Israel’s shrinking military deterrence emboldens terrorists and hostile forces
The Palestinian shooting attack which injured seven Israelis at the Ofra junction on Sunday, Dec. 9 was not an isolated incident. In the north meanwhile, Israel’s Operation Northern Shield against Hizballah tunnels has become a cat and mouse game.
Hamas had every reason to celebrate another effective terrorist attack in Judea and Samaria. Since Israel allowed Qatar’s monthly installments of $15m to pass into Hamas hands in the Gaza Strip, a month, the rockets and incendiary balloons flying against Israeli communities in southern Israel are grounded. Assured of another four monthly cash installments, Hamas is free to focus on acquiring new rockets, digging new tunnels and setting up a new wave of violence in Judea and Samaria. It is not just directed against Israelis but has the collateral benefit for Hamas of jolting security in the Palestinian Authority, which is led by the rival Fatah group.
The IDF operation against Hizballah’s cross-border tunnels may also pay a price for its declining deterrent strength. While the Netanyahu government and military officials trumpet the importance of then action for disabling the Iranian Lebanese proxy’s “tunnel weapon” – complete with revelations of the yet another tunnel unearthed, Hizballah’s propaganda machine has contrived to turn this picture on its head and feed its distorted take to the region’s Arab media.
Both show an IDF unit working on tunnels located by intelligence as running under the border into Israel, equipped with the latest military and high-tech equipment and vehicles, and backed by armored cars, Hemmers, drones and artillery. A UNIFIL is depicted heading towards the same point from the Lebanese side of the border. The UN commander then consults the Lebanese Army for a directive to determine the location of the border. The two forces stand practically nose to nose on either side and wait for word from Beirut.
Now picture becomes absurd. Like every other unit of the Lebanese army, its intelligence division’s mapping department takes its orders from Hizballah. So, while Israeli TV films Israeli soldiers painting blue the rocks marking the border, their correspondents omit to disclose that the soldiers are marking out a “blue line” border dictated by Hizballah. Furthermore, a short distance away, hundreds of Lebanese villagers watch the scene, some of them laughing and pointing at the Israeli soldiers. Hizballah operatives are certainly part of these groups, since they have virtually moved in on all the Shiite villages of southern Lebanon in yet another violation of UNSC Res. 1701. Israeli troops are under strict orders not to react to any provocation.
The cat and mouse game went on Monday. The Lebanese army chief Gen. Joseph Aoun informed UNIFIL head. Maj. Gen. Stefano Del Col, that permission to inspect villages suspected of harboring tunnels may be granted – but only against the submission of the IDF’s plan of operation in detail! DEBKAfile’s military sources report
Hizballah’s upside-down picture has been relayed by TV stations of the Arab world during the six days since the Israeli operation was launched. It achieved the effect which Hizballah aimed for of a Lebanese David laughing in the face of the Israeli Goliath. With this propaganda success under his belt, Hizballah’s Hassan Nasrallah could afford to “decline comment” on the Israeli operation and quietly watch another assault on IDF deterrence.
41 thoughts on “Israel’s shrinking military deterrence emboldens terrorists and hostile forces”
Debka isnt making sense here. Israel is indeed a Goliath compared to Lebanon, but Hezbollah likes to pretend that they are equal in strength to Israel. Every day that goes by without Hezbollah acting, they look weaker and weaker. Everyone knows Lebanon/Hezbollah is unhappy with the IDF operating so close, but the paper tiger does nothing.
Netanyahu is a wise leader who knows have to achieve his goals in slow motion, without setting off unnecessary wars.
Agreed. Debka is consistently hostile to Bibi and playiing drama-queen over imagined deficiencies, but not as extreme as JPost/Ha-Aretz. Debka sometimes has some interesting incites and details missed by the MSM, worth reading (with a filter).
Palestinians should rid Gaza and the West Bank of corrupt leaders, stop dreaming of the return and start building, educating and living without hate.
Great Fear Porn Dedka lol, but very transparent.
The reason for the shooting was more due to years upon years of repression and resentment building. Thousands of innocent unarmed civilians demonstrators were shot in Gaza many deaths occurred…
They only Palestinians so no biggie in the eyes of most Zionists right?
Yet the shooting of a few Israeli’s within the occupied territories means that Israeli’s determinant capability has ended? Typical Zionist racism…
Seriously what rubbish… that Israeli deterrence has failed, people are desperate and as they have less to lose they are now more willing to fight. The deterrence is still their but they are now willing to say NO MORE.
Still top marks on the Fear Porn and as always its great entertainment
So why isn’t paper tiger Hez not taking any action?
Never get in the way when your enemy turns themselves into a global laughingstock.
NuttyYahoo is a corrupt avatar allowed to become a fascist dictator of a settler colony of welfare cases.
Why not just point and laugh?
My cousin Abdul has been shot for negligence, but praise Allah now my brother is advanced in the position of responsible for tunnel maintenance.
All thanks to IDF finding a lost tunnel!
Does not matter, we have plenty of tunnels, let IDF enjoy finding a dozen or two.
QUICK. YOU NEED AN ANTIBIOTIC FOR THE SYPHALIS OF THE MOUTH YOU SUFFER FROM!
As i said Israel’s deterrence is still there… That its gone is Fear Porn…
Now if Israel attacks Lebanon then expect to reap the whirlwind expect Hezbollah to fight and Israeli cities to burn.
So lots more of the above with tens of thousands of rockets into Israel with Hezbollah now able to target airfields, supply area’s (weapon, food, fuel), military bases, dams, power supplies, transportation routes etc because of the their precision weapons.
This is Hezbulla’s deterrence which is very inferior than Israel’s but as they are able to make any invasion politically and economically to costly for Israel we have a stand off.
No sane person in either Israel or Hezbollah wants to fight because for either to do so not in there best interests.
So we have a Cold War type peace with lots of propaganda and BS on both sides.
Allahu Nakba! Years of repression, lies and resentment by your own leaders.
The premise of deshezbollahisation is accumulation of just strong vindication, together with isolation of the enemy, both added to good accumulation of destructive power, after which the uprooting of Hezbollah is as simple as harvesting the mellow mature full-bodied orchard gift.
Sorry that your leadership is unwilling and unable to share Peace with Israelis, not for a lack of trying.
The Pali’s have proven over and over that Land 4 Peace does not work, they want ALL the land, no peace.
Can’t afford to trust the Pali’s, bc over the years, they prove to be violent and prone to terrorist attacks, against civilians, children, schools, buses, etc.
This is the fault of the PA Leadership, don’t give me moral equivalence, not having it.
This story is “bull!” The IDF has known about these tunnels for years and have pin-pointed at least six or seven others. They allowed Hezbollah to continue the underground operations, which wasted hundreds of millions of Iranian dollars, countless man hours, and God knows how many deaths in the construction process. The timing was brilliant on the part of Israel, which waited until the border was cross before the first two tunnels were exposed. Now, under UN resolution, Number whatever, Israel has a legitimate Casus Belli to attack South Lebanon at its leisure.
Lebanon economy is based on banking, commerce, and tourism. Banking is in paper money deposits in banks. Commerce through ports. Bomb these and they will give up. Bomb the now and the Arab-Syrian influence will go down. Tourists love leisure, will run out. Fact!
Israel should never have withdrawn from Lebanon nor Gaza nor Sinai. God let them win these areas. They should have stayed and kicked out the ever-warring Arabs. Arabs only understand strength never show them weakness. Same as animals they are.
Thats religious crazy talk dude. Its mans actions that create paradise and hell on earth. Its like saying that God wanted the Nazi’s to kill the Jews because God let them….
Equally Israeli only understands strength, as seen in Lebanon in 2006. Israeli got a spanking so ran for the exit. Violence is never the answer.
Rather focus on integrating and uplifting each others economies. Very few people want war / death and destruction. Everyone wants a comfortable life, to be left alone to live in peace to pursue one’s own ideals.
If you want to change the Middle East focus on that or there will be war forever until one side completely slaughter other.
Imagine if America had take just 50% of the trillions that its wasted fighting these wars in the middle east and invested it in the region. The entire Middle East would be a totally different place today.
Imagine America gave back the lands they stole from the indigenous Native Indians, apologized for the genocide that killed off 90% of the Native population of that land by white euro illegal settlers, paid compensation, sincerely alologized and fvvvked off back to europe – NOW THAT WOULD BE SOMETHNG…..
I agree yes it would be something if America compensated the indigenous people who they oppressed and took the land from.
I dont quite get the point that you are trying to make.
Are you saying what the f#ck why cant the Jews do the same in Palestine? Forgeting of cause that It was hundreds of years ago when the Europeans and Jewish Europeans arrived in the America’s. Might makes right so you should be allowed to steal and slaughter anyone who you disagree with?
Is that what you are trying to say?
Because if might makes right lol then stop whining when the Palestinians kill you, stop whining about antisemitism, WW2 and everything else….
Me i do not believe in that type of fascist ideology but as always Israel and its Zionist supporters should be allowed to reap the whirlwind.
Me i’ll sit back eat popcorn when that day arrives and you whine about your rights been violated
Israeli army lost deterrence since years, in the past our fathers and grandparents were so scared from the army they looked at it as un breakable , Unlike today. In the past if an Israeli was injured all westbank will suffer today Israelis are killed and people in Ramallah they dont hear about the accident and we live our normal life, Israel today is begging US not to cut funds for PA and Qatar for Hamas because they know that they cannot control WB or Gaza again. We live in a time were Telaviv is hiding in bunkers and we in Ramallah are having fun in reastaurants and coffee shops
Enjoy your coffee while you can. Israel will soon relocate all of you to a different country outside of the Holy Land.
has anyone thought about gasing the tunnels… Dad!
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I’m so sick and tired of Debka portraying Israel’s enemies as these invincible behemoths. I’m starting to believe Debka is a a pro terrorist and anti Israel publication.
It is not Debka that is not making sense it is the Israeli government-and IDF that does not make sense. They should have just destroyed the villages that harbored the tunnels and blew up the tunnels. Make my words all the Israeli “leadership” is doing is showing weakness and it will guarantee a much bigger war that the Russians will actively help the Iranians destroy Israel.
Everything Has Its Time, To everything there is a season, A time for every purpose under heaven. Be patient!
You do realize that what you are saying would mean war?
Some reports say that Hezbollah has 150’000 missiles, some say 180’000 the point is that they have LOTS and LOTS at this time.
Just to put things in prospective if the average weight of a warhead is JUST 100KG then 10’000 missiles launched into Israel would drop the equivalent of 1 MILLION KG or 100 Tons of explosive into Israel.
So how many deaths and how much damage would many times this do to the Israeli cities?
Is bombing villages really worth the consequence?
If what is said is true and Hezbollah have precision munitions then they can go after your water infrastructure, electricity substations, power plants, fuel, ports, military bases, runways, factories etc
Basically everything and anything to magnify the long term impact.
How many missiles per day would be required to keep your airbases out of commission? Your Ports shutdown, your electrical grid down, destroy the dams / pumping stations (that would not work without electricity anyway, and so forth and such like etc?
While i really don’t like Bibi, playing this up for political points but NOT doing anything that would cause war is i believe is wise.
Now if you Israeli’s really want war fine go ahead. I’ll eat popcorn while Israel and Lebanon undertake a race to the bottom as your cities burn while seeing who blinks first.
The Lebanese are a tough people who are used to hardship, my money would be on them holding out longer than Israel is able to accept.
Should be 1000 Tons:
Just to put things in prospective if the average weight of a warhead is JUST 100KG then 10’000 missiles launched into Israel would drop the equivalent of 1 MILLION KG or 1000 Tons of explosive into Israel.
And who says that Israel doesn’t have any nukes if it came to this?
Yes we realize it. The Torah teaches us that if you allow your enemy to remain at your border it is only a matter of time until they attack. History has proven that it is better for Israel to remove the enemy as quickly as possible before more damage is done. Eventually Iran will be liberated from the ayatollahs and Israel will control Syria and Lebanon as far as Damascus. If the Jewish People have to do it alone then we will. If the US and NATO want to help out that will be even better. Shalom.
Imagine America gave back the lands they stole from the indigenous Native Indians, apologized for the genocide that killed off 90% of the Native population of that land by white euro illegal settlers, paid compensation, sincerely aplogized and Pi@@ed off back to europe – NOW THAT WOULD BE SOMETHNG…..
i doubt if BiBi can do military action before his trial, if there will be casualties there will be protests. now he is walking on thin line between doing nothing and pretending of doing something.
its the first time in the history of Israel that you see ppl doubt the military action in the north, usually you see everyone behind any military move.
The only answer to the problem of Islamic terrorism in Syria-Lebanon is regime change in Iran.
regime ch; but do you think that the success will measure up to the success in afghanistan, iraq, libya, egypt, and syria?
As witnessed in tanak for the last 3000 years, there is only one permanent viable answer; restoration of national humility and compliance with the terms of the mighty one of the patriarchs, yhwh.
DEBKA LESS HYSTERICAL NEWS AGAINST LIKUD AND MORE JOURNALISM.
Revenge on your enemies will be for God to fullfil, If Israel would destroy all those who speak , then they would be murderers, Instead Bibi is showing wisdom and restrain, showing mercy and giving Hamas and the people from Gaza a chance to be able to have a normal life. But the day will come like a thunder!!!!
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America demands that PM Bibi ‘Clear and Present Danger’ Netanyahu immediately resign or be removed by the Israeli command for his multiple Logan Act conspiracies against the American people and our government
Netanyahu has already been straightjacketed and completely busted by Mueller for MULTIPLE Logan Act crimes coordinating with American pro-Israeli fellow travellers and constitutes a clear and present danger to America and all Americans
1- Netanyahu ordered Mossad/Private Mossad Operations against our 2016 Presidential elections – Netanyahu’s Mossad/Zamel/Nader being alien half of this count of Logan Act conspiracy, Don Trump Jr being the American conspirator half of this count of Logan Act conspiracy
2- Netanyahu encrypted conspiracy with Kushner (intercepted by Mueller) over UN 2334 – Kushner gets the Logan Act with Netanyahu himself PERSONALLY being the alien half of this count of Logan Act conspiracy
3- Netanyahu ordered Mossad/Private Mossad Operations (Private Mossad Cookie Cutter Front BlackCube being the Mossad team on this one) against Pres Obama’s staff and Iran Deal Team – being alien half of this count of Logan Act conspiracy
4- Haim Saban/Rep Jane Harman’s FBI intercepted conspiracy against the American people to derail the AIPAC Spy Trial of AIPAC President Steve Rosen and VP Weisman, where Tel Aviv Jane is heard saying she will ‘waddle over’ to derail it in exchange for Mossad/Israeli placement of Jane as Chair of the House Intel Committee. The FBI called our illustrious Quislings actions a ‘completed crime’
5- ICC and Hague indictments against Netanyahu over the Palestine Annexation Law, the Nation State Hague-bait, Gaza 2014 atrocities and Gaza Operation Earthberm Snipers 2018 and other crimes Netanyahu is publically on record as stating he and the other Israeli Kahanists (Bennett, Shaked, Lieberman, Smotrich) will all answer for at the Hague. Netanyahu said that – on record
Netanyahu ordered Mossad/Private Mossad Operations against our 2016 Presidential elections thru the PsyGroup Mossad Front run by Joel Zamel. That means Netanyahu committed crimes against single every American citizen by his orders to help install his g*mp Trump in office
‘Weinstein’s Mossad’ the same BlackCube Private Mossad Unit outed and getting sued for Operations against American citizens themselves suing the insufferable Weinstein. Ehud Barak himself has been caught up in Weinsteins domination displays/exposure of his genitalia/sexual harassment of hundreds of American women, as he personally directed Weinstein to the BlackCube Mossad Front to further harass and character destroy Weinstein’s victims. Thanks for nothing Ehud
AG Mandelblit and Netanyahu’s Israeli felonies are small potatoes to the crimes he’s committed against America – we don’t care if you indict him and we don’t care about your elections we want him gone yesterday
The level and scope of Netanyahu’s MULTIPLE Logan Act actions/essentially a takeover or ‘Putsch’ against America pose a ‘clear and present danger’ to the US – America demands PM Netanyahu immediately resign or be removed by the Israeli command for his multiple Logan Act conspiracies against the American people and our government
Netanyahu selectively has called up the IAF Reservists for the Iran Raid – not for this ridiculous cover story on tunnels. It’s a rolling operation of Iran – clear as day
Netanyahu’s target is Iran – not to have the IAF shoot the famed T300 80 – 90% hit rate air-to-tunnel Tunnel Missile at old tunnels as claimed by the unusually persistent liar
Putin has taken Netanyahu to the woodshed again, not for the Russian spy plane again, because he’s reading the Israeli command the riot act on the in motion raid on Iran
There’s a new sheriff in the Middle East and it’s not Nikki ‘Too Late’ Haley and it’s not Netanyahu – it’s the Master’s Voice and his s300s
Hey! lets not confuse tactical diplomacy and strategic patience with cowardice or inability of Israel. An all war will be initiated by the USA when time comes like it keeps calling. Go back to history and see how many times Israel had destroyed sophisticated Air Defense systems imported by the adversaries. patience and calculation is important
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