middle East was ignored not only by Turkey but by the moderate Arab rulers, led by Egypt and Saudi Arabia. Gulf leaders are weighing a merger of their armies for self-defense against a nuclear-armed Iran.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 30, 2010
US military preparations under way to attack Iran's nuclear facilities in response to Iran's plans for sending its allies to attack Israel this summer.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 23, 2010
Some say Israel has missed the boat for knocking out Iran's nuclear facilities. It has no such option for Saudi Arabia and, in any case, Israel and Saudi intelligence chiefs hold regular parleys.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly April 20, 2010
The Obama administration's nuclear initiatives and strategy for Iran have not managed to thwart a Middle East arms race. That race is well under way with
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 5, 2010
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 12, 2009
One reason for Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's urgent visit to Damascus Tuesday, May 5, according to debkafile's intelligence sources, was to thwart a Saudi-Egyptian move to snatch the indirect Syrian-Israeli peace track backed by Washington from Turkey.
The Iranian president came too late. Syrian president Bashar Assad had meanwhile decided to appoint one of his must trusted intelligence officers, Gen. Bahjat Suleiman, as Syrian ambassador in Amman and head of potential peace delegation.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 1, 2009
debkafile's military and intelligence sources trace how an air strike on an Iranian arms convoy bound for Gaza, uncorroborated by witnesses or any other direct evidence, is being puffed up by flights of fancy between West and the East. "Sources" in Sudan and Egypt attributed the attack to US planes based in Djibouti, whereupon Washington "sources" hit back by pinning it on Israel.
The US, Sudan, Egypt and Israel each have their own stakes in playing up or playing down the event. Find out why in debkafile's Special Report below.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 11, 2008
While Israeli foreign minister Tzipi Livni and Palestinian Authority chairman Mahmoud Abbas promised to keep on negotiating during the run-up to Israel's election, debkafile reports the current lull - due to political changes in the US and Israel - is likely to continue until early next year.
The negotiations led by outgoing prime minister Ehud Olmert and Livni have been conducted until now amid a media blackout, eliciting concerned questions in Israel about "how much they have given away in secret."
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 7, 2008
debkafile's Exclusive Middle East sources reveal that not only has prime minister Ehud Olmert's chief of staff and lead negotiator with Syria, Yoram Turbowicz, decided to resign, but Syrian foreign minister Walid Mualem, the leading proponent of talks with Israel in Damascus, is also on his way out.
Turkey, envisaging the breakdown of its initiative, has hared off in a new direction, a bid to mediate between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 28, 2008
Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert told visiting US Senator Barack Obama Wednesday night, July 23 that within little more than a year, Iran would be able to assemble all the components for a nuclear bomb. Earlier, senior Israeli defense sources reported that Iran is set to receive Russian S-300 anti-air missiles for fighting off strikes against its nuclear facilities by early September, seriously complicating any air attack.