A new US-Iran hot line: More a channel for miscommunication than dialogue
President Donald Trump gave Tehran prior notice ahead of the US attack on Iranian missile sites that was aborted on Thursday, June 20, saying that it was “imminent,” and adding that he is against war and wants to talk. Iranian officials replied that it was up to supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to decide on this issue although he is against any talks. The exchange stopped there.
DEBKAfile’s military and intelligence sources report exclusively that some of the messages the US and Iran exchanged shortly before and after the Iranian surface-to-air missile shot down a Navy missile over the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday did not go through any third party. They were channeled directly through a new hot line established in the last fortnight to create a direct link between the US Fifth Fleet in Manama, Bahrain and the Bushehr-based Revolutionary Guards Navy HQ.
The latest exchange ran into the main stumbling block in this communications process: there is no knowing for sure which messages actually reach the all-powerful supreme leader. Washington channeled a second set through Qatar – not Oman as both US and Iranian officials told reporters.
Hot lines especially in the Middle East are designed for emergency contacts between opposing powers to avert unintentional war conflagrations. They are maintained inter alia by the US and Russia, the US and Israel and Russia and Israel. This mechanism works only when it suits both parties. When one of the sides is intent on concealing its actions from the other, the link goes silent.
This breakdown of communications through the new hot line was behind the complaint heard from Gen. Amir Hajizadeh, chief of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Aerospace Command: “Iran warned the [US] drone four times, and the drone would have transmitted the warnings to its central stations. Unfortunately, when they failed to reply, and the aircraft made no change to its trajectory… we were obliged to shoot it down.”
The US insists the drone was shot down in an “unprovoked
attack” in international airspace over the Strait of Hormuz.
“Their failure to reply” is the outstanding feature of the new hot line. According
to our sources, the Trump administration has sent several messages through the Manama-Bushehr
link warning Tehran to call off its planned strike on a major Saudi oil target,
which is scheduled to occur in days. As far as we can establish, no Iranian reply
has been forthcoming up until now.
It is good to have an open communication line such as that one.
It is better if there are parties on both ends at all times, . . . parties willing to talk, . . . and tell the truth.
President Trump has Proven being a Foreign Policy Master of Clever Dealing by Concealing Messages among the Global Diplomatic Corp, K Street & Wall Street Expert Elites. Trump is Signifying Patience, among Promises, with Warnings providing Unconditional Open Discussions. This Trump Skill has Global, Europe, Mideast, and especially Iran Shiia Regime Attention and will do what is Best for America and Them. The Sanctions have the Shiia in Conundrum, there is No Winning for Iran Shiia Regime, Only Degrees of Losing!
Wait a minute, I think I’ve got this one!
Sweet Allah, I feel like struck with some sort of a Twelver’s epiphany!
If we interfere with the Peace Plan in ME our back will might fall off or at least will definitely be very sorry.
That’s it? Could you confirm that?
israil ve körfez ülkeleri ortadoğuda abdyi bir 50 yıl daha çıkarmak istemiyor israilin 500 adet nükleer silahı var ortadoğunun tüm ülkelerine tehdit oluyor ortadoğuda tek nükleer güç olan israil her tarafa saldırıyor
Ok, but dOn’t cAPAtize eVERyTHinG!
israil ortadoğuda tek nükleer güç olarak bütün ortadoğu ülkelerini tehdit ediyor
Do all Trump’s friends live on Gilligan’s Island?
US policy against iran is a joke, and thats because they listen to israel in start, but when crises come they listen to pentagon
you don’t know jack.
israil dünyanın en büyük tehlikesidir çünkü ortadoğuda yalnızca israilin 500 adet nükleer silahı var bütün ortadoğu ülkelerini nükleer silahlarla tehdit ediyor
The crooked occupiers of Palestine are terrified that they can’t fabricate a justification for the United States to attack Iran.
Smarter imperialists realize an attack on Iran means the loss of it’s collapsing empire in defense of apartheid and Saudi genocide.
The real “crooked occupiers” of Judea-Samaria had better lay low. These Arab interlopers are in NO position to cause problems for Israel. Push Israel too far and they will find their welcome mat GONE!
Israel is the historic and defacto government for their ancestral homelands. Get over your pipe dreams. If Iran tries to attack Israel, it will be curtains for the terrorist patrons of the Arabs who think they can run Israel into the sea, as they so often profess.
You so-called “Palestinians” had better encourage your patrons in Iran to cease and desist poking the State of Israel or the sleeping giant across the pond, or you will lose your last patrons. As parasites incapable of anything constructive, and consigned to mindless violence, you can’t afford to.
God ,the REAL GOD !! , will bless those who bless isreal …..AND HE CURSE THOSE WHO CURSE ISREAL ,,thats from the bible ,,,,,get right with god my friends ,,,, the end times are closer every day
The only Occupiers in the Mideast are Iranian Shiia Supreme Leader & Mullahs! These Pretenders of Holy Men Act as Executioner Bullies with be Rectified and won’t Survive Oil Sanctions Losses! The Voices of Iranian Youth will Not be Silenced. This Iranian Regime is the only Nation that Execute Children. The Shiia Regime Lives On Borrowed Time!
Still the Island?
Not everyone here hasn’t been able to understand anything more sophisticated than Gilligan’s Island. Sol baby, you need to watch better tv!
Good.
“The crooked occupiers of Palestine are terrified that they can’t fabricate a justification for the United States to attack Iran.”
Abbas wants the US to attack Iran?
Iran Regime Cannot Out Wait Trump 2018, was a Major Turning Point for the First Time in 39 years, Iran is on Global Notice, Sanctions Ended Oil Sold and the Regime, Must Stops Seeking Nukes, Using Proxies, Building ICBMs, Spreading Terrorism, and Repressing Persians. Iran’s Regime Doom Days Scenario is Happening.
I wonder if anyone else would like to see the clock turned back to 1953, before operation ajax, the british-US iranian regime change that installed the shah, at the expense of their democratically elected and popular president. This was back in the day when iranians generally admired the US for its (perceived) resistance to british imperial arrogance. As usual, it was all about the oil and the money.
Good Wondering Point, but the Past is the Past. The British Empire of the City For Money has left many Problems that require Global Solution Now. Still, the Shiia Disputes in the Mideast began in 632 CE not 1953, or 1979. There is but one Outcome on the Pathway of Salvation for Shiia, Talk or Capitulate into Self-Destruction. This is 2019 and Death To America comes back on Iran now!
Not I! Most Iranians would love to turn back the clock to 1953, but AFTER the Shah returned to power. I know. I have MANY Iranian friends who long nostalgically for the days when Iranian women didn’t have to wear Chadoors, but instead, the latest Parisian haute couture! Iranian Jews were adored and enjoyed equal rights and privileges as their Aryan neighbors. They want their Shah back! Iranians HATE their mullocracy. Expat Iranians hate it, too, and you want to go back to a so-called “democracy” whose leader Mossadegh turned on his vows in the manner as Venezuela’s also popularly elected president Chavez? Both were greedy fools who chose to nationalize the very foreign oil interests who – by bringing into their countries state-of-the-art oil drilling and refining technologies – transformed them into 20th Century economic powerhouses, bringing their people unheard of prosperity.
Tehran was the Paris of the Middle East under the Pahlavi family! Venezuela before Chavez was the wealthiest nation by far in South America. Look at them now!! You see in both miserable countries abject poverty resulting from top-down totalitarian rule. In Iran, its enforced by armed, motorcycle-riding Basij; in Venezela, armed, motorcycle-riding “Colectivos.”
You think that’s a coincidence?? NO!! It is the way thugs operate! YOU, sir, are an apologist for keeping Iran in CHAINS! Be proud, little armchair DESPOT!
do not make yourself illusion
no one will have a US puppet Diktator
nobody in iran or some wehere in the world like jews
are those arab failed state ( Saudi , Egypt, jordan, Kuwait) run by pro American diktators GOOD IDEAL FOR IRANIAN ?
Abbas is a war criminal that should be hanging from a rope. Death to the savage jihadist trojan horse / Euro colony “palestine”. Long live the eternal nation of Israel.
yes, well times have changed and USA does ot need foreign oil. we are producing more than any other country.
A story which is BS & made up by Debka !
The World has just 2 Dilemmas resolved now.
1. How Does the Shiia Regime Hold onto Power under Sanctions that Stay and Won’t End on Iran? Even Talks Is a Win for Trump!
&
2. How Does the World Get Rid of the Regime that Won’t Go?
The Persians will Rise and Decide with a Nudge from Trump as Sanctions Remain and Escalation can happen at Anytime? Iran can’t Win a Conflict either!
Check you facts
I agree with most of the sentiments here; but one thing is certain: The US today, is the laughing stock of the Muslim world. That emboldens them to violence. And that usually goes bad for them.
Laughing is not Funny since the Islamic Civilization Broken Nations People Suffering the Wars, Deaths, Destruction, and Devotional Refugees Cries for Help Misled by Regime Rulers. As, America has become even Stronger!
He who laughs last laughs best! When the time comes and they have pulled the rubber band of our forbearance taut, when it snaps back, they will NOT be laughing.
Is this a not so subtle way of showing a missile path.
Trump’s with Gulf States Global Allies are doing what Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush and Obama did not do? They are Funding & Organizing Persians Protest Worldwide and Arming Uprisings Causing more Discontent within the Shiia Regime itself!
always the same USA treating with war and offer negotiation
Iran answers: “F.ck you”
we shut your 130 Mill $ High tech drone , and you can do nothing against Iran.
We know you are very vulnerable in Persian Gulf
The Ticking Time-Bomb that Overhangs Shiia Regime, IRGC Not able offsetting Malcontents & Iran Defense. Iran Cannot Walk “From or To” the Talks as a Defeated Urgency each Day. Iran’s is in Economic Free Falling, Water Problems, Zero Oil Sales, Currency Depreciation, Inflation Rampant, Unemployment High, GDP Contracted with Debt-to-GDP Ratio is Huge on Financial Transactions Chilling Economic Activity in Autos, Food and Medicine.
It’s funny when idiots like you and your stupid Iranian Masters are so easily fooled into believing that the US would intentionally put a “very expensive Drone” in harms way for no other reason than for you idiots to go and do what the US wanted you to do in the first place. Well Done and thanks. Maybe you lot should be using your brains instead of your big mouths to figure it out????
israil ve körfez ülkeleri ortadoğuda abdyi bir 50 yıl daha çıkarmak istemiyor israilin 500 adet nükleer silahı var ortadoğunun tüm ülkelerine tehdit oluyor ortadoğuda tek nükleer güç olan israil her tarafa saldırıyor
@ slkjh,
There’s no one here that understands orc speech here. Back to Mordor with you!
Would be nice if you could spell CENTCOM correctly!
This Command Center Phone Line is Actually the “Last Life Line” to Save Iran Regime, from its own Self-Destruction? If “No One Calls Nor Listen”, then “Global Trade Talking Powers Consensus”, will begins Iran Regime Collective Removal Cleverly?
https://youtu.be/UhneTn7cBcY
Hope America will act against the nazi-iran regime that is a untolerate expansionist regime
meddling in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Venezuela, South Brazil etc…
Mr marathon moron man strikes again.
Iran humiliated America. America runs it mouth too much. Iran just shut them up for the whole world to see. Their
ego, arrogance and exceptionlist thinking has been shattered. Communication is good in the right direction
but must be of good faith between the two.
Not sure what this emergency line is supposed to achieve. And, we probably won’t be informed about its true intent, unless the western news media is willing to to tell us. My guess is that the Shiites will focus on the Saudis ability to defend their own regime and their troops in Yemen. Then, alternate with attacks on Gulf shipping that could take the form of “smart” mines detonating near, or against. the commercial ships.
Defending the sea lanes 24/7 will become an expensive proposition. And, Iranians are closing in on their nuclear enrichment efforts with increasing speed. Time is rapidly running out on the West’s ability to regulate, or disrupt, Iranian policies. And, I wonder what’s going to happen to Kushner, Pompeo and Bolton and other neos?
Iran is sitting pretty. They won the Iraq and Syrian war through their proxies. Now the orange clown in the white house has cowarded down and back tracked in a web of lies. Iran has been getting ready for this conflict for nearly 20 years. This one is lost in advance for the US. Arrogance and ignorance will lead the a Soviet style collapse of America and an ensuing civil war part 2. 450 millions guns in the US will get target practice…
You are Watching Too Many Media Tehran, Europe, and Globally. Iran dies not Fight and have not Won anything, this is Why they are Off Balance and Waiting and Weighing the Next Move that could be their Last ending them?
The Iranians need total chaos to usher the return of the Al-Mahdi
The First Actions of Al-Mahdi المهدي, “He Who Is Guided By God”, The Mahdi is an Redeemer of Islamic Civilization will Appear and Rule for 5, 7, 9, 19, Years before Day of Judgment and Rid the World of Evil, starting in Tehran.
Silence Ot I Will Sanction Yo’All!
Former NATO Supreme Commander Admiral James Stavridism compared the recent actions of Iran’s government, including the downing of a drone, to those of North Korea’s Kim Jong Un. “Tensions Are Higher Than I’ve Seen Them In 30 years in the Arabian Gulf between the US and Iran”!
US should stop its criminal sanctions which are hurting millions of Iranian while those in charge are getting richer. It is an act of war and not only that they are also bullying the European and others threatening them with sanctions if they deal with Iran. They have withdrawn from JCPOA against wishes of all the participants and the UN under the direction of Netanyahu and now flooded the Persian Gulf with their military hardware. By the way Gulf of Mexico can not be changed to Gulf of US Ginger spice. If Iran has brought down the spy drone in international airspace why doesn’t US publish the flight path of the drone. It is an easy thing to do to prove they are telling the truth unless they are not after truth . If it has entered Iranian airspace they have the right to shoot it down just like any other country.
The US has published the flight path of the drone. It flew in international waters.
Because you confine your news to Mullah networks makes you look silly.
Well .. there is an basic difference between that type of ‘red channels’ from past of the cold war times and current. Etablished between USForces HQ and Iranian RG HQ in Persian Gulf area. The difference is determined by level of emotions. Which could be described as pure revolutionary hate to … americans, governing intellectual core of iranian Rev Guard commanders and military personell. So professional communication at miltary level is rather impossible.
Dealing with Islamists anywhere is like dealing with petulant children who must always get their way. They do not care about consequences. They do not care about human life except as political pawns to advance jihad. That is why there is endless war and terrorism and no freedom in any Islamic countries.
israil dünyanın en büyük tehlikesidir çünkü ortadoğuda yalnızca israilin 500 adet nükleer silahı var bütün ortadoğu ülkelerini nükleer silahlarla tehdit ediyor
The Middle East Juvenile Iran is in a Global Corner of Confusion after Sanctions Spankings. They can’t change and will keep making Mistakes the keeps the Persian Culture Backward and Persians will Prevail over them.
A Divine perspective observeso the ripening of Iran’s evil and destroys Iran with a force raised up to remove this evil actor.
Blessed be the Lord God of Israel and America! And may God continue to bless President Trump!
Forces of “Good” and “Evil” (i.e. love for quality Life and desire for suicidal Death) are becoming more crystallized and polarized than ever ! May the Almighty God of Israel continue to protect and guide
President Trump !
Obama and the 1st Israeli General’s Revolt successfully stymied the Netanyahu/Neocon in motion attack on Iran in 2012 meant to trigger the US into a war, Admiral Fallon and others prevented Cheney and the Netanyahu/Neocon forces from false flagging Iran into a war in 2007 and 2008. Earlier this year Netanyahu/Neocons were denied yet another attempt on Iran with the Northern Shield hustle on the US
Thank you!
https://piyalechi.com/2019/06/24/operation-poisoned-drone/