DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 12, 2002
Israel's policy-makers and military tacticians both came badly out of the first round of Palestinian rocket warfare. Notwithstanding the generals' claim that the armed forces were ready for this acute upturn in Palestinian violence, their deployment has been slow and unwieldy in the face of the new threat.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 10, 2002
debkafile's political and military analysts note that Yasser Arafat has brought the full weight of his terror campaign to bear on Israel's cities and population centers; most of the Intifada toll has been borne by civilians. During Sharon's five-day absence in the United States, seven Israelis died at the hands of terrorists, six women and none on the battlefield.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 8, 2002
Egyptian foreign minister Ali Maher said Monday night, January 7, that the "conflicting reports coming from Israel" on the Karine-A seizure arouse increasing doubts. In particular, he questioned Israel's assertion that the ship's course was set for the Palestinian Authority in the Gaza Strip via the Suez Canal. Maher repeated debkafile's earlier argument that this made no sense, considering that Egyptian security would have detected any arms cargo sailing up the Canal. Earlier, he condemned the whole episode as an Israeli fabrication.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 7, 2002
Exactly 24 hours after Gen. Suleiman left - and one hour before Sharon boarded the plane for Washington - Arafat gave the signal for the first of a deadly series of terror strikes against Israeli civilians.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 5, 2002
In his briefing to the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Security Committee in Jerusalem, Mofaz stated that the Palestinians' hostile intentions remained unchanged. As for Iran, he said he did not see that country attacking Israel tomorrow, but its instigation, guidance and arming of anti-Israel terrorists must be taken in conjunction with its acclaimed ambition to wipe Israel off the map. The ayatollahs must not be allowed to attain a foothold in Palestinian areas. Asked if Israel was read for an Iraqi reprisal for an American offensive against Baghdad, Mofaz reported the country prepared its self-defense "and other" capabilities.
American War on Terror Scoops up Campaign against Arafat; Next Stage - to Cut Him off from Fresh Fighting Strength and Weapons
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 4, 2002
The next stage of the US-Israeli strategy for containing Palestinian terrorism will cut him off from the wherewithal for building up, replenishing and arming his militias and terror groups. In the Oval Office next Wednesday, Sharon and Bush will get down to the third stage.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 3, 2002
a senior official Palestinian Authority official, talking to debkafilein Ramallah Saturday night, February 2, registered some changing Palestinian perceptions on certain issues: Ariel Sharon: We now understand that our campaign to unseat Ariel Sharon, which worked against at least two of his predecessors, is a non-starter for the time being. We accept that he takes all the policy decisions and that he is the Bush team's single preferred opposite number in the US-Israeli working relationship. This is what brought Abu Mazen (Arafat's unofficial deputy Mahmoud Abbas), Mohammed Rashid (his top financial adviser) and Abu Ala (the Palestinian legislation Speaker, Ahmed Qorei) to call on Sharon at his Jerusalem home (last Wednesday, January 3).
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 30, 2002
The first woman suicide bomber was identified Wednesday, January 30, as a Palestinian called Wafa Idris, 28, divorcee, who lived in the Al Amri refugee camp near Ramallah on the West Bank and worked as a volunteer worker with the Red Crescent. An arm of Yasser Arafat's Fatah, the Al Aqsa Brigades, now claims to have sent her to blow herself up on a busy thoroughfare in central Jerusalem last Sunday, June 27, killing one Israeli and injuring 160.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 29, 2002
Mubarak's policy switch is the second major Middle East upheaval to be set off by George W. Bush's war on terror. It comes in response to upheaval number one, the coming together of Riyadh, Tehran, Baghdad and Gaza. It is also a personal triumph for President Bush, pulled off hours before his annual state of the union address to the two houses of Congress.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 27, 2002
Noon Sunday, January 27, after Yasser Arafat declared publicly that "one million martyrs are on their way to Jerusalem", the first woman suicide bomber detonated a massively powerful bomb-belt in the middle of the road on Jerusalem's busy Jaffa Street. The blast went up at the same place that a Palestinian gunman killed two women and wounded 49 five days earlier.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 26, 2002
debkafile 's Washington sources report that the White House is holding back till next week the punitive actions against Yasser Arafat decided on at a top-level presidential forum convened by US president George W. Bush on Friday, January 25.
Called to the White House policy review on the Palestinian question were secretary of state Colin Powell, defense secretary Donald Rumsfeld and national security adviser Condoleezza Rice. Bush called his advisers to decide not only how to deal with Yasser Arafat, but also how to fit American punitive moves against him into the broader US Middle East-Gulf policy revision currently underway.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 23, 2002
debkafile's military sources report that Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat has ordered his 20,000-man police force to take to the war field - a drastic step that moves his confrontation with Israel into the realm of full-scale belligerence. Militarizing his police force is more than just another blatant violation of the 1993 Oslo Peace Accords, which established the Palestinian Authority and allowed it to establish a police force confined to civilian duties; it is their death blow.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 22, 2002
The devout Muslim Yasser Arafat, who ignited the "al Aqsa Intifada" conflagration in September 2000, has developed a strong urge to attend Christmas Mass in Bethlehem. But he is in a cleft stick. To escape the Israeli siege holding him down in Ramallah, he must ask Israel for permission to cross over to a second blockaded Palestinian West Bank town, Bethlehem. The closure against Bethlehem will certainly be lifted for Christmas. Arafat's fate is less certain.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 21, 2002
Since the Israeli army's massive takeover of the Palestinian town of Tulkarm on the West Bank before dawn Monday, Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat has, according to debkafile's military sources, advanced the timetable for his planned Waterloo, the battle he sees as his last heroic stand. Confined to Ramallah since December 3, Arafat said to his intimates a few days ago words to the effect that: We are all in rapid motion towards laying down our lives in the sacred cause.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 19, 2002
debkafile's exclusive military sources reveal the hitherto unknown fact that an Israeli submarine took part in the capture of the Palestinian arms smuggling boat, Karine-A, on January 3. Its part in the operation was to bring naval commandos belonging to the crack Israel naval Shayet 13 unit up to the target vessel.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 18, 2002
The US State Department still lists Syria as a sponsor of terror for the support and hospitality it extends to radical Palestinian groups, including Islamic Jhad and Hamas, and for backing the Lebanese Hizballah. Damascus has refused outright to take measures against those organizations. Yet senior Americans frequenting Damascus this month are full of praise for Syria's cooperation in the war against terror.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 15, 2002
Gen. Ion Mihai Pacepa, Romanian intelligence chief under the dictator Nicolae Ceausescu and the highest ranking intelligence officer ever to defect from the Soviet bloc,wrote an article entitled "The Arafat I Know" in the Wall Street Journal of January 10. The occasion he marked was Israel's capture of the Karin-A arms ship. Pacepa describes his involvement with Arafat in the late 1960s "in the days when he was being financed and manipulated by the KGB," and comments: "I am not surprised to see that Yasser Arafat remains the same bloody terrorist I knew so well."
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 12, 2002
The conviction is gaining ground in some Western intelligence agencies that Osama bin Laden, his family, Ayman Zuheiri and thousands of al Qaeda fighters made good their escape from Afghanistan through the illicit sea route created by Lebanese-Iranian super terrorist Imad Mughniyeh for smuggling operations in the service of terrorist organizations. They are believed to have made their getaway from Afghanistan in the first week of December, crossing secretly into Iran and heading out through the Persian Gulf - only to disappear again.