DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 12, 2017
Turkey’s Erdogan is now favorite ally, cutting Iran out of premier status in Syria and Iraq.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 12, 2017
He intends to keep Russian hands on the levers of power in Damascus.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 10, 2016
Tehran was seriously affronted by the Putin-Obama rapprochement and most of all by Moscow’s consent to a Syrian ceasefire ahead of winding down the war, in place of their original deal for Russian intervention to support the war until Bashar Assad was victorious.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 19, 2016
Iran’s Defense Minister Gen. Hossein Dehghan arrived in Moscow this week at the head of a large military delegation and laid before President Vladimir Putin and his Defense Minister Gen. Sergei Shoigu a $14 billion check. Now, make our Revolutionary Guards Corps and regular forces into an up-to-the-minute modern war machine, the best in the region, he said. The plan was approved by supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, to be funded from moneys released by lifted sanctions.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 18, 2016
The Iranian defense minister’s temper tantrum over Putin’s refusal to sell advanced tungsten for Iranian nuclear-capable ICBMs ended in Russia delaying the handover of S-300 anti-air missiles and the minister’s humiliation.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 3, 2015
Iran has lost 40 percent of its senior generals in the Syrian war since October. These heavy losses plus Russia’s low opinion of Iranian generals’ performance in combat have force the Guards to overhaul their Syrian command.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 26, 2015
Believing he was cheated by Obama, Putin has joined up with Tehran to seize control of Syria and Iraq at the expense of American interests.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 11, 2015
Iran this week sent its first ground troops to Syria, around 1,000 marines and elite Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) troops. They moved into the small military air facility of Ghorin south of Latakia, and hooked up with the just-landed Russian marines who were settling in at nearby Jablah. Three weeks ago, DEBKA file reported Russian-Iranian military intervention afoot for saving Bashar Assad, followed on September 1 by the first disclosure of the Russian buildup in Syria. We now report that Russia is sending S-300 air defense missiles for deployment at the Russian and Iranian bases.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 4, 2014
As the Six Power group and Iran prepared for their third round of nuclear talks in Vienna next week (Tuesday-Wednesday, April 8-9), Tehran frankly admitted to exploiting the holes in the six-month interim deal they forged in Geneva last November by using advanced centrifuges and carrying on with the Arak project. This will be Moscow’s first opportunity to make good on its threat to confront the West and line up with Iran, in retaliation for Western penalties for its annexation of Crimea. Moscow and Tehran are close to a mammoth oil-for-food barter deal.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 21, 2013
In his trip to Tehran this week, Russian Air Force Chief Gen. Viktor Bondarev and his hosts, Brig. Gen. Hassan Shasafi and other senior Iranian military chiefs, laid the groundwork for transactions to upgrade military ties between Moscow and Tehran to a level unprecedented in their past relations, as well as posing a challenge to America’s military status in the region. Iran is bidding for Russian technology to upgrade its missiles, extend their range and improve their precision, and Russian fighters, interceptors, transports and refueling planes for its air force.
DEBKAfile Video August 17, 2013
Top US soldier Gen. Martin Dempsey has just inaugurated Centcom’s Forward Command in Jordan manned by 273 US officers. It is linked to US, Israel, Jordanian and Saudi air commands ready for an order from President Barack Obama to impose a partial no-fly zone over Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 1, 2012
Iran’s nuclear reactor at Bushehr was shut down in mid-October for fear of an explosion. Saturday, Dec. 1, an authoritative Russian nuclear industry source revealed why: “Indicators showed that some small external parts were… in the [Bushehr] reactor vessel….” They were identified as “bolts beneath the fuel cells.” debkafile: Russian experts estimated that a Bushehr explosion had the potential for causing a million Iranian deaths and hundreds of thousands of radiation victims in Iran and across the Persian Gulf emirates.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis November 25, 2012
Even before the Gaza conflict was over, the next major steps were in motion: US-manned Patriots and Awacs are in the pipeline for deployment on the Turkish Syrian border; Moscow moved its Black Sea Fleet’s naval task force opposite Gaza/Israeli shores, joining Tehran’s concern that the US-led coalition which wrecked Iran’s “southern front” in Gaza would turn against Syria and Hizballah. The US and Israel are braced for violent Iranian retribution; while Egyptian President Morsi’s troubles could undo the fragile Gaza ceasefire.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 23, 2012
A senior official in Tokyo announced Wednesday, May 23, that the Japanese government will seek parliamentary approval for a bill allowing Japanese firms to insure tankers carrying Iranian oil to Asia if European insurers refused to do so. The nuclear talks between the six powers and Iran in Baghdad Wednesday, instead of taking place under the shadow of tougher sanctions as Israel expected, saw the toughest one, the oil embargo, falling apart. Russian and British officials began raising the prospect of an Iran-Israel war.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 23, 2012
Russia is preparing a surprise proposal for the resumed P5+1 powers nuclear negotiations with Iran in Baghdad Wednesday, May 23, debkafile reports exclusively. By tabling an independent plan, Moscow would break ranks with the “unified front on Iran” declared by US President Barack Obama at the G8 summit Saturday and enhance Iran’s bargaining position.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly March 14, 2012
Iran and Russia both won ground on the Syrian battlefield at America’s expense with this week’s Assad victory over rebels in Idlib, say DEBKA-Net-Weekly’s strategic analysts in its next issue out Friday. The indecisive way the Israeli confrontation with Iran’s Palestinian proxy Jihad Islami wound down also added points to Tehran - and Moscow less directly - after Washington backed away from the Gaza episode and Israel threw in the sponge. These players were testing the ground for a possible Israeli-Iranian clash.
DEBKAfile Special Report February 27, 2012
The upgrading and interconnection of two Russian-equipped Middle East electronic and surveillance stations – on Jabal Al Harrah south of Damascus opposite Israel’s Sea of Galilee, and Lebanon’s Mt. Sannine - are tailored by Moscow to give Tehran early warning of a US or Israeli attack, debkafile reports. The two facilities now cover all of Israel and Jordan, the Gulf of Aqaba and northern Saudi Arabia, as well as US and Israeli naval and aerial Mediterranean movements up to Cyprus and Greece.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 11, 2012
Western intelligence sources reporting in real time concluded Saturday night, Feb. 11 that Bashar Assad's loyal forces had by and large managed to subdue the rebellion against the regime, even though flare-ups are still to come. They are now purging the last pockets of resistance, especially in Syria's third largest city, Homs. The Syrian ruler will go on record as crushing his own people with the help of non-Arab Iran and Russia. For the US, Israel and Saudi Arabia this is a contretemps.
DEBKAfile Special Report January 10, 2012
Tehran plans an underground test of a one-kiloton nuclear device during 2012, debkafile reports. Underground facilities are under construction in great secrecy behind the clamor raised by the start of advanced uranium enrichment at Iran's fortified Fordo bunker-site. Yet, according to a Tel Aviv University think tank scenario, Israel is resigned to a nuclear Iran and would accept a US defense pact instead of retaliating. debkafile's Washington sources refute this: Barack Obama is resolved to use force if need be to preempt a nuclear Iran.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 16, 2010
Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin decided it was safe to go ahead and load Iran's first nuclear reactor with fuel on Aug. 21 - effectively making it active - after the US and Israel did not seem troubled by the prospect of the reactor going on stream, debkafile reports. Either the two governments had been caught flatfooted, he figured, or come to terms with Iran's capacity to produce weapons-grade plutonium.