DEBKAfile - Lebanon War Diary

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Lebanon War Diary

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Saudi Defense Minister Prince Sultan says in Paris: Israel cannot be allowed to continue its bombardment of Lebanon

July 20, 2006, 12:13 PM (GMT+02:00)

Speaking to reporters in Paris, July 20, after meeting French President Jacques Chirac, Sultan said: “We cannot tolerate that Israel plays with the lives of citizens, civilians, women, old people and children.”

Ahmadinejad: A happy day for the region is near. The world is on the verge of great changes. The Iranian president also warned Israel that by its action in Lebanon it is playing with fire

July 19, 2006, 12:11 PM (GMT+02:00)

Iran's parliament speaker warned no part of Israel is safe from Hizballah rockets. Sunday, July 16, Iranian leader Ali Khameini gave the Lebanese Shiite Lebanese terrorist group the ultimate guarantee when he said: Hizballah will never be disarmed.
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DEBKA-Net-Weekly: Tehran opens new war fronts against Washington from Lebanon and Gaza, using Israel as target, Syria as rear logistical base and Iraq as testing ground for its duel with America

July 19, 2006, 12:10 PM (GMT+02:00)

Eye-openers on these dangerous maneuvers and their ramifications are provided by experts in the latest issue of DEBKA-Net-Weekly out on Friday

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DEBKAfile: An Israeli F15 fighter bomber intercepted a Hizballah Zelzal ground-ground missile of 160km range east of Beirut Monday, July 17

July 19, 2006, 12:08 PM (GMT+02:00)

According to the rough estimate of Israeli military intelligence, this loss leaves Hizballah with another 11 of these heavy weapons, although its stockpile may prove to be somewhat larger. The descent of the Zelzal shown on Lebanese TV gave rise to the false report that an Israeli warplane had been shot down.

DEBKAfile’s military and aviation sources report: Israeli fighter jets do not patrol Lebanese byways on the hunt for missiles to shoot down. They certainly do not dive-bomb buildings. They fly at an altitude of 20,000 feet over the Mediterranean Sea
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At least 10 Israeli casualties in fierce battle with Hizballah in south Lebanon opposite Israeli Safed since Wednesday morning

July 19, 2006, 12:08 PM (GMT+02:00)

Reinforcements and medical teams are speeding across the border. Israeli force has tank and helicopter cover. Further Israel-Hizballah ground engagements in other border sectors of S. Lebanon.

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Israel’s Intelligence Chiefs Warn Lebanon War Is Relocating to Gaza

August 30, 2006, 1:22 AM (GMT+02:00)

Israel’s intelligence chiefs have formed a new lobby to put their warnings in the public domain when they see the Olmert government failing to properly address grave security threats to the country. The first to speak out was the Shin Bet director, Yuval Diskin. He represented the heads of AMAN-military intelligence and the Mosad when he revealed to the Knesset foreign affairs and security committee Tuesday, Aug. 29, that Palestinian terrorists, notably Hamas, were employing Hizballah’s Lebanon tactics and building a Katyusha deployment, bunker network and anti-tank missile arsenal in the Gaza Strip. The northern West Bank, he said, had been taken over by Hizballah agents and radical Jihad Islami terrorists since its evacuation by Israel at the same time as the Gaza Strip last summer. DEBKAfile’s intelligence sources reveal: Israel’s security chiefs have learned of a decision by Hizballah to keep its head down in S. Lebanon for the time being, while secretly opening two new anti-Israel fronts in the Gaza Strip and northern West Bank. This transposition of Hizballah’s war against Israel to the Palestinian arena has begun to materialize.
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European Lebanon Force Is Cast as Shield for Iranian-Hizballah Military Buildup

August 25, 2006, 8:37 PM (GMT+02:00)

Whereas Israel initially conceived of a multinational force as a guarantee of its border security against terrorist attack and a boost for the Lebanese army to displace Hizballah, the European governments contributing contingents to this force have their own ideas – and interests. Less than two weeks into the UN-brokered ceasefire, the swiftly-evolving situation in Lebanon is casting the international force in the role of protector and shield for the rapid buildup of a new, beefed up Iranian-Hizballah military deployment in Lebanon up to the Israeli border. The force dubbed by Kofi Annan UNIFIL-2 has no operational plan to enforce the UN arms embargo which would entail stemming the heavy flow of Iranian arms shipments entering Lebanon day by day along two Syrian tracks.
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Some Lebanon War Riddles Solved and Their Relevance to Moves on Syria in Jerusalem Explained

August 22, 2006, 7:11 PM (GMT+02:00)

Apparently out of the blue, a clutch of Israeli ministers - Amir Peretz, defense, Tzipi Livni, foreign affairs and Avi Dichter, internal security – have evinced a burning desire to talk peace with Syrian president Bashar Assad and even a willingness to discuss handing over the Golan captured in the 1967 war. Monday, Aug. 21, prime minister Ehud Olmert stepped in with a reminder: Thousands of Hizballah missiles striking Israelis came from Syria, he said. Until that stops and the Palestinian terrorist commands are ejected from Damascus, we have nothing to discuss with Syria. A DEBKAfile investigation has uncovered some facts that would help explain some of the mishaps of the Lebanon war and their tie-in with the sudden interest in Jerusalem in talks with Bashar Assad. The knife-edge threat that caught the Israeli army unprepared was welcomed in Washington. Our sources close to the Bush administration have learned that secretary of state Condoleezza Rice embraced the opening for an Israeli offensive against Hizballah in Lebanon. Vice President Dick Cheney also favored an Israeli air strike but worried about the lack of an Israeli plan for a parallel ground offensive.
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Nasrallah Is Already Carving out Lebanon’s Future

August 15, 2006, 1:47 PM (GMT+02:00)

President George W. Bush and prime minister Ehud Olmert in speeches on Aug. 13 laid down the law on the implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701. Bush said the motion marked a pivotal moment in the Middle East and would end Hizballah’s state within a state. This term was borrowed from an earlier Lebanon reality: The stranglehold Yasser Arafat’s PLO held on South Lebanon and Beirut in the 1970s. Tuesday morning, an Israeli spokesman emphasized that Hassan Narallah “must” obey the Security Council resolution. If he failed to do so, Israel “would have to do the job.” DEBKAfile’s exclusive sources in Beirut report that Nasrallah’s machinations represent a reality which is a world away from this kind of rhetoric. DEBKAfile’s sources add: Scrutiny of the refugees flooding back to the south since the ceasefire declared Monday morning by Israel shows that this traffic was kicked off by the massive transfer of Hizballah’s cohorts to the south in the guise of distressed refugees.
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Tehran Takes Gloomy View of the Lebanon War and Truce

August 14, 2006, 3:35 PM (GMT+02:00)

While the damage caused Israel’s military reputation tops Western assessments of the Lebanon war, DEBKAfile’s Iranian sources report an entirely different perception taking hold in ruling circles in Tehran. After UN Security Council resolution 1701 calling for a truce was carried Friday, Aug. 11, the heads of the regime received two separate evaluations of the situation in Lebanon – one from Iran’s foreign ministry and one from its supreme national security council. Both were bleak: their compilers were concerned that Iran had been manipulatively robbed of its primary deterrent asset ahead of a probable nuclear confrontation with the United States and Israel. It took Iran two decades to build up Hizballah’s rocket inventory. DEBKAfile’s sources estimate that Hizballah’s adventure wiped out most of the vast sum of $4-6 bn the Iranian treasury sunk into building its military strength.
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