Motor-cycle rider in smart gear won’t buy Israeli voter, nor empty pledges of annexation

Get set for an April surprise! This is what 6,333,270 million eligible Israeli voters are preparing on Tuesday for the two champions, Likud’s Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, and challenger Blue-White’s Benny Gantz.

Two days before the vote, DEBKAfile’s political analysists sketch three potential outcomes:

  1. Likud will sweep the board and once again discomfit the pollsters who predicted that Blue-White would race past Likud to reach the finishing line first. For Likud, a 33-mandate result (in the 120-seat Knesset) would count as a win and keep the party and its leader in power for another term.
  2. The newbie Blue-White party would fulfil predictions and overtake Likud to win  30 seats.
  3. Neither of the two big parties would garner more than an inconclusive 25-26 seats, producing a result that is too close to call.

The size of the turnout is the key. It is not expected in 2019 to reach the high 72.3pc of four years ago, if only because around 50pc of Israeli Arab voters have decided to opt out of the election. The Arab vote constitutes around 16p of the total electorate.
An April surprise can already be surmised from the skepticism prevailing in the country. The average Israel says he doesn’t’ believe the party leaders and their election promises, or trust the polls and, least of all, the media coverage of both. The cynical Israeli voter was hardly impressed by the sight of Benny Gantz clad in blue-white leathers astride a motorbike zooming through the streets of Tel Aviv on Sunday to push his message that “Netanyahu’s day is over.” Even if he is proved right, he is in no position to declare that Gantz’s day has dawned. That is the sole prerogative of the Israeli voter.
As for the incumbent, Netanyahu may have gone too far in pledging sovereignty for all the Jewish communities of Judea and Samaria (West Bank), because this is one pledge he knows he cannot honor. This week, his good friend in the White House, Donald Trump, DEBKAfile’s Washington sources reveal, advised Netanyahu to abjure these slogans because they are unrealistic as far as the US administration is concerned. He would do better, the White House says, to focus on setting up a post-election government coalition that will leave the situation as is. The Likud leader has therefore switched his focus from seeking a right-wing bloc to mustering votes for his own party.

Trump’s comment to a Jewish Republican Audience on Saturday that the election “is going to be close. two good people,” was not spontaneous. It was prompted by his expectation of one or the other of the two rivals leading a unity government.

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20 thoughts on “Motor-cycle rider in smart gear won’t buy Israeli voter, nor empty pledges of annexation

  • Apr 7, 2019 @ 23:38 at 23:38
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    US administration should mind his business inside the USA. The “West Central Bank” or what bogus artificial name was given by antizionist trashy people in the West to Judea and Samaria, is the heartland of old and new Israel. Natanyahu will get God’s help if he keeps his word to reclaim those israelite ancestral lands to the reborn State of Israel, allthough I doubt he has the gutts to do it. He is too much of a coward.

    • Apr 7, 2019 @ 23:50 at 23:50
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      Yes the pale blue, of white mixed up with blue, might very well say one day “Give me some peace” and evacuate good ancestral populated land for the benefit of some monkeys, like the comical Yitzhak Rabin did in one of his liberal visions delirious attack, culminating with the unbelievable shake hands with the chief of PLO HIV-positive branch of fake Arab “refugees”.

      • Apr 8, 2019 @ 8:35 at 8:35
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        yolsuzluk yapan rüşvetçi olan netanyahuya oy vermeyin sizin halkın paralarınızı terör örgütlerine veren netanyahuya oy vermeyin

      • Apr 8, 2019 @ 14:57 at 14:57
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        Learn English Luke the rest of the world, you stupid, Turkish moron.

    • Apr 8, 2019 @ 8:39 at 8:39
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      alman hitlerin yahudilere musevilere protestanlara yaptıkları soykırımları suçu olmayan islam ülkeleri halklarına yapıyorsunuz

    • Apr 8, 2019 @ 14:47 at 14:47
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      Fake news. How does debra know what trump said to bibi?

    • Apr 8, 2019 @ 15:40 at 15:40
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      Why wouldn’t he keep his word? Israel annexed E Jerusalem decades ago. No big problem similarly to annex the settlements. And then come US 2020 elections, I’m betting he’ll make another move.

      I’m dubious about Debka’s report on Trump’s counter-advice. So far Trump has done everything Israel/Adelson have paid him for – a long laundry list. Anything to go on here more than pure Debka hearsay? I’d be surprised if Trump came out in any way against Israel, regardless of the upcoming Deal of the Century.

  • Apr 7, 2019 @ 23:38 at 23:38
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    This noble educational offer of general elections made by Netanyahu, to give to the Blue-Whites a chance for a good challenging training and as-if there is a real chance of winning, is for the good of the Great Israel, and it was intended to help grow the Blue-Whites to a level permitting to the Israelis to elect them in the future in positions of responsibility, going maybe up to PM.

    These people Blue-White need to learn and be able to stand in the future by themselves, and possibly reach a such a level as to be maybe at pair with Netanyahu after some 10-20 years of accumulating serious PM experience.

    • Apr 8, 2019 @ 8:40 at 8:40
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      netanyahu katildir rüşvetçidir oy vermeyin netanyahuya gantza oy verin

  • Apr 8, 2019 @ 1:19 at 1:19
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    Bibi’s relationship with President Trump is strong and good for Israel. MAGA

    • Apr 8, 2019 @ 9:16 at 9:16
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      But is it good for Anerica? Because you said it’s good for israel. Then you said MAGA? I dont think you even care about the US.

  • Apr 8, 2019 @ 3:21 at 3:21
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    What a silly farce: NuttyYahoo will use the election as a fig leaf to preserve his role as fascist dictator.

    • Apr 8, 2019 @ 3:41 at 3:41
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      You are in a 1 man minority here body. Why don’t you join your ilk at Modoweiss.

    • Apr 8, 2019 @ 8:37 at 8:37
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      netanyahu rüşvetçidir çocukları yaşlıları kadınları savunmasız kişilere gücü yeten katildir

  • Apr 8, 2019 @ 6:44 at 6:44
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    This is sad state of affairs. Israel should know where it’s borders are and they should enforce them. Of course Judea and Samaria are part of Eretz Yisrael. It is our job as Jews to obey HaShem and the instructions He has given us in the Torah. Non-Jews are allowed to live in Israel if they obey the Seven Laws of Noah. If not they are to be driven out one way or another. There is plenty of money available to help them move. This is the bulk of the Trump plan for peace. No more “refugee status”. Those unhappy people living in Israel get to move to some other wealthy Middle Eastern state where they can live with their brethren.

  • Apr 8, 2019 @ 14:03 at 14:03
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    You forgot to ask if “free” cannabis will buy Israeli voter!

  • Apr 8, 2019 @ 18:17 at 18:17
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    JERUSALEM, GOLAN, IRGC TERRORIST GROUP … ANOTHER SUCCEED OF NETANYAHU AND TRUMP POLICY. VOTE SMART TOMORROW

  • Apr 8, 2019 @ 19:19 at 19:19
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    Jerusalem, Golán Heighs, Iranian Guards terrorist organization, economic growth, stability instead of giving a victory to Iran.

    BE SMART TOMORROW. AND VOTE FOR NETANYAHU. NO COLOUR.

    • Apr 8, 2019 @ 20:35 at 20:35
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      Vote good, vote Likud, ha?

  • Apr 9, 2019 @ 2:10 at 2:10
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    Give me half the power
    I’m the halfest grand
    And in half an hour
    I will half the Land

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