How Iran cheats on nuclear deal, with no flat accusation from Trump or IAEA

President Donald Trump has dropped teasing hints into the hubbub, high rhetoric and suspense of the run-up to the Oct. 15 deadline, when he must either certify that Iran is in compliance with the 2015 nuclear accord or withhold certification. The former would lend the accord another 90-day lease of life; the latter could entail the re-imposition of pre-nuclear deal sanctions against Iran, if approved by Congress.
Preyed by the same uncertainty as everyone else, Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani said on Saturday, Oct. 7: “Even 10 Trumps can’t roll back the benefits to this country of the nuclear deal. We have achieved benefits that are irreversible. If the United States violates (the nuclear deal), the entire world will condemn America, not Iran.”

In the last 48 hours, American media have been awash with predictions that President Trump will deliver a major speech on Oct. 12, to announce his decision to certify the nuclear deal, while at the same time imposing new sanctions on Iran – mainly targeting its Revolutionary Guards Corps over activities (missile development, terrorism sponsorship) that are contrary to US national security interests. Some say Washington will add the IRGC to its list of terrorist organizations.

In one sense, Rouhani got it right.
Trump brands the nuclear accord as the worst deal America ever signed, yet he does not challenge the confirmation by the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna (IAEA) that Iran is in full compliance with its terms.

Trump’s opponents, especially those who backed President Barack Obama’s Iran policy, have come up with a new argument to support their insistence on keeping the nuclear deal he negotiated in place.  Ditching it, they say, would prompt Iran to reactivate its nuclear program at top speed and start building a bomb without further delay. Tehran would also restore production at its Arak plutonium plant, in breach of its commitment to disable the plant with cement.
They have even dragged in Abdul Qadeer Khan, father of the Pakistan nuclear bomb, who sold nuclear secrets to China, North Korea, Libya and Iran, to support their claim that Iran can quickly pull the blueprints out of a drawer and go straight to building a bomb.

This argument comes strangely from the same US and Israeli security circles, which during the negotiations for the nuclear deal, vociferously dismissed as scaremongering every warning that its terms left Iran with its nuclear facilities fully intact and ready for reactivation at a moment’s notice.

Those same circles, instead of admitting they were wrong then, now threaten the incumbent president that he will bear the blame if the danger they missed then comes to pass now, as a result of the flawed nuclear deal. This is exactly what Rouhani predicted.

So what are the facts of the case?

Iran is brazenly cheating on the nuclear deal on which its foreign minister shook hands two years ago with his counterparts from the US, Russia, China, France, Britain and Germany.  And not just in spirit. The White House is not saying more than that because Trump and his advisers fear the consequences of a flat accusation of flagrant breaches in deed.

DEBKAfile’s military and intelligence sources list four of the most outrageous violations:

  1. Tehran lied on Jan. 12, 2016 when it assured the international watchdog that the core of the plutonium reactor had been dismantled as required under the nuclear accord and the space filled with reinforced cement to deactivate the plant. The truth is that the core remained in place and the cement was poured into pipes. Replacing them can be done in less than a week and the Arak plant will be running again as good as new.
    Why has the IAEA not reported Iran’s violation in its reports? Because its officials prefer to line up with the pro-nuclear deal advocates in the US, Europe and Russia and Germany and avoid a major international hullabaloo.
  2. The IAEA inspectors who make regular visits to the uranium enrichment facilities at Fordo and Natanz report that the number of centrifuges functioning there is fixed. However, they have not visited the secret factories which are turning out at high speed two “new generation” IR6 and IR8 centrifuges. Installed in place of the old machines, they are capable of very quickly producing large quantities of uranium enriched up to weapons grade for building not just one bomb but an arsenal.
  1. To this day, Tehran has adamantly denied watchdog inspectors access to the military sites, where explosion tests are suspected to be secretly ongoing. The IAEA has been reduced to asking Iran for soil samples from the suspected sites for testing, but its experts have no way to determine from which locations those samples were taken.

Does anyone remember Barack Obama’s solemn pledge that Iran’s nuclear projects would be subjected to the tightest, most comprehensive possible inspections to guard against its cheating on its commitments under the accord?

The following comparison says it all: The number of inspections the international watchdog carried out in Canada in the past two years, to monitor its heavy water program is double the number of visits IAEA monitors paid Iran in the same period.
The Trump administration’s response looks mild when seen against Iran’s barefaced violations of its international nuclear commitments.


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22 thoughts on “How Iran cheats on nuclear deal, with no flat accusation from Trump or IAEA

  • Oct 7, 2017 @ 20:23 at 20:23

    Iranians sacrifice a cow every time they change an old centrifuge with a new one. Cows are slathered in the village of Fardostan near the underground site. During last 18 months more than 12000 cows were delivered to that village.

    See how easy it is to make unsubstantiated accusations! Where did you get your news on plutonium reactor not being dismantled? You accuse IAEA inspectors of lying and cheating without any proof. No professional journalist would do this.

    • Oct 7, 2017 @ 21:26 at 21:26

      “Where did you get your news ?”
      Exactly the source of this news about Arak core is Ali Akbar Salehi, head of the Atomic Energy Organization Of Iran (AEOI) and a member of Iran’s nuclear negotiating team.
      Interview of August 22 , 2017
      Then if you try to use google you can easily find another interview of Mr. Amano (IAEA Chief) in which he says “We Are Now Unable to Verify Iran is Implementing Nuclear Deal”…and the reasons…

    • Oct 8, 2017 @ 23:19 at 23:19

      Only blind cannot see that Iranian regime limits to practically zero real abilities to monitor their nukes program. That total inability was actually put in legal terms in that deal itself. Accusations of non-professionalism here sound good but are invalid. To prove their revelations debka should reveal their sources also and that is not doable, obviously. The indirect data — comparison Canada and Iran inspections is very telling. The simple fact that Iranians are ready to make a bomb real quick as they please is acknowledged by the same people who had promoted the deal. What is the point in that deal then? To delay next Holocaust for a few years? I advice Mr. Erik who comments here to think about his grandchildren, children, friends, relatives and himself (whoever he has on this list) at the moment when Iranians get nukes, in the end, if the deal goes on uninterrupted.

      • Oct 9, 2017 @ 7:18 at 7:18

        And I strongly advice you, Mr. Anatoly to read again my comment,together with someone who can help you.
        I clearly wrote that top iranian sources naively admitted the cheating about Arak core and then I reported the recent interview with IAEA Chief, who said they are unable to verify iranian work on nuclear triggers because they are not free to visit suspected plants. God only knows what you have understood…

        • Oct 9, 2017 @ 18:12 at 18:12

          Can the Dimona site be inspected?

          • Oct 9, 2017 @ 21:20 at 21:20

            Dear, there’s no obligation to sign the NPT !
            Iran signed it for the great benefits deriving from that, and signed the nuclear deal with the P5+1 for about 34 Billion reasons ($)…someone says more.
            So now it’s Iran that must fulfill every single point of that deal, included the points related to the nuke triggers.Whatever you can say about Israel,Pakistan,India, Sudan has nothing to do with anything.

  • Oct 7, 2017 @ 20:26 at 20:26

    Extremely cogent and valid points. The moral of the story is that a nuclear deal cannot be enforced since there are six ways from Sunday to circumvent the provisions.

  • Oct 7, 2017 @ 20:59 at 20:59

    Debka might be a good storyteller, but they tried every day but Sunday to find any evidence of wrongdoing and still zilch. Iranians are in compliance. It is certified by the people who know firsthand that it is true. Debka’s storytelling is exactly what it is – a story not even as persuasive as the one I made up with the cows.

    • Oct 7, 2017 @ 21:51 at 21:51

      “Where did you get your news ?”
      Exactly the source of this news about Arak core is Ali Akbar Salehi, head of the Atomic Energy Organization Of Iran (AEOI) and a member of Iran’s nuclear negotiating team.
      Interview of August 22 , 2017
      Then if you try to use google you can easily find another interview of Mr. Amano (IAEA Chief) in which he says “We Are Now Unable to Verify Iran is Implementing Nuclear Deal”…and the reasons…

    • Oct 13, 2017 @ 9:48 at 9:48

      Exactly, ZIONIST EXTREMISTS nut jobs want the second coming …..absolute dirtbags !! ISISraels terror attack on 911 is closing in on them………

  • Oct 7, 2017 @ 21:13 at 21:13

    Many of the leaders that talked and made deals with North Korea and Iran are no longer in power but the consequences of their inaction in preventing both of these renegade led countries from obtaining Nuclear armed ICBM’s and hydrogen bombs, will be felt by not only America and Israel which have been threatened, but by all Countries including Russia and China.

    • Oct 13, 2017 @ 9:49 at 9:49

      renegade countries ? who invaded Iraq, Afghanistan ?? who destroyed Libya and Syria……the renegade country is the United States and ISISrael……

  • Oct 7, 2017 @ 21:56 at 21:56

    Surely with all the anti missile missiles that exist in the region and also being sold to the Saudis soon, as well as Israel’s nuclear capability, all this Iranian lark is academic.

  • Oct 7, 2017 @ 22:00 at 22:00

    The Question everyone, including American Jewry must ask itself, was Obama’s deal having Iran fight ISIS for us, using Hezbollah & Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, worth the future cost of a nuclear Iran, Assad still in power, yet no American boots on the ground???
    Toss in $150 billion in various currency, and Obama’s sleight of hand Optics fooled most Americans again…

    So when Iran, watching North Korea, shoots “nuke capable” missiles around the ME while “testing,” what are the options then? This is the result of kicking cans down the road…

  • Oct 8, 2017 @ 1:41 at 1:41

    The unelected, illegitimate, criminal, Twelver, religious-fanatic dictators who run Iran engage in “Takia” which is Koranically endorsed lying and deception to get their Shia way.

    These lunatics are Twelvers who believe, (where have you heard this one before), that living among us is a savior, a 12th imam called “Al Mahdi”. They believe that Al will show up with Jesus to save the world.

  • Oct 8, 2017 @ 2:00 at 2:00

    Iran needs to be bombed, just like Irak in the 1980s. A quick operation, e.g. US ARMY and ZAHAL. Putin needs to keep his eyes shut and not to interfere.

  • Oct 8, 2017 @ 15:16 at 15:16

    It’s too late. Thank you Barak HUSSEIN Obama! !! Thank you Jimmy Carter. Thank you Bill Clinton.
    The 3 most devastating presidents for world peace.

  • Oct 8, 2017 @ 16:38 at 16:38

    Cannot print without ads and split screen. Very difficult. Please fix

  • Oct 9, 2017 @ 19:36 at 19:36

    Israel has not vowed to annihilate two ‘Satans.”

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