DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 22, 2011
The Obama administration is willingly handing the diplomatic lead for ending the Libyan crisis to Moscow having concluded that America no longer commands the resources for carrying global burdens on its own. Muammar Qaddafi, supported by Russia and Africa, will insist on staying in power until the agreed transition is reliably implemented with room at the top for his sons.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly July 19, 2011
In its coming issue out Friday, DEBKA-Net-Weekly analyzes expectations from the negotiations already afoot (amid violence and setbacks) between Muammar Qaddafi, on one side, and the US, Russia, NATO and the rebels, on the other. Still in control of Libya's army, biggest tribes, cities and oil, Qaddafi will loom large over Libya's future - even after he steps down.
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DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 23, 2011
The three scientists who planned, designed, built and operated Iran's first nuclear reactor at Bushehr died Tuesday night, June 20, when a Rusaero flight from Moscow crashed at Petrozavodsk in northwest Russia. debkafile reveals they were among the 44 passengers killed. Their loss is a blow to Russia's atomic reactor and energy industries because of their expertise in synchronizing different nuclear systems. Some intelligence sources say that Bushehr's amalgam of systems made it vulnerable to the Stuxnet virus two years ago.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 10, 2011
The Arab revolts are resolving themselves into bids for getting rid of three rulers who refuse to step down, Yemen's Ali Abdullah Saleh, who survived an assassination bid and promises to return as good as new; Syria's Bashar Assad, whom the West allows to survive, and Libya's Muammar Qaddafi, who promises to outlive NATO's attempts on his life.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 23, 2011
Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas has run into major hurdles in his ploy for using a unity pact between his Fatah and the extremist Hamas as the fulcrum for a diplomatic offensive against Israel to climax in UN recognition of a Palestinian state in September. This is reported by debkafile's exclusive Middle East sources. The US and Russia have nixed Abbas' international moves until his unity partner Hamas recognizes Israel and Jordan's Abdullah accuses him of two-timing him with that same partner.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 20, 2011
After sitting on the fence for six months amid the Arab uprisings, Moscow now takes a stand, capitalizing on the positions slipping out of the United States grasp in the turbulent slipstream of the Arab Revolt.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 25, 2011
Qaddafi has no fear of sanctions. His vast assets are mostly deposited safely in Libyan banks which he controls and he is heavily staked in European industry, banking, media and weapons industries.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 18, 2011
Stuxnet is admitted for the first time as having attacked five Iranian targets. The admission has stirred up more trouble between Moscow and Tehran who are playing the blame game over the delay in activating the Bushehr nuclear reactor.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 31, 2011
Iran's atomic energy chief Ali Akbar Salehi said on Jan. 29 that the Bushehr nuclear power plant would be connected to the national grid on April 9. He "forgot" about Tehran's promise to fully activate its first nuclear reactor Tuesday, Jan. 25. debkafile's sources reveal that, Iran's hand was held back at the last minute by Russia's nuclear chief Sergei Kiriyenko. He warned Stuxnet was back and activating the reactor could trigger a nuclear catastrophe costing millions of lives.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 27, 2011
The Islamic regime in Tehran suffers the ignominy of keeping its first nuclear reactor shut down at Bushehr for fear of the lurking Stuxnet. Russia asks NATO to investigate the dangerous malworm for fear of a Chernobyl-scale atomic catastrophe.
DEBKAfile Special Report January 25, 2011
The Russian investigators of the explosion which killed 35 people and injured 180 at Moscow's main airport Monday, Jan. 24, are certain it was not carried out by a female but by a single male suicide bomber, 30-40 years old, heavily-built and most likely of European appearance.They are looking for accomplices who may have witnessed the attack and left. The Russian government has launched a criminal probe into the security lapse that made the attack possible.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis December 25, 2010
A secret meeting in Tel Aviv on Dec. 16 between the high-ranking Russian emissary Mikhail Margelov and representatives of the South Sudanese semi-autonomous government so infuriated Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak that he ordered his intelligence minister Gen. Omar Suleiman to hit back by accusing Israel of recruiting Egyptian agents as spies. Cairo fears upheavals following Jan. 9 referenda in oil-rich South Sudan and Abyei will prejudice its control of Nile waters.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 17, 2010
Putin believes the future belongs to the economic, financial and technological moguls outside government and energy drives the world's real powerhouses. The Russian prime minister seeks a place in the new supranational elite.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 17, 2010
Moscow wants to get rid of the ME roadmap, Tony Blair and outdated peace tracks. Most of all, Russia seeks to unseat America as exclusive top dog in the region. A multilateral Middle East conference taking place in Moscow in February is designed to do just that.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 9, 2010
Moscow has not only accepted the West's conviction that Iran is aiming for a nuclear bomb, but is ready for the ultimate penalty of an air and sea blockade against Tehran. Washington is looking behind Russia's change of face for ulterior motives.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 19, 2010
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin and President Dmitry Medvedev were persuaded by the betrayal of 10 Russian sleeper agents in America and the capture of the Russian arms trafficker Viktor Bout that the time had come to reform Russia's spy agencies.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 12, 2010
Moscow has used the Bushehr nuclear reactor to showcase its nuclear wares. Egypt is lining up with Gulf emirates for Russian nuclear reactors like Iran's as its ties with Washington weaken and Iran's nuclear weapons program contiues to forge ahead - albeit with unforeseen holdups.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 10, 2010
Information reaching the West indicates Iran has put to death atomic scientists and technicians suspected of helping plant the Stuxnet virus in its nuclear program. The admission by Ali Akbar Salehi, head of the Atomic Energy Organization, on Friday, Oct. 8 - the frankest yet by any Iranian official - that Western espionage had successfully penetrated its nuclear program is seen as bearing out those reports. The Iranian program is further slowed by extreme security.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 16, 2010
The pact confronts the Russian military with the first test of its ability to handle advanced Western technology. The Kremlin will have to show whether it is willing to cooperate in this field with the United States, which overseas the pact.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 30, 2010
Gen. Yuri Ivanov, 52, deputy head of GRU, the Russian military's overseas intelligence arm of Russian military, was found dead in mysterious circumstances described in a terse official Russian eulogy as a tragic swimming accident "several days ago." No further details were provided such as where he died. Although he apparently drowned off the shore of Syrian Latakia, his body was recovered from Turkish waters ten days after he went missing.