A Trump-Kim deal for North Korea’s denuclearization would take years to implement

All three precedents, South Africa, Ukraine and Libya, were full of holes and set a path to nuclear proliferation. A deal to dismantle North Korea’s nuclear program between US President Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un should learn from the shortcomings of these three former cases.  Therefore, Kim’s declaration of intent to denuclearize the Korean peninsula is meaningless without a rigid road map for implementation,. This would rest in the hands of the competent military and nuclear establishments of Pyongyang.
Five steps are essential for achieving this goal:

  1. North Korean must surrender all the nuclear materials, research and designs its program has accumulated in 66 years, with minute details of its areas of operation and the individuals and facilities involved. Until these materials and data reach the hands of the United States or international watchdogs, the full scale of North Korean’s nuclear effort and the personnel and facilities involved in the past and the present cannot be evaluated.
    This essential aspect of the dismantling process confirms the high value of the Iranian atomic archive procured by Israel.
  2. The data handover over must cover the factories, research institutions and scientific and technical manpower employed in the nuclear program, as well as the companies supplying the materials over the years.
  3. At least a thousand expert inspectors will be required to man a special nuclear watchdog outfit. They will have to work closely with North Korean scientific and managerial personnel to ascertain that dismantlement of the program is total, fully verified and irreversible by North Korea or any other party.
  4. Since the scope of North Korean’s nuclear and ballistic missile projects is vast, it will be physically impossible to remove it all from the country as air or sea freight. It will therebefore necessary to blow up some elements on North Korean soil, an operation what will call for a variety of specialists and exceptional precautions.
  5. The North’s nuclear reactors for the production of plutonium and the plants for the enrichment of weapons-grade uranium must also be listed for demolition.

These steps will take several years to complete if past mistakes are to be avoided.

When South Africa decided 28 years ago to abolish apartheid in return for acceptance by the international community, Pretoria agreed to give up the six nuclear bombs in its arsenal and dismantle its entire bomb-making infrastructure. Some of the plants switched to other products. But some South African nuclear team members went over to Dr. A.Q. Khan, father of Pakistan’s nuclear bomb and a freelance nuclear racketeer. They took with them key components and diagrams of the disassembled program. It was A.Q. Khan who sold Iran its first elements and designs for assembling a nuclear bomb.

In 1991, Ukraine handed over to Russia the entire stock it had held for the Soviet Union of 1,800 nuclear warheads, 172 long-range ballistic missiles and 42 bombers capable of delivering nuclear bombs. In return, Moscow granted Kiev economic assistance and security guarantees. However, there were Ukrainian officers, scientists and technical who cashed in big on sales of missiles and nuclear warheads on the black market to willing buyers, including Iran.

Libya’s program was still in its infancy in 2004, when Muammar Qaddafi agreed to hand it over lock, stock and barrel, for fear that, after the US invasion of Iraq, he would share the fate of Saddam Hussein. Libya had not yet reached the stage of building bombs. It had a handful of facilities conducting uranium enrichment and was in the process of experimenting in the development of nuclear components. After Qaddafi threw in the nuclear towel, a small fleet of US and British air cargo planes were sufficient to lift all the components and equipment from Libyan soil.

Today it is known that not every last component of Libya’s nuclear program actually left the country. And, in fact, it will be seen that all three past denuclearization projects  came up short. What happened in the case of South Africa, Ukraine and Libya may therefore be a guide of what not to do in the case of North Korea. Hence, the vital importance of observing down to the last detail all five steps listed above as the follow-up to any deal reached by Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un at their epic face-to-face in Singapore on June 12. Without the pedantic implementation of this process, Pyongyang’s door to nuclear proliferation will remain open.

 

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44 thoughts on “A Trump-Kim deal for North Korea’s denuclearization would take years to implement

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 18:45 at 18:45
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    Great analysis based on well grounded logic and principles and shows it will be long road to hoe but worth a try.This could be the same solution to change Iran’s behavior of exporting Proxy Chaos as well as Gaza Hamas and PLO on seeking Peace and Prosperity over Death and Destruction in a ever New Brave Changing World. DEBKA info is well thought out that educates many especially myself.

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:50 at 19:50
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      Why what so well enlisted above should not apply to Israel? Why there’re rules so strict to others but NOT to theirselves?

      • Jun 11, 2018 @ 21:04 at 21:04
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        Time after time Israel has proposed Mutual Peaceful solutions and benefits towards all Arab Neighbors. One by one, from Jordan to Egypt to Saudi Arabia have concluded Good Relations among each other is Best for the entire Middle East. Even Iran’s Supreme Leader just Today has revised to clarify his position on Israel after threatening its destruction and now says his country has never expressed genocidal aims against the Jewish people. The Word the Iran Supreme Leader seems to be remembering all of sudden, is “NEVER” and that is at least an encouraged sign of Progress since it is part of “Never Again” harm to Sons and Daughters of Abraham in Israel! I think the World is staring to realize the Culture of Abraham, Ishmael, Issac, Jacob, Moses, David, Solomon, Jesus and Mohamed have more in common with Education, Charity, and Belief in the same One G-d is worth trying to get along than previous attempts of Conquests and Nuclear Annihilation. Iran is experiencing a long and severe Drought and Israel has reached out offering to help Iran Farms to nourish their soil with Israel’s Water Drip techniques and irrigation even though Iran is funding Hamas Kite Burning of Israel’s Agricultural. Now that is a true show of strength, tolerance, and patience to help and heal relations than anything else.

        • Jun 12, 2018 @ 13:59 at 13:59
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          All of this will eventually lead to the to de-nuclearization of Israel

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 22:43 at 22:43
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      This is not the first time north korea negotiates about its nuclear program, every time they agree to do something and then something happened and north korea going for next step to be a nuclear power

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 18:46 at 18:46
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    If N.K.destroyes U.S.,I would not wonder.U.S -the main sponsor of Communism -since 1917.Since 1917.

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:03 at 19:03
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      If not for the US, you, your parents and your grandparents – at least – would speak German or Russian.

      • Jun 12, 2018 @ 1:59 at 1:59
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        my arse, there were more German speakers in USA than English speakers until the fck eu’s bought all the German language papers and shut them down. also,fck eu, nothing wrong with German speakers.

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 21:16 at 21:16
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      I don’t believe in “IF” anymore because “IF” is an Illusion of Confusion. The North Korea Regime knows it can be eliminated easily like all Communists Leadership that within itself is a small minority ruling a large majority and America has that ability anytime. The Nations that followed Fascism Militarism did not prevail and it took World War II to prove it those types of Governments did not last long in Japan, Germany, and Italy. The same for Communism now knowing their Economic System did not and will not work either. Freedom of Business, Less To No Tariffs, Free Trade, with Citzen’s Voting under Independent Judiciaries is True Freedom Towards Prosperity and the Military all under a Civilian Commander In Chief not an Emperor, King, Queen, Sheik, Dictator, Oligarch or Politburo!

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 18:53 at 18:53
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    Kim is not stupid, this is not “Singapore summit”!
    All Trump tries is a singa “submit” to the pore in the back, but will fail.

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:01 at 19:01
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      Thank you for your honesty in calling yourself “beaver”.

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:35 at 19:35
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      Clearly Trump’s “Unconventional Approach” to Global Relations, especially when dealing with North Korea, means an “Unconventional Outcome” is probable. The same thing will apply to ISRAEL-PLO future as well. Only Iran seems to want to sow the Roads of Destruction without change to compromise. The Seeds of Success sometimes need a change in Soil and after all it was the Abraham Foundation of turning Strangers into Friends and Family that changed many cultures to learn to get along rather than fighting. Similar to the Israel Water Drip System changed Deserts into Lush Farms feeding far more than ever.
      This Innovative World with Instant Internet Learning and Communications requires a New Approach to one another and will transform Nations if they so desire with Cautious Leadership!

      • Jun 11, 2018 @ 21:17 at 21:17
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        HAVE YOU EVER HEARD ABOUT JET LAG?

        Jet lag, also called desynchronosis and flight fatigue, is a temporary disorder as a result of air travel across time zones.

        Besides fatigue and insomnia, jet lag induces a number of physical and emotional symptoms, including anxiety, constipation, diarrhea, confusion, dehydration, headache, irritability, nausea, indigestion, difficulty concentrating, sweating, coordination problems, dizziness, daytime sleepiness, malaise, and even memory loss.

        Recovering from jet lag depends on the number of time zones crossed while traveling. In general, the body will adjust to the new time zone at the rate of one or two time zones per day.

        Mister Donald had to cross 12 time zones, while mister Kim had to cross only 1, and they will meet in less than 3 days after the starting of the jet lag for mister Trump. Who do you think would most likely show signs of anxiety, constipation, diarrhea, confusion, dehydration, headache, irritability, nausea, indigestion, difficulty concentrating, sweating, coordination problems, dizziness, sleepiness, malaise, and memory loss?

        May I respectfully suggest that some of these signs were already visible just before the travel to Singapore, at the time of the G-7 meeting?

        THE DEAL IS DOOMED

        • Jun 11, 2018 @ 22:04 at 22:04
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          Fortune Telling happens at Circus and Carnivals Men of Goodwill can refute it and doom it. Trust in what Jeremiah said…..“Do not act like the other nations, who try to read their future in the stars. Do not be afraid of their predictions, even though other nations are terrified by them.” Jeremiah 10:2. Additionally, remember what Saint Paul wrote in Romans 12:2….”And do not imitate this world, but be transformed by the renovation of your minds, and you shall distinguish what is the good, acceptable and perfect will of God.” Furthermore, recall what Mohamed the Messenger wrote in the Quran…..“Say: ‘None in the Heaven and the Earth knows the ghayb (unseen) except Allah, nor can they perceive when they shall be resurrected.” (Qur’an, 27: 65). The fundamental philosophy of Judaism, Christianity and Islam is the use of free will. The Torah, Bible, Quran and Sunnah guide one to make your own choices in this world, and these choices frame you as a person. These choices are what you use in your trials to display one faith and fate and it is for these trials and how you pass them that one exists. Fortune telling allows you an option and a path and a decision NOT based on your free will. It negates the very purpose to be alive as per Judaism, Christianity and Islam and is thus forbidden. Your Fortune telling and Jet Lag Theory does not change what and why North Korea needs to end its Nuclear Threats and Sanctions still prevail on them in any Time Zone!

          • Jun 11, 2018 @ 22:47 at 22:47
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            Oh, so much about this Fortune telling, impressing! But, pay attention to Netanyahu, he just said “wishing luck to Trump with the deal” very seriously in Knesset, not a simple tweet. This is Fortune telling, is’t it?

            I take it like Trump is not capable of any deal, maybe he was long time ago, but now he needs a lot of luck to get over his awful personality and carry some sort of discussions, not just sit with arms crossed and a bleak long face as we’ve just seen at G-7.

            If is from Netanyahu, it must be the truth, I respect him.

    • Jun 12, 2018 @ 1:07 at 1:07
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      Any chance you could rephrase your comment so that it makes sense?

      • Jun 12, 2018 @ 1:15 at 1:15
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        Unlike your own quotes postings above that was citing in your own words “THE DEAL IS DOOMED” is Fortune Telling and you cannot erase what you posted. The PM of Israel simply saying “wishing luck to Trump with the deal” is not Fortune Telling whatsoever. It is simply a Wish not a Prediction like you. If that upsets you, then forgive yourself, and move on and sin no more in trying to figure out the confusion within the Windmills of your Mind!

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 18:57 at 18:57
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    Leftists didn’t make the attempt to denuclearize NK. Muslims didn’t make the attempt. America did. Conservative America is the one making the attempt to denuclearize NK.
    Remember that.

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:14 at 19:14
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    Donald Trumpy has left America since couple days, but this is good news: the Americans may enjoy a truly merited pause.

    The bad news is he’ll be back at White House on 13th with bad luck plus the power to pardon himself with a vengeance.

    Beware, stay alert, and … DUMP TRUMP!

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:51 at 19:51
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      Perhaps Beaver is correct at least from an European View. The World no longer wants American Leadership and still made fun of for having true friends only in Israel and the former Warsaw Pact, leading to Global defensive assertion that Americans should stop paying so much attention to “Old Europe.”

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 20:16 at 20:16
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      trump be arrogant and obnoxious, and have delusions of grandeur; but he implementing everything he promised during the election. Other politicians talk–trump acts–change is difficult–but must occur. History is repeating and try is the only one with the courage to stop the evil. If Iran gets the bomb–their religious beliefs
      permit–or even demand them to use it. Who would you replace Trump with–an incompetent liberal democrat who will destroy this country just to secure votes. Maybe Hilary

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:23 at 19:23
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    it will be a great success. Pres. Trump is the best dealmaker this world has ever witnessed.
    The Singapore marks the begin of a positive process.

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:25 at 19:25
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    Unfortunately most canadians are libtards but not all. A new and bright future shines in ontario with CONSERVATIVES in power. To the libtards beaver included…shut the front door!!!! on your way out . Goodbye and good riddence.

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:43 at 19:43
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      Canada and America has already shown the World how to have no need for Armies on their Borders and must notify each other when Warships are going to be on the Great Lakes as under the Treaty from the War of 1812. Perhaps Canada and America can show Europe how Total Free Trade without Tariffs can provide greater Prosperous as well. Good Neighbors like Good Friends always work out the Differences to help each other Property, Homes, and Yards.

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:40 at 19:40
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    How in God’s creation the bunch of liberal trash ever got a foot hold in Canada is beyond me, . . . but then again, . . . they worship an old wrinkled crone on a throne, . . . and look forward to the day when Charles, the whore monger will bring his Camilla slut to the throne with him. Sad………..

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:51 at 19:51
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    Canada needs to be annexed. The only fight they could put up is throwing maple syrup at our tanks. That might clog the wheels for a second or two.

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 19:58 at 19:58
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      Mountie moose brigade, ayyyy!!?

      • Jun 11, 2018 @ 20:30 at 20:30
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        Only a few know that the North Magnetic Pole lies in the Canadian territory of Ellesmere Island since a pretty long time.

        All along this time and going back hundreds of years, the Canadian Government has let the magnetic lines indicating North to be freely accessed by all people with a compass. And this including those of the Americans, the previous economic partners of Canada, and also to great friendly people of China having the trusty 元, not the already overrated and doomed old reserve currency $.

        Yes, you might not believe, but this is the naked truth: THERE WAS NO TAX!

        But nowadays, given the alarming rise of tweeting and trumpiness we all have witnessed, this situation require a serious reevaluation.

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 21:38 at 21:38
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      America did offer Canada Statehood….The invitation was officially made on March 1, 1781, when the Articles of Federation were ratified as Maryland became the 13th and final state to approve them. But some of the Founding Fathers had their eyes on a 14th state Canada and made that offer but Canada chose to remain a Colony of England and America accepted the declining Invitation. However, English Arrogance caused the War of 1812, with the Impressment of American sailors into the Royal Navy was the most important for many Americans. The British practice of manning naval ships with “Pressed” men, who were forcibly placed into service, was a common one in English history, dating back to medieval times. Still, America Captured British Fleet on Lake Erie and Upper Canadian Army as England and Canada eventually chose to concede as well as Territories. There is no need for Canada to be annexed they need America to Protect and Trade with as Great Peaceful Neighbors. The same thing happen in the Philippines when the Unites States offered the Philippines its Independence after World War II. America chooses to turn enemies into Customers so long as Free Trade exists mutually.

      • Jun 11, 2018 @ 23:58 at 23:58
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        HAHAHA!!! Be honest and say it better like this:

        A State of Tweeting is hereby formally declared; and the President has authorized and directed to employ the entire Tweeting Forces of the United States and the resources of the Government to carry on tweeting against the Government of Canada; and, to bring the conflict to a successful tax termination.

        • Jun 12, 2018 @ 1:32 at 1:32
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          Canada like in 1812 will understand better to be friends with America and accept its Little Brother’s Role than be Abandon again and had to Surrender, like England did during the War of 1812. England learned they needed America in World War I and World War II and so did Canada dying for a Medieval Monarchy System and the American Navy Sons and Daughters saved you both more than once. America loves it Little Northern Brothers and Sisters and will come to understand a Stronger Big Brother is a far better Friend than Foe as Canada learned in 1812. Big and Little Brother’s are better together, don’t get upset, just accept Canada needs America as we Defend Canada so it can have Social Services as our Military protect you and the Queen of England without Servitude. O Canada, only became the National Anthem of Canada on July 1, 1980. While still, “God Save the Queen” remains the royal anthem of Canada even Today. America protects both Canada and England and we do so without hesitation or being frighten like you both proved in 1812.

          • Jun 12, 2018 @ 2:53 at 2:53
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            irrational national idolatry this, irrational national idolatry that…blah blah

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 20:27 at 20:27
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    NO WOLLY CHALRIES WE NO NUCREALIZE FOL YOU LOUND-EYE. WE L LICH AND POWELFUR PEOPRE AND NO KOWTOW TO ANYONE EXPECIARRY CHALRIE TRUMP!

  • Jun 11, 2018 @ 20:44 at 20:44
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    The only trusty, and with expertize, and with the respect needed to bring international support to a nuclear deal is Justin Pierre James Trudeau of Canada!

    Don’t risk deals with old Alzheimer guys, will be like trampolining from a Trump tower into the River of Doubt.

    • Jun 11, 2018 @ 22:16 at 22:16
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      I don’t believe Donald John Trump and Kim Un-Jong requested Justin Pierre James Trudeau of Canada to Singapore for Trudeau’s Advice, Consent, and Unsolicited Opinions…..American Businesses can make New Customers in North Korea without Fear of Canadian Tariffs as well. After all, there are over 25 Million North Koreans and over 51 Million South Koreans compared to 36 Million Canadians! Who Needs a Nation smaller than California (39 Million), to trade with with Canada’s High Tariffs? In Fact and on the contrary, Who needs to talk to Trudeau anyhow anymore, Trudeau will apologize and understand his place and need for America, No Doubt It!

      • Jun 11, 2018 @ 23:06 at 23:06
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        It is not wise to have a nuclear neighbor when he runs unfriendly schemes on you, and who has a history of direct aggressions, plus the 2 years of stay-aside-take-profit selling arms in WW2, plus the insulting tweets.

        US must renounce tweets or nuclear, one of two at their choice.

    • Jun 12, 2018 @ 2:53 at 2:53
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      Give me a break. Justin just got over his acne and lives in his family’s basement.

  • Jun 12, 2018 @ 1:11 at 1:11
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    Kim is just buying time. Most likely just waiting for Trump admin to be replaced by another.

    • Jun 12, 2018 @ 1:40 at 1:40
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      Kim loves James Bond Films and both had a License to Kill, until they found out, it could happen to them sooner or later as well. James Bond Sean Connery was retired and got out the right time to survive and thrive. So will Kim! Either way, both know they can’t take on the United States Sanctions. Canada will capitulate their Tariffs as well because it is Canada’s Interests to do so and they know it, and you know it too, now! ;>), O Canada America Salutes You As We Save You Again!

  • Jun 12, 2018 @ 2:15 at 2:15
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    Kim Jong-un, be smart, ask for a reciprocal tax on the number of nukes!
    Take the money, then step down of the deal just like the old guy did to Iran.
    And go for an international deal with the help of Justin Pierre James Trudeau of Canada!

    • Jun 12, 2018 @ 2:54 at 2:54
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      And let the United Nations collect a General Excise Tax on comments by ~Canadian trolls!

  • Jun 12, 2018 @ 4:06 at 4:06
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    01:59:13 June 12 (GMT)

    Top White House economic anti-Canada adviser Larry Kudlow suffered a heart attack.
    THE CURSE OF THE G-7 HITS FOR A 1st TIME
    Unfortunately there is no known treatment for a curse.

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