By winning Baghdad vote Iran could recoup losses from US-Israeli beatings
But an election loss by its Iraqi pawn on Saturday, May 12, would land more misfortune on Tehran after US/Israeli serial blows. The Iranians hope that the outcome of the Iraqi election will reverse their fortunes after the blows landing on their heads since President Donald Trump announced the US withdrawal from the nuclear pact on May 8. US sanctions rolling out since are targeting the Revolutionary Guards, Iran’s central bank and its oil exports. Israeli air strikes are meanwhile wiping out their military assets around Damascus and southern Syria. Iran’s leaders will watch with dismay the triumphant dedication of the US embassy in Jerusalem on Monday, May 14, while waiting impatiently for the wheel to turn back in their favor when the results of Iraq’s general election are published the next day. A win by the pro-Iranian Shiite group of Iraqi militias headed by Hadi al Amiri will be hailed in ringing tones as Iran’s conquest of Baghdad and a counter-blow for the American-Israeli triumph in Jerusalem.
The first step of an Amiri-led government would be an announcement in the new parliament of an order for the immediate evacuation of US forces from Iraqi soil, DEBKAfile’s intelligence sources report. He has been provided with a detailed timeline for the US withdrawal. Our sources add that the collapse of the US military presence in Iraq would put at grave risk the key American military position in northern and eastern Syria. It may also incidentally provide North Korean ruler Kim Jong-un with a strong card for demanding the evacuation of US forces from Korea, when he meets President Trump in Singapore on June 12
In a word, Iran’s takeover of Baghdad through a strong military proxy would badly shake Trump’s strategy for containing Iran as well as Israel’s military campaign for demolishing Tehran’s platform of aggression in Syria. While the US force would lose its Iraqi back-up, Tehran’s Syrian venture would gain strong backing from a pro-Iranian Iraqi government and army.
Washington and Tehran therefore have strong conflicting stakes in the Iraqi election. The US, Israel, Jordan and Saudi Arabia all shudder at the prospect of being hemmed in by the Iranian pawn Al-Amiri in Baghdad and across the border to the west, Syria in the clutches of Al Qods commander Qassem Soleimani and Lebanon controlled by another Iranian pawn, Hassan Nasrallah.
In the past week, Trump administration and Saudi agents have been shelling out millions of dollars to win local leaders of Iraq’s majority Shiite community and their votes – either for incumbent prime minister Haydar al-Abadi’s Victory party or Al Amiri’s other leading challenger, the popular Shiite cleric Moqtada Sadr’s alliance. Shortly before polling, Al-Abadi was estimated to be pulling ahead, but it would not be the first time that informed forecasts have been proven wrong.
34 thoughts on “By winning Baghdad vote Iran could recoup losses from US-Israeli beatings”
Shia majority always will be a winner in iraq elections, and that is why US spent 7 trillion dollars in iraq. This is the only achievement that US gained after all those years of fighting and spending money
So then they should get rid of the minority rulers in Syria
The article does not make any sense ; What blows the article describes . The Israeli aircraft dropped 11 ground to ground rockets and another 50 and what they did ? Killed few people , destroyed weapons ? Those 60 rockets cost around 100 million $ together with acting 30 aircraft . Sanctions from USA make no difference . Iran has trade in its own region , and does not need USA for anything and nothing . And if Israel will start a war with few of its neighbors, it will last for about 3 days , before running out of munitions . And as far as ground war , there the Israeli will see real problem . Misguided article has no meaning or sense. There is no achievement of killing each other , but if there could be achieved peace , than you could write about it.
And if you take your medications as the doctors have already instructed you many times, you’ll wake up with millions of dollars under your pillow. It’s the power of positive thinking!
solomeo, me wonder in what planet r u living;u really don’t get it, do u? on the one hand, it’s a matter of survival and on the other it’s hatred,misery,destruction & death.50+ years of talking peace, peace and in the process losing vital land has not achieved anything for Israel. On the contrary it brought zero concession and more hatred from these degenerate roaches, oh yeah the former terrorist leader ended being a billionaire (piss be on him). So it’s time to stop being gullible and moronic; as Trump said, you’ve been “played” enough, so wake up or rather grow up solomeo, talking about peace now rings so hollow. now is the time to pray that Bibi be strong enough to lead Israel thru’ these challenging situation. Stop dreaming for pete’s sake!
Zionist Neocons are really stupid. They wasted $2 trillion on Iraq and effectively handed it to Iran, then complained. LOL.
Not the smartest people around.
You’re not so bright either, if you haven’t worked it out by now that there is a new President calling the shots. Yes – lots of money wasted – but not by him. Iran is on notice and if their friends in Iraq want to act up, well we’ll see about that too. Anyway “zionist neocons” have their measure; so far doing pretty well. Russia sorted, Syria sorted, Iran weak ass handed back on plate….LOL indeed!
You must be too young to remember that it was Obama who handed Iraq to Iran.
Shia majority may vote for Al-Abadi, the incumbent prime minister who is a Shia and USA ally, question of money placed in right hands, or to national and fundamentalistic Moqtada Sadr.
I do not agree with Debka about the negative impact of election of Al- Amiri. It is true that the pro iranian prime minister may request evacuation of USA forces from Iraq. However, it may also drive Americans to expand their other bases in the ME and even establish new.
What a beautiful country Iraq! Full of opportunities of sectarian killing, ethnic killing, and just plain good killing.
What a beautiful country Syria! Full of opportunities of sectarian killing, ethnic killing, and just plain old good killing.
And then Gaza, boring like crazy! Bleah, makes me throw up!
in other words, u just gave the definition of “SHITHOLE” countries
2008 Obama (D) 78%
2013 Obama (D) 69%
2016 Clinton (D) 71%
Guess what those are.
No, I don’t see it as a big deal. Iraq and Iran are both useless and so make good partners. The gloves are off as far as Israel is concerned. It will take out whatever it wants, when it wants now. If there is retaliation, well the belting they get back will be a lot heavier. Its is exactly what has been happening lately, just more of it. Iran should just get the hell out of syria before it is itself blown away, That’s the message its been given. They cannot fight against a real military they are less than boy scouts.
Henry is right, the lives and money spent in Iraq will have been wasted…unless America demands to be paid back in oil and business contracts…the contracts which the EU and Russia and China have stolen from under their noses…that is why the EU wants to be nice to Iran and maintain an agreement in which the wolves have been “inspecting” the hen house and reporting their findings to other wolves in the UN.
There is a dark rule in the Islamic Middle East that things always go from bad to worse. If you think it is bad today, then just wait for next week or next month. The only language understood properly is deadly force. The only thing they understand is force and power and a strong military.
I do not expect Iraqis to be happy with Western powers but I would hope that they have learned some helpful lessons about totalitarian leaders who have treated their people like slaves. Maybe I am expecting too much because they have never really had decent leadership and the biggest mistake America made was leaving the scene of the conflict without installing American leadership which would have given them a chance to become a civilized nation instead of a targeted puppet for The Islamic State of Iran and their evil growing empire.
Make note America – when you conquer you must also follow with rule…conquering and then leaving the spoils for others leads to bigger problems such as we see today.
Iraq’s Sunni Arabs and Kurds still have a right to self-determination, if they decide that the Shia Iranian government in Baghdad doesn’t represent their interests or respect their rights. If those people ask the US to stick around, I don’t see why their request would be refused.
Iraq should be split up into at least three countries and same with Syria. It is impossible for Islamic religious factions to rule because they base their rule on the Koran and Hadiths and Sura and which are incompatible with good government and freedom and democracy of any type. Any country without solely Shia or Sunni will end up in war and terror. All elections in Islamic countries are fake. The sooner we understand the incompatibility of Islamic rule (whether it is Shite or Sunni) with our own western values the faster we will protect our own nations from the parasitic and expansionary Islamism being invited in the front doors of western countries by stupid leaders who are blind to or unaware of what Islam is all about.
Not everybody wants junk American culture. America has degraded Western “values” and makes a mockery out of them. What are these values anyway? The freedom to mess up the world for a few psychopaths’ greed? Europe was the birthplace of Western values, America is simply distorting them, hijacking them, co-opting them, and trampling them for imperialism.
The whole movement to demonize Islam as the source of all evil is misguided. Most Muslims want to live in peace. Like most Jews and Christians. Its a small cabal of militant Zionists, Wahhabis and Americans that are the problem. And they’re all allies, so there is your big problem. Most of the world is busy resisting or being subjugated by this scourge.
Zionism is real parasitism. Zionists hijack Western countries with lobbying and money to put Israel ahead of their own countries interests. Zionism is very parasitic by nature. It thrives off using hosts, – the British and American empires for example, for get them to do heavy lifting for them.
No, not Zionists nor Americans nor Saudis are the problem, the problem are the fanatical haters in Iran and so called Palestine. It is Iran what wants to destroy Israel, USA and Saudi Arabi and not the other way around. Iran is the aggressor and will pay for it.
Remember, not much time has passed since the enemy of Israel also included the Saudis as much as the Islamic state of Iran. It is not Sunni or Shia that hold the West as their enemy – Islam holds all non-Muslims and the wrong kind of Islam as the enemy that must be destroyed. I think that if there were just one branch of Islam in the world they would invent new reasons to find differences among them to terrorize and go to war – it is hard-wired into the political ideology which is Islam.
Wrong. You seem to fall too hard for words rather than actions.
10 years ago Ahmadinejad said something about wiping Israel off the map. That’s like having George Bush say some stupid things.
And here we are with people like you still clinging onto this garbage.
Judge by actions, not words. Iran is not threatening Israel, its the Zionist-Imperialist axis that is attacking Syria, Yemen and Lebanon with meddling and regime change. Those places are Iranian allies. Its not the other way around. You need to pay more attention and stop falling for Western propaganda. Western propaganda always blames countries that do not bend down to its will. By now anybody with half a brain will know this.
Imperialism by definition IS aggression. The rest is resistance against this extortion racket.
Iran is part of the Northern Confederacy, whereas the US and Saudi Arabia are part of the Southern Confederacy. The Northern confederacy will be destroyed after invading Israel and it will take Israel 7 months to bury the dead.
Destroyed by whom? Read the OT.
“Most Muslims want to live in peace.” Oh, really? Reality and history make you the liar, the propagandist, and the stupid defender of an evil belief system. Have you ever lived in an Islamic country? What has the western country you lived in done to you that you want to visit such evil upon your own head and ours. If you want to live as a slave then go join them bud but do not demonize Jews just because you do not feel at home in free countries that are not quite perfect enough for you, the embodiment of perfection.
Yes I have lived in Muslim countries, and Western ones too. I get along with people from all faiths.
Now let me ask you, have you? Because if you haven’t, you’re just spewing bullshit. Most people want to live normal lives. There is nothing out of the ordinary about Islamic countries, they have their own beliefs and customs and will treat you with respect if you don’t trash their customs.
My problem is not with Jews per se, but Zionists, which is a dangerous set of people. Zionists are Israel-firsters, a 5th column living inside various nations that attempts to steer policies of foreign countries to be sympathetic with Israel. And alot of this is based on lying, deception and fraud. Zionism is aggressive because it warrants endless meddling in the Middle East, usually for very selfish and evil purposes like regime change and fuelling conflict among Muslims countries. I don’t see this as a positive effect, judging by the refugee crises, terrorism and instability this has created. And to be honest, quite a few of these Zionists are not even Jews, but Evangelical idiots who are doing things in the name of Zionism for imperialism. Neocons are a perfect example.
my arse. Iran was the birthplace of western values. india, Iran, Greece, Rome. Insolent Greece and haughty Rome which influence brought about the success of the Aryan messiah, Yeshu’a sar ha panim, Metatron.
Yeshayahu- Isaiah – Chapter 13
1. The harsh prophecy of Babylon which Isaiah son of Amoz prophesied.
2. On a tranquil mountain raise a banner, raise your voice to them; wave your hand that they may enter the gates of the nobles.
3. I commanded My prepared ones; I summoned My heroes to [execute] My wrath, those who rejoice in My pride.
4. The sound of a multitude in the mountains, the likeness of a numerous people, the sound of the stirring of kingdoms of nations gathering; the Lord of Hosts appoints officers over the warring host.
5. They come from a distant land, from the end of the heavens; the Lord and the weapons of His fury, to destroy all the land.
6. Lament, for the day of the Lord is near; like a raid from the Almighty it shall come.
7. Therefore, all hands shall grow feeble, and the heart of every mortal shall melt.
8. And they shall panic; pangs and throes shall seize them; like a woman in confinement they shall writhe; each man shall be amazed at his fellow; their faces are faces of flames.
9. Behold, the day of the Lord is coming, cruel with wrath and burning anger, to make the land desolate, and its sinners He shall destroy from it.
iGM: We are talking about today.
Who will the authoritarian regimes blame if ME borders are rebuilt per various Islamic denominations? They will blame their neighbors for the economic and liberty restrictions the leaders have imposed on their populations. In other words, instead of the present guerrilla warfare the ME will shift to a continuous war among the newly minted nations. These new nations will eventually build nuclear bombs and destroy each other including Israel. Somehow Islam needs to change in order to allow democracy in the ME. I hope the clerics eventually will see the need for an Islamic reinterpretation that allows a separation between the government and the musk.
Fortunately, they are dying out literally…leftism is their religion, not Judaism.
They have an unsustainable birth rate compared conservative more religious Jews and an inter-faith marriage rate over 70%…
Meaning in generations to come Jews will actually be a conservative voting block
Most Hasidic orthodox areas of Brooklyn etc went for Trump etc etc
To Zionism hater: Yes, I have lived in an Islamic country and think that the west is the best. No, you do not “get along with people from all faiths” (and are a big liar) because you are an flaming anitsemite.
I agree with your assessment. This guy writes “Judge by actions, not words. Iran is not threatening Israel, its the Zionist-Imperialist axis that is attacking Syria, Yemen and Lebanon with meddling and regime change. ”
What arrant nonsense – as if Iran is not , has not , positioned itself or proxies to strike Israel? This guy is just an idiot. When you see stuff like that you have to laugh.
Must have been some inbreeding
There was a war in Irak led by the US, it can be redone.
Spot on. That will happen if required. Iran is not going to be dictating anything while Trumpy is around.
It’s come to this: the U.S. is handing millions to the Shiite Sadr, whose militias killed hundreds of American troops in Iraq.
It may be time to let the Iranians try to run Iraq, and fall on their face too, playing one devil off against another.
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