Special session of Israel’s security cabinet Monday over northern front

Israel security cabinet holds a special session Monday morning to deliberate the situation developing on its northern borders. DEBKAfile’s military sources report that Hizballah began massing forces in southern Syria.
Read special DEBKAfile Report.

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14 thoughts on “Special session of Israel’s security cabinet Monday over northern front

  • Nov 27, 2017 @ 4:19 at 4:19
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    If the report is true, then I don’t think it very likely that the Israelis would be directly attacked…yet. Considering NATO foreign policy up to this point, however, an expedition to retake Lebanon (as in, complete taking it) seems more likely; though it does not have the highest strategic value, it would considerably increase the risk on the northern border, with terrain that greatly favors defenders. I would also not rule out an attack against the Jordanians. An airlift to Yemen is also not out of the question, but only if the forces are disciplined enough not to provoke the wrath of NATO by firing on one of their ships.

    This has been allowed to fester for several years now. The Iranian-Hezbollah-Russia triumvirate (with NK support) has grown very powerful on the ground, and they’re doing three things right – advancing, slowly (i.e. not immediately obvious), and deliberately. The Kurds have been strong-armed into submission thanks to overrelying on Western support, which [sadly] historically has been almost always the wrong side to choose (Czechoslovakia, 1938; Poland, 1939 [don’t quote me the declaration of war, it was called the ‘Phoney War’ for a reason]; Hungary, 1956; Czechoslovakia again, 1968; Republic of Vietnam, 1975; Georgia, 2008; Iran, 2009; half of the Arab world, 2011; the list is by no means complete, but my point is hopefully made). The Saudi regime is smelling the rain in the wind and preparing for the storm. I don’t know much of the Jordanian preparations, but they seem to be focused mostly on pacifying the 2 million-odd now-native Palestinians, and if that population can be induced to fight while the US is induced to pull out, then we have a repeat of a ’67-type situation, or ’73 if nobody watches. Furthermore, the idea of a repeat Holocaust, regardless of how it may seem, is almost certainly mostly forgotten.

    It will only take three nukes to cripple Israel beyond repair, perhaps combined by other CRBN methods. Yes, the second strike would be devastating…but with a decentralized and EXPENDABLE fighting force, who would the Israelis fire back against? Plausible deniability works wonders, panic even more so. These are kids who have been trained well but almost completely untested in combat, other than a few punitive expeditions in which the mentality has been to tie yourself up to save a civilian – admirable, yes, but antithetical to the ideas of war, particularly when you throw out this Western bias of being ‘humane’. The Israelis are up against a well-trained, well-supplied, well-funded (thank you, JCPOA) superpower with an immoral but fiercely tough fighting corps behind them. [The Russkies, now for hire…but make no mistake, they hate the Muslims too (Chechniya, S. Ossetia, Beslan, Afghanistan…), it’s just that they love money more. As for the immoral part, their mentality is…well, non-Western…the ‘get it done and damn the casualties’ mentality, which worked very well historically, and if it ain’t broke don’t fix it]. And even if the Israelis do manage to return fire well enough, the victory – if it could be called that – would be pyrrhic.

    As a general note from my armchair, the opposition doesn’t believe in humanity, and the UN is acting more cold-hearted than the League of Nations…the only difference between Nanking and Syria is that one took longer; the casualty returns are very similar, and if anything, worse in Syria. My view of humanity in war is simple – better to fight a short but bloody war (emphasis on ‘short’…if you know your targets, paste them; if you don’t, your intel or fighting sense stinks) than have a long, drawn out affair in which your military and economy are spent for similar returns, other than a reputation of ‘don’t mess with us’, which saves lives in the long run. Not targeting civilians is a very big plus, but nothing in war is an unbreakable rule. These siege battles to save civilians are ridiculous, as the fighters hunker down and steal the civilian food, shelter, and women, and use them as shielding, precisely because they know that they won’t be targeted in such situations. If they are targeted regardless, they probably wouldn’t do it, as it’s a lot harder to move with a shield than without one. Of course, though, you should attempt to keep casualties down. Like I’ve said, pros and cons…and every situation is different. All I’m saying is that squeamishness is uncalled for if it results in hesitation or poor judgement – it’s nothing personal, it’s just professional.

    Thousands of years have told us that the gateway to the three continents lies through Israel. The blood of the Egyptians, Assyrians, Persians, Greeks, Romans, Crusaders, Abbasids, Ottomans, British, and French stains the region. If that country should fall, to any side, then it will be the harbinger of a World War…or at the very least, the dawn of a new Imperial Age, both of which would be the end of modern civilization. Like them or not [and my personal preferences are immaterial to this post], they need to be supported. If you love them, there is nothing to consider. If you hate them or are just ambivalent, consider who might take over, and which would be worse.

    A final point – it is a curiosity how the articles are generally good but the comments section is seriously wanting. Do the editors read them, or leave them lie? And why are the great bulk of the commentators idiots? [No offense to the idiots here.]

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    • Nov 27, 2017 @ 9:21 at 9:21
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      Wow gr8 point made, here comes a gr8 mind.

      Reply
    • Nov 27, 2017 @ 10:47 at 10:47
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      Thanks!
      And, wonderful effort!
      Hey, why don’t you pass more often arround here?

      Reply
    • Nov 27, 2017 @ 11:16 at 11:16
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      …and your pen name is ?

      Reply
  • Nov 27, 2017 @ 12:58 at 12:58
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    I’m being locked out of the comments system, somehow, nothing but short replies.

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    • Nov 27, 2017 @ 12:58 at 12:58
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      First of all, since ‘Name’ is showing up a lot, I just wanted to clarify – I’m the very long-winded fellow above, as I shall now unnecessarily attempt to prove in completely unasked-for fashion.

      It probably shows, but I always put effort into my analyses, and it’s nice to see that it’s appreciated by a few people, at the least. Thanks, gentlemen, there’s hope for this site’s readership yet.

      Reply
  • Nov 27, 2017 @ 13:08 at 13:08
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    Gentlemen, after about 15 attempts at inserting my long comment, I’m giving it a rest for a few hours. I may yet return if the winds blow strong and there’s still demand, otherwise…well, if you’re interested, stay tuned. I’ll try again.

    Reply
  • Nov 27, 2017 @ 13:12 at 13:12
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    Eilatdolphin, Name2, I crafted my reply to both of you, so you may want to come back around 1800 GMT, give or take. The short answers – in due time, perhaps; and haven’t seen much demand before and too many stupid replies, but if there is demand then maybe; respectively.

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  • Nov 27, 2017 @ 13:21 at 13:21
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    Closing note – you’ve my permission to copy/paste the above diatribe wherever you like so long as the destination is mentioned here, as long as this article exists [7 days?]. I might suggest the comments section of the linked article first, I’m currently locked out from replies greater than about 500 characters.

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  • Nov 27, 2017 @ 17:19 at 17:19
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    I m sure you will consider me an idiot but if the Israeli government doesn’t bring Rabbi Nachman here or make a real attempt at doing so, both they and the Ukraine will become a battleground like France was during both World Wars. Denying Gd seems cute, but really it is very leathal. This may seem like physics to you guys, but who cares, it works. The rule of thumb for the geniuses that have no idea what I am talking about, is to stay happy no matter what because even if you die a Jew it is better than to live an athiest! Much much better.

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  • Nov 27, 2017 @ 17:27 at 17:27
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    How could the likes of Vichy France defeat Hitler or Stalin? They believed in the same Gods! The situation is quite exactly the same, and the propaganda machine knows it well.

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  • Nov 27, 2017 @ 17:31 at 17:31
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    Gd bless the people of Venezuela who are going in it ahead of us… But we could turn the boat around.

    Reply

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