Russia fears US surveillance flights portend fresh Israeli air strikes over Syria

Moscow charged Thursday, Oct. 25, that US surveillance aircraft had piloted a massive UAV attack on Russia’s Syrian air base. DEBKAfile: This charge aimed at stopping US-UK reconnaissance flights which are assessing the new Russian air defense and electronic warfare deployments in Syria.
It was leveled by Russian Deputy Defense Minister Alexander Fomin, who claimed that that Russia’s Khmeimim Air Base in Syria had come under a massive drone attack by unmanned aerial vehicles piloted by a US Poseidon 8 surveillance aircraft. “This is very alarming data, of course,” Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov told journalists. ”No one has doubts about the conclusions, an appropriate analysis will be carried out by our military.”  Asked whether the subject would be raised at the Trump-summit expected to take place on Nov. 11 in Paris, Peskov did not rule this out.
It also came up, DEBKAfile’s sources report, in the talks US National Security Adviser John Bolton held in Moscow on Monday and Tuesday.
The Russian accusation is indeed grave. The radical Islamist rebel Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham has mounted repeated drone attacks on the Khmeimim airbase from Idlib and northern Latakia, but Moscow has never before charged the US with direct military involvement in attacks by the Islamist terrorists.

The accusation also directly affects Israel, or rather its air force. According to our sources, the Russian accusation is aimed at halting the US and British reconnaissance flights taking place for some days along the Syrian Mediterranean coast and the Israeli and Jordanian borders with Syria. Our military sources report that these missions aim primarily to gauge the effectiveness of the Russian S-300 air defense missiles and electronic warfare systems newly-deployed in various parts of Syria, and how far they endanger any US and Israeli warplanes operating in Syrian airspace.

The coming issue of DEBKA Weekly (for subscribers) out on Friday, Oct. 26, provides details of those missions. Click here to subscribe.

It is five weeks since Israel discontinued its air strikes against Iranian targets in Syria out of reluctance to risk its aircraft being shot down by the Russians out of eagerness to even the score over the downing of their IL-20 spy plane on Sept. 17, albeit by Syrian missiles. Russian eavesdroppers this week picked up chatter in Israel about possible plans to resume the air strikes. And so, Moscow came up with the charge of an American Poseidon piloting a rebel drone attack on its air base in Syria, mainly to deter Israel and its air force from returning to Syrian skies – certainly before Presidents Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump meet next month.

Why is the Kremlin so anxious to connect the two cases? The Russians have long memories. In December 1987, i.e. 31 years ago, shortly before President Ronald Reagan and President Mikhail Gorbachev were to meet in Geneva, the US and Israel decided to ignore Russian threats in Syria and allow aerial duel to take place between Syrian fighters secretly piloted by Russian air crews and Israeli warplanes. The engagement was to test their respective electronic warfare systems in action and find out which was superior, Israeli-Western or Russian capabilities. However, Gorbachev’s hopes of reaching the summit with Reagan with the upper hand, after proving Russian superiority, were dashed after Russian-piloted aircraft were downed by the Israeli air crews.
With another summit coming up shortly, the Russians are waiting in suspense for Israel to decide whether to brave their cutting-edge hardware or avoid the risk.

 

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44 thoughts on “Russia fears US surveillance flights portend fresh Israeli air strikes over Syria

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 17:53 at 17:53
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    Russian “cutting edge equipment” is about as sharp and useful as the back side of a hacksaw blade when compared to US and Israeli equipment.

    Russia needs to go home, . . . turn on the TV, . . . eat popcorn, . . . and be quiet.

    • Oct 25, 2018 @ 18:06 at 18:06
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      Russia needs to go home, . . . turn on the TV, . . .drink vodka…. eat popcorn, . . . please their wives….. and be quiet.

    • Oct 26, 2018 @ 3:06 at 3:06
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      “Russian “cutting edge equipment” is about as sharp and useful as the back side of a hacksaw blade when compared to US and Israeli equipment.”

      That would be nice, but at this point such bragging remain wishful thinking. Yet, it is clear that eventually Israel will need to operate in the face of this new equipment. If not in Syria, then in Iran where it is also going or already is installed.

      You and I can imagine that the US and Israel are somehow probing the capability and weaknesses of such equipment that is tracking US and Israeli flights. What they learn from this and more covert methods will remain unknown until push comes to shove. Likely both the US and the Russians both want to know at low cost the relative merits of their deployed equipment, so they can each plan the next round of improvements and counter measures.

    • Oct 27, 2018 @ 1:11 at 1:11
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      Might want to re-read that, the sentence is referring to the Russians are waiting to see if Israel will decide to use it’s “cutting-edge equipment” or not.

    • Oct 31, 2018 @ 17:01 at 17:01
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      You must be joking… Russian and Chinese missile tech ate years ahead of Israeli and us Missiles.

      Patriot is. No where near the Russian S300 or S400.

      Us and Israeli bvr are far inferior in range to Chinese Bvr.

      US Hypersonic tech is decades behind….
      So russia is waiting for Israel to show the F35 and see if another bird will bring that down

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 18:19 at 18:19
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    Russia will invade Israel from the North.
    Scripture says it and you see the Russian at the the gates. They will be superior to Israel this time but Hashem will smash them. It’s written. Don’t believe the hype

    • Oct 25, 2018 @ 18:49 at 18:49
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      In this situation I would like to express my most profound thoughts, but I have the feeling expressions like “fuck Russia and motherfucker Putin” do not constitute an acceptable commentary. What to do?

      • Oct 27, 2018 @ 21:32 at 21:32
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        Well said

    • Oct 25, 2018 @ 19:26 at 19:26
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      I agree.

      “You will come from your homeland in the distant north” (Ez. 38:15; NLT).
      “You will come from your place out of the uttermost parts of the north” (Ez. 38:15; ESV).

      See Josephus (“Antiquities of the Jews” – “Magog founded those that from him were named Magogites, but who are by the Greeks called Scythians”), Herodotus, H.G. Wells (“The Outline of History” – “The Magogites were an Aryan people who, in the time of Herodotus c. 400 BC, were distributed over southern Russia”), C.F. Keil, Wilhelm Gesenius (the latter writing on Rosh shows that it is “undoubtedly the Russians”), Clyde E. Billington Jr.**, Nicholas V. Riasanovsky (“A History of Russia” – “From the northern shores of the Black Sea they [Scythians] held sway inland for a distance traveled in the course of a twenty-day journey”) and others for definition & location.

      * The Russian President is an autocrat wielding unlimited power. Anyone who comes to seriously challenge him inside Russia appears to end up either in jail or grave. He is uniquely influential due to Russia being the leading nuclear power capable of holding its neighbors hostage and imposing its will on them all. He is never compelled to seek authorization or anyone’s approval to deploy the military and his state’s vast resources as he sees expedient.

      ** After providing extensive evidence of the origin and early history of the Rosh people, and then tracing them through the centuries, Clyde E. Billington Jr. concludes:
      “Historical, ethnological, and archaeological evidence all favor the conclusion that the Rosh people of Ezekiel 38-39 were the ancestors of the Rus/Ros people of Europe and Asia… Those Rosh people who lived to the north of the Black Sea in ancient and medieval times were called the Rus/Ros/Rox/Aorsi from very early times…. The Rosh people of the area north of the Black Sea formed the people known today as the Russians.” – (The Rosh People in History and Prophecy (Part 3), Michigan Theological Journal 4 (1993)

      INTENDED PURPOSE OF GOG’S MISSION LAID UPON HIM: GOD FINALLY REVEALS HIMSELF TO ALL THE LIVING IN THE PROCESS OF DECIMATION OF THE KING OF THE NORTH
      “I will bring you against my land as everyone watches, and my holiness will be displayed by what happens to you, Gog. Then all the nations will know that I am the LORD” (Ez. 38:16; NLT).

    • Oct 25, 2018 @ 19:57 at 19:57
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      No chance Turkey is the attacker from the north??

    • Oct 25, 2018 @ 22:02 at 22:02
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      russia has never won a war . russia was helped by US and british during the WWII. RUSSIA FLED THE KOREAN WAR AFTER ITS RUSSIAN AIR FORCE FIGHTING UNDERCOVER TOOK A BIG BEATING AGAINST US . RUSSIA AIR FORCE TOOK ANOTHER BEATING DURING ATTRITION WAR WITH EGYPT
      RUSSIA HAS ALAWAYS FOUGHT CIVILIANS ARMED WITH KALSHNIKOV.IF RUSSIA TRIES TO GO TO WAR AGAINST ISRAEL FROM SYRIA IT WILL BE DEFEATED EASLY TSAHAL CAN FIGHT RUSSIA IN RUSSIA

      • Oct 28, 2018 @ 22:34 at 22:34
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        Russia may not have won a recent war but they did chase the Huns out of Western Russia all the way into China.

    • Oct 25, 2018 @ 22:23 at 22:23
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      lol

    • Oct 26, 2018 @ 2:48 at 2:48
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      True, but most Israeli’s will die. Only Messianic Jews and those will believe later on will be saved. All seculars will die.

      • Oct 26, 2018 @ 8:05 at 8:05
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        I wouldn’t bet on it Vassily.. You’ve got the scriptures wrong.

      • Oct 27, 2018 @ 0:13 at 0:13
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        WOW. YOU SEEM TO KNOW EVERYTHING. TELL ME WHERE DOES YOUR SHARMOUTA MOTHER WORK?

    • Oct 26, 2018 @ 9:14 at 9:14
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      Yes but perhaps this is not the great war but only the that gains control of the temple mount to rebuild the third temple in Jerusalem.

    • Oct 26, 2018 @ 9:26 at 9:26
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      Yes but perhaps this is not the great war but only the that gains control of the temple mount to rebuild the third temple in Jerusalem.
      The real battle will come 3 1/2 years later ushering in Messiah’ s reign.

    • Oct 27, 2018 @ 1:47 at 1:47
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      No they won’t. Israel has a greater firepower in the region compared to what Russia currently has. If Russia beefed up their military in the region in order to invade Israel, the United States would prevent such folly. Russia has no reasdon to invade Israel. They may want to bloody their nose a bit just for revenge, but Putin knows he would lose big time if he attempted to attack the Jewiush state.

    • Oct 27, 2018 @ 6:13 at 6:13
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      Who the fuck is Hashemite???!!!!

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 18:42 at 18:42
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    The Earth is the Largest Garbage Dump in the Universe. When oceans are covered in plastic, the soil of the fields is heavily contaminated, and there is garbage pilling up everywhere, do we really need the the poison of more Soviet weapons?

    • Oct 25, 2018 @ 19:38 at 19:38
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      You all wrong ; Russians rockets are not the only game ;
      The CIS altogether providing nav aid and electronic warfare that Americans together with Israelis are about 100 years behind ; Just to show it , it will not happen , but all should trust , that nothing will fly in all the ME , if some would really want it. In comparison the graphite bombs employed by Israelis , killed from cancer about 2000 Israelis annually , since the drop on enemy infrastructure was thought to be used on enemy , but was actually used by Israelis on their own mfgr and grid .They just did not know it , and still do not know it until now. That is the way to go –to kill off its own population…

      • Oct 26, 2018 @ 11:35 at 11:35
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        “Americans together with Israelis are about 100 years behind”

        Boris, the only thing Russia leads the world at is being drunk and being an arse hole

      • Oct 26, 2018 @ 17:00 at 17:00
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        all the russians militaries équipements are the copy of american military equipement . THE RUSSIAN MILITARY COMPLEX OF MIRROIR IS AN EXEMPLE. THE AWACS NUCLEAIRE SUB THE NUKE THE WEB THE CRUISE MISSILE THE HYDROGEN BOMB YOU RUSSIAN YOU FAILED TO COPY NEUTRON BOMB IL 76 A COPY OF C 141 AND ETC… YOU STEAL AMERICAN TECHNOLOGY YOU DONT PRODUCE NOTHING WICH EVERY ONE THROUGH THE WORLD CAN USE YOU HAVENO SMART PHONE ALL YOUR WAY OF LIVE IS A COPY OFF AMERICAN WAY OF LIVE EXCEPT TO COPY YOU DONT PRODUCE NOTHING OF NOTHING !!!!! RUSSIA CANNOT OFFER JOB TO ITS CITIZENS EXCEPT GOULG AND DICTATORSHIP

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 20:32 at 20:32
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    Putin holding hands with Iran, Hezbollah-Hamas and Assad’s failed state . with the new Sublime Porte sitting now in Ankara What a combination. Bizarrely Turkey and Iran failed historic enemies of Russia. now can only survive in Syria with Putin holding there hands. Interesting but dangerous times

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 21:04 at 21:04
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    russia…. meddling with others far from their boring cold homes. when someone bests them they cry like little babies. this may be biblical or not but i support israel all the way and i will have no sympathy at all when the russian metal and men get smashed and destroyed either by israel or the almighty or meteors or intelligent alien life. bring it on.. it is time the russians were cut down.

    • Oct 27, 2018 @ 18:37 at 18:37
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      are you mad? you come and to talk about RT news here!!!! an normal man does not read rt news !!! it is BECAUSE it a propagandan written by drunk people with so much vodka in their blood. they are alawaus confuse. RT NEWS IS FOR RUSSIAN PEOPLE IT IS FOR THEM AND ONLY FOR THEM NOT WEST ADVANCED PEOPLE . IN WEST WE MAKE WE DISTINGUISH EASLY TRUTH FROM LIARS NOT IN RUSSIA

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 21:26 at 21:26
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    RUSSIANS WILL BE TOO BUSY DRINKING VODKA AND CAMEL-SWAPPING WITH THE SHIIA PERVERTS TO PREVENT THE GREAT IDF WHEN ATTACKS ON RELAUNCHED AGAINST THE PERSIAN PERVERTS.

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 21:27 at 21:27
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    How come the eschatologists here don’t ever remember that the Third Temple must be built before anything can happen – unless you consider Al Aqsa that temple ?

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 21:30 at 21:30
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    What happens in the process? some of you people are absolutely ignorant The Refers to Magog which is some country from the north , and all of its partners to keep from Israel from being destroyed God causes an Earth quake to hit in the Northern part of Israel, Prior to that happening 2/3rds of the inhabitants of Israel die. Russia will more than likely survive because they are mentioned later along with the Kings of the East to fight against the Messiah. The country that gets it worse is the country in the bible referred to as Mystery Babylon. For all of you Israeli’s that think that this is going to be a battle with a very tough revolutionary group like Hezbollah and Hamas rethink it. If you do not believe it study your own scriptures. the whip is coming down on all of us. Get out your Bibles and read. If you are Jewish try reading the Book of Revelation right after you finish Daniel.

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 22:01 at 22:01
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    There was no incident in 1987 maybe they’re confusing it with Egypt 1970

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 22:14 at 22:14
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    NOW EVERY ONE KNOWS WHERE RUSSIA HIDE ITS SHEET 300 IN SYRIA. SATELLITE PICTURE SHOW THEM IN SYRIA

  • Oct 25, 2018 @ 22:29 at 22:29
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    What happens is the following:
    1) Thus far Putin and his clever gang tried to play their “political games,” so to speak, while totally disregarding all International law, agreements, written and unwritten rules which were to keep the world from another world war. How did they usually act? First, they tested waters — did something ugly on a low scale and watch all the reactions. The reaction “up to Trump” were mostly absent or very mild, again — up to the moment Ms. Trump was elected the US President.
    2) Then US administration started applying the same method to Russia herself. They test waters — what Russian government can swallow and if they do — Americans hit harder. And Russians do swallow just everything because they badly behind in terms of technology, military, intelligence, not even talking about non-military aspects — Putin and his KGB gang destroyed their country completely.
    3) The IL-20 affair mentioned in the article falls in the above described framework precisely. Nobody says that for political reasons but by all accounts that IL-20 was correcting Syrian anti-aircraft fire directed at Israeli plains… and paid for that.
    4) Therefore, Russians, in full acknowledgement, of their “abilities” try to prevent by political means what they absolutely cannot prevent by military ones.
    5) And what is that they try to prevent? It’s obvious: Israel, USA, UK and very likely other Western powers are about to start hitting hard Syrian, Iranian and Russian interests in Syria.
    6) Why? There many recent and critical developments in the region calling for that — just read debka file 😉

    • Oct 25, 2018 @ 22:34 at 22:34
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      Oh, there is a lot of misspelling in my above comment. Auto-correction at work. I apologize again.

    • Oct 26, 2018 @ 14:21 at 14:21
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      You are so delusional it’s not even funny…

  • Oct 26, 2018 @ 2:58 at 2:58
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    “How come the eschatologists here don’t ever remember that the Third Temple must be built before anything can happen – unless you consider Al Aqsa that temple ?”

    Thanks MOA, . . . and don’t forget Al Aqsa is just another outdoor toilet, . . . not qualified to be anything at all in prophecy. YES the “Temple of God” will be built up there, . . . daily sacrifice will start up again, . . . a “one world ruler” will have great sway if not iron fisted control over that section of the world.

    I keep looking for the news that it is started.

    May God bless…………….

  • Oct 26, 2018 @ 13:50 at 13:50
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    Embarrassing that a primitive UAV can beat their defenses so they claim that the USA must have done it. To me it sounds like someone on the Russian side is in CYA mode.

    To me it seems very unlikely that the USA had 13 UAV controllers set up in a P-8 ready to take over if the Russians were able to disrupt an attack by irregular forces on the ground. The hand-off would likely be very messy from a technical respect and take an inordinately long time. Also, from the limited information I’ve had about the P-8, a properly configured one doesn’t have the room for another 13 or so stations for UAV controllers.

    I don’t claim to know just what did happen, but whatever it was, it isn’t at all likely to have been as the Russians described.

    • Oct 26, 2018 @ 14:23 at 14:23
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      Yes, and the Americans are well known for their truthfulness…

      • Oct 26, 2018 @ 14:39 at 14:39
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        I’m not sure how the truthfulness of USA spokespersons or any typical levels of relative truthfulness of USA and Russian actors comes into this.

        Given any reasonable level of tactical competence, any likely mission goals, and the available tech and equipment – the Russian story is so unlikely as to be in the ludicrous category. Even if one accepts the Russian story of the behavior of the UAVs there are any number of ways it might have happened which would make more sense than a P-8 being equipped, crewed, and trained to take over the UAVs.

        In this particular case the Russian explanation doesn’t make sense to me at all. Maybe they truly believe their story, but I don’t.

  • Oct 26, 2018 @ 17:04 at 17:04
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    the Russians are well known liars and collaborators with dictators such as assad and his late father. the russian plane shot down by the syrians was likely helping the Syrians to shoot down the Israeli planes a few months ago. the russians were embarrassed by that and by these uav attacks. russia is an enemy of israel by supporting assad and hezbollah in Lebanon and syria and now iran too in Syria.

    russia is trying its best to help the syrians shoot down israeli planes. the russians are jealous that Israel has a better airforce and won’t face it 1 on 1 so they do it in the shadows by helping the Arabs and via electronic warfare. the day is soon coming when the russian bear will get its hairy face smashed into pieces bloody and messy and they will deserve this treatment. it may be as the bible describes we will have to see.

  • Oct 27, 2018 @ 18:46 at 18:46
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    THEY ARE RIDICULOUS THOSE RUSSIANS PEOPLE THEY THINK THAT THEY ARE AN INVICINBLE ARMY . BUT THAT IS NOT THE CASE THEIR ARMY IS ONLY A TIGER PAPER . THEY THINK THAT THEIR MILITARY EQUIIPMENT ARE BETTER THAT OURS . AHAHAHAHA THEY MAKE ME LAUGH THEY EVEN DONT MAKE GOOD COOKING PRESSURE AND THEY DARE TO OUR HARDWARE BETTER THAN US ON!!!!!! BUT YOU RUSSIA YOUR ONLHY HOW KNOW IS TO BEAT YOUR PEOPLE NO RESPECT FOR LIFE AND SO ON

  • Oct 27, 2018 @ 19:07 at 19:07
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    IN WAR WITH ISRAEL RUSSIA HAS LO LUCK TO BEAT ISRAEL . IF THERE IS WAR WITH ISRAEL IN SYRIA RUSSIA IS IN WEAKNESS POSITION. ITS ARMY ; ITS NAVY ITS AIR FORCE WILL BE EASLY DESTROY. IF RUSSIA SEND REINFORCEMENT TO JOIN THE BATTLEFIELD . BY SEA BY AIR OR BY LAND THROUGH IRAN THE REINFORCEMENT FORCES WILL BE STOP BEFORE ARRIVING ON BATTLEFLIED . BY SEA OR BY AIR THEY ARE GOOD TARGETS BY LAND IDF WILL TO GO IRAN COUNTER THEM AND DESTROY THEM THERE IN IRAN. AT THE WHAT WILL BE LEFT RUSSIA ? THE THREAT OF NUKE. OK BUT IF RUSSIA NUKE ISRAEL ISRAEL WILL NUKE RUSSIA TOO!!!! . IF PUTIN TRY TO INVADE ISRAEL OK BUT ISRAEL WILL INVADE RUSSIA TAKING MOSCOW AND DISMANTLING ALL RUSSIA IN SEVERAL REPUBLIC . ISRAEL CAN IMPLODE RUSSIA IN SVERAL INDEPENDANT STATES AND BYE BYE RUSSIA AS REPUBLUC RUSSIA WILL CEASE TO EXIST. SO PUTIN DONT PLAY WITH FIRE IN THE MIDDLE EAST . YOU WILL BURN YOU AND YOU COUNTRY RUSSIA !!!! MIDDLE EAST IS A DANGER REGION FOR YOU RUSSIA YOU WILL GET ONLY HUMILATION IT YOU RE LET BE MANIPULATED BY IRNIAN MOLLAHS AND BASHAR BE AWARE RUSSIA IDF CAN BEAT AND SEVERLY!!!!!

  • Nov 4, 2018 @ 4:12 at 4:12
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    ”No one has doubts about the conclusions, an appropriate analysis will be carried out by our military.” The best kind of analysis is the one where you already decide the conclusion before you start analyzing. Not!

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